Burlington Stores (BURL) Stock Forecast and Price Target (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
16 analysts covering Burlington Stores (BURL) carry an average price target of $380.56 as of August 2026, +12.9% against the $336.95 price at the time of the pull. The published targets run from $300.00 to $440.00, a spread of 37% of the average, so the disagreement is moderate. The rating split is 13 buy, 6 hold, 0 sell. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a prediction, and sell-side ratings skew positive across the whole market. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
BURL analyst price targets
BURL analyst data as of August 2026, sourced from Yahoo Finance and may be delayed. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a forecast Walnut endorses, and targets are typically set on a 12-month view. Verify current figures before deciding.
The average target of $380.56 sits above the $336.95 price, +12.9%. The median is $377.50, and where the two differ the median is the steadier read, because one unusually high or low target cannot drag it.
What the BURL target range actually tells you
The published targets span $300.00 to $440.00. That gap is 37% of the average target, which counts as moderate disagreement. That is a fairly typical spread: enough agreement that the average means something, enough disagreement that it should not be treated as precise.
The useful move is to read the high target as one bull scenario and the low target as one bear scenario, then ask which set of assumptions you find more plausible. Both cases are worked through on the BURL is it a buy page.
Recent analyst actions on BURL
| Firm | Action | Target | Prior | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI Group | Raised (Outperform) | $400.00 | $375.00 | August 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Raised (Buy) | $440.00 | $435.00 | August 17, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Raised (Buy) | $410.00 | $365.00 | August 14, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Maintained (Neutral) | $380.00 | $380.00 | August 5, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Raised (Buy) | $375.00 | $367.00 | May 29, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Raised (Hold) | $310.00 | $305.00 | May 29, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Lowered (Overweight) | $351.00 | $374.00 | May 29, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Lowered (Overweight) | $375.00 | $400.00 | May 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Raised (Overweight) | $411.00 | $365.00 | May 26, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Raised (Overweight) | $374.00 | $365.00 | May 18, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Initiated (Hold) | $305.00 | - | May 18, 2026 |
| Telsey Advisory Group | Maintained (Outperform) | $365.00 | $365.00 | March 31, 2026 |
The most recent published rating actions on BURL within the last six months, from Yahoo Finance. Each row is dated because a target only means something alongside the date it was set. Walnut is not an investment adviser and does not endorse any of these views.
In the last six months there have been 7 raises and 2 cuts among these actions. The direction of revisions is often more telling than the level, because it shows which way informed opinion is moving.
How analysts rate BURL
Of the analysts with a published rating, 13 say buy, 6 say hold, and 0 say sell, so 68% carry a buy. That buy share has fallen over the last three months, so sentiment is drifting more negative.
Read the distribution rather than the label. Sell ratings are rare across the entire market for structural reasons, so a stock with no sell ratings is unremarkable, while even a handful of them is worth understanding.
Why a BURL price target is not a prediction
- It is a 12-month model output. An analyst picks assumptions for revenue, margin, and a multiple, and the target falls out of the arithmetic. Change one assumption and the target moves a lot.
- The distribution is skewed. Sell-side coverage carries far more buy ratings than sell ratings across the whole market, so the average is not a balanced vote.
- Targets follow price as often as they lead it. Revisions frequently arrive after a move, not before, which is why a rising target is weak evidence on its own.
- Nobody is scored on it. There is no cost to a target that never gets close, so treat accuracy as unverified unless you check the firm's record yourself.
What could move BURL from here
In short: the drivers cited most often are Store growth on other retailers' real estate, The margin gap with TJX and Ross, Trade-down demand and closeout supply. The risk cited most often against it is the full-year plan assumes comparable store sales of only 2% to 4% after a 6% first quarter, and the second-quarter guide of 1% to 3% points to deliberate deceleration, so a strong start does not carry the year by itself.
Both sides are worked through properly, with the high and low targets used as the bull and bear anchors, on the BURL is it a buy page. This page deliberately stops at the numbers.
Investing in Burlington Stores with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BURL fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the price target for Burlington Stores (BURL)?
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The average analyst price target for BURL is $380.56 as of August 2026, across 16 analysts. That is +12.9% against the $336.95 price at the time of the data pull, so the consensus sits above where the stock trades. The median target, which is less distorted by one extreme view, is $377.50. Targets move constantly; verify the current figure before relying on it.
How high could BURL go?
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The highest published target is $440.00, which is +30.6% against the $336.95 price. That is one analyst's most optimistic case, not a ceiling and not a forecast. The lowest is $300.00. The gap between them is the honest answer to this question: analysts who all follow Burlington Stores closely disagree by 37% of the average target, so treat any single number as one scenario.
How many analysts cover BURL?
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16 analysts publish estimates on BURL as of August 2026. Of those with a published rating, 13 say buy, 6 hold, and 0 sell, so 68% carry a buy rating. More coverage usually means the consensus is better informed, though it also means the obvious points are already in the price.
Are analyst price targets for BURL accurate?
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Treat them as informed opinion, not measurement. Two things are worth knowing. Sell-side ratings skew positive across the market, and BURL is no exception at 68% buy ratings, so the distribution is not a balanced vote. And targets tend to follow the share price at least as often as they lead it, getting raised after a stock has already run. They are most useful as a read on what the informed consensus expects, and least useful as a prediction of where the price lands.
Has the BURL price target been raised or cut recently?
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In the last six months there have been 7 raises and 2 cuts among the published actions on BURL. The most recent was Evercore ISI Group, which raised its target to $400.00 from $375.00 on August 17, 2026. The direction of revisions often tells you more than the level, because it shows which way the informed view is moving.
Is analyst sentiment on BURL improving?
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Over the last three months the share of analysts rating BURL a buy has been falling. That is a shift in opinion, not in the business, and it often lags the news that caused it. It is worth watching alongside the target revisions rather than on its own.
Will BURL go up in 2026?
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Nobody knows, including the analysts publishing targets. What the numbers on this page tell you is where informed opinion currently sits and how much it disagrees with itself, which is genuinely useful and completely different from a prediction. The risk most often cited against Burlington Stores: The full-year plan assumes comparable store sales of only 2% to 4% after a 6% first quarter, and the second-quarter guide of 1% to 3% points to deliberate deceleration, so a strong start does not carry the year by itself. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice, and does not publish price targets of its own. The analyst figures on this page come from a August 2026 data pull of published third-party research, are approximate, and change constantly. Verify current figures with your broker before acting on them.