Active Fund Underperformance (SPIVA) Statistics (2026)
Updated July 2026
Most active fund managers lose to the index, and the odds get worse over time. Over 20 years about 92% of active large-cap US stock funds, and 94% of all active US equity funds, trailed their benchmark. Not one of 22 US equity categories had a majority of managers beat over 15 years, 0% of top-quartile funds stayed on top four years later, and only about a third of funds even survived 20 years.
- Over 20 years, about 92% of active large-cap US stock funds, and 94% of all active US equity funds, trailed their benchmark (S&P SPIVA Year-End 2024).
- Not one of 22 US equity categories had a majority of active managers beat their benchmark over 15 years (SPIVA).
- The odds worsen with time: from about 65% of large-cap funds trailing over 1 year to 92% over 20 years (SPIVA).
- Winners rarely repeat: 0% of top-quartile US equity funds stayed top-quartile four years later (S&P Persistence Scorecard).
- Taxes make it worse: the median active fund trailed the S&P 500 by up to 4.4% a year after tax (S&P After-Tax Scorecard).
- Most funds don't even survive: only about 33% of large-cap funds lasted the full 20 years; roughly two-thirds merged or closed (SPIVA).
What SPIVA measures
SPIVA, the S&P Indices Versus Active scorecard, is the definitive study of how active fund managers stack up against the market. Twice a year, S&P Dow Jones Indices measures the percentage of actively managed funds that trailed their benchmark index, across categories and time horizons.
It is the cleanest answer to a simple question: if you pay someone to beat the market, how often do they? The answer, consistently, is that most do not.
Most active funds trail the market
In 2024, about 65% of active large-cap US equity funds underperformed the S&P 500, and preliminary 2025 data put that figure near 79%, the fourth-worst reading in the scorecard's 25-year history (see the chart below).
This is not a one-off. Over the 24-year history of SPIVA, an average of about 64% of large-cap funds have trailed the index in any given year.
Source: S&P SPIVA U.S. Year-End 2024.
The odds get worse with time
The longer the horizon, the harder active management gets. Large-cap funds trailing the S&P 500 climb from about 65% over one year to 92% over 20 years (see the chart below).
Short-term luck fades; over a full investing lifetime, beating the index becomes a near-impossibility for the typical fund.
Source: S&P SPIVA U.S. Year-End 2024, Report 1a.
By asset category
It is not just large-caps. Over 20 years, roughly 90% or more of active funds trailed their benchmark in nearly every US equity category, and 94% of all domestic equity funds lost to the S&P Composite 1500 (see the chart and table below).
Emerging-market funds fared worst of all, with about 95% trailing over 20 years.
Source: S&P SPIVA U.S. Year-End 2024.
| Category | 1yr | 5yr | 10yr | 20yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All domestic | 78.7% | 84.7% | 89.7% | 94.1% |
| Large-cap | 65.2% | 76.3% | 84.3% | 92.0% |
| Mid-cap | 62.0% | 80.0% | 77.3% | 90.9% |
| Small-cap | 29.7% | 60.4% | 82.2% | 90.8% |
| Real estate | 80.5% | 82.9% | 82.4% | 90.1% |
Small-caps: the partial exception
The one category where active managers occasionally shine is small-caps. In 2024, only about 30% of small-cap funds underperformed, their best one-year showing in over two decades, since small, less-covered stocks offer more room for research to add value.
But the edge is temporary: over 20 years, about 91% of small-cap funds still trailed, essentially the same as everyone else.
By style: growth versus value
Style matters at short horizons but not long ones. Large-cap value funds trailed only about 39% of the time in 2024 (a rare tailwind), while large-cap growth funds trailed 92% (see the table below).
Over 20 years the differences wash out: about 97% of large-cap growth funds and 88% of large-cap value funds trailed their style benchmark.
| Style | % trailing (20yr) |
|---|---|
| Large-cap growth | 96.9% |
| Large-cap core | 93.3% |
| Large-cap value | 87.8% |
| Small-cap value | 92.8% |
| Small-cap core | 92.5% |
| Small-cap growth | 91.5% |
International and emerging markets
The pattern holds worldwide. Over 15 years, about 92% of global funds, 88% of international funds, and 88% of emerging-market funds trailed their benchmarks (see the table below).
International small-cap is the modest bright spot, the only foreign category where under half trailed over one year, echoing the small-cap edge at home.
| Category | 1yr | 10yr | 15yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global | 83.9% | 90.0% | 92.5% |
| International | 69.0% | 85.3% | 88.3% |
| International small-cap | 43.4% | 72.5% | 67.4% |
| Emerging markets | 71.5% | 87.4% | 88.2% |
Bonds: the mixed exception
Fixed income is where active management does best, at least briefly. In 2024, an average of only about 41% of active bond funds trailed at one year, and a majority beat their benchmark in 11 of 16 categories (see the table below).
But the advantage erodes with time. Over 10 years, most bond categories converge toward underperformance too, with government and intermediate categories exceeding 90% trailing.
| Category | 1yr | 10yr |
|---|---|---|
| IG short & intermediate | 11.8% | 52.0% |
| General investment-grade | 30.4% | 81.6% |
| High yield | 65.9% | 79.4% |
| Government intermediate | 94.7% | 94.1% |
| Emerging-market debt | 41.1% | 85.3% |
Winners rarely repeat
Picking last year's winner does not work. In S&P's Persistence Scorecard, 0% of top-quartile US equity funds stayed in the top quartile four years later (see the table below).
Even the looser test, staying in the top half, was cleared by only about 4% of funds, worse than random chance would predict. Past performance genuinely does not persist.
| Persistence measure | Share |
|---|---|
| Top-quartile equity funds staying top-quartile 4 years later | 0.0% |
| Top-half equity funds staying top-half over 4 years | 4.2% |
| Top-half large-cap funds staying top-half over 4 years | 2.4% |
The after-tax drag
Taxes widen the gap further. S&P's After-Tax Scorecard found the median active fund trailed the S&P 500 by up to 4.4% a year after tax, across every horizon.
Active funds trade more, generating taxable capital gains distributions that index funds largely avoid, so the after-tax shortfall is even larger than the pre-tax one.
Most funds don't even survive
Survivorship bias hides how bad the record is. Only about 33% of large-cap funds and 36% of all domestic equity funds survived the full 20 years; roughly two-thirds were merged away or liquidated (see the table below).
The funds that disappear are disproportionately the poor performers, so the headline underperformance rates actually understate how often active management has failed.
| Horizon | All domestic survived | Large-cap survived |
|---|---|---|
| 1 year | 96.9% | 97.7% |
| 3 years | 91.2% | 91.9% |
| 20 years | 36.4% | 33.0% |
Why active management struggles
The math is unforgiving. Active investing is close to a zero-sum game before costs, so after fees and trading expenses the average active dollar must trail the average passive dollar, a point made decades ago by William Sharpe.
Markets are also highly efficient: with so many professionals competing, durable information edges are rare, and the fees charged to chase them compound against investors year after year.
What it means for investors
The practical takeaway is why low-cost index funds have won so much market share: over the long run, buying the whole market cheaply has beaten the large majority of expensive attempts to outsmart it.
None of this means beating the market is impossible, only that it is rare, hard to identify in advance, and not something the odds favor. For most investors, a low-cost, diversified index approach is the higher-probability bet.
Frequently asked questions
What percentage of active funds beat the market?
Very few over time. About 65% of active large-cap US funds trailed the S&P 500 in 2024, rising to about 92% over 20 years. Over 15 years, no US equity category had a majority of managers beat their benchmark.
What is SPIVA?
SPIVA (S&P Indices Versus Active) is S&P Dow Jones Indices' twice-yearly scorecard measuring the share of active funds that underperform their benchmark, across categories and time horizons. It is the most-cited study of active vs passive.
Do the funds that beat the market keep beating it?
Almost never. S&P's Persistence Scorecard found 0% of top-quartile US equity funds stayed top-quartile four years later, and only about 4% stayed even in the top half, worse than chance.
Are there any categories where active managers do well?
Small-caps and bonds do best at short horizons: only about 30% of small-cap funds and 41% of bond funds trailed in 2024. But over 10 to 20 years, most of these categories converge toward underperformance too.
Why do most active funds underperform?
Active investing is roughly zero-sum before costs, so after fees the average active fund must trail. Markets are also highly efficient, taxes add drag (the median fund trailed by up to 4.4% a year after tax), and about two-thirds of funds don't even survive 20 years.
Sources
Figures are compiled from the primary sources above and reflect the most recent data available at the time of writing. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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