AVAV vs KTOS: How AeroVironment and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
AVAV and KTOS are similarly sized, but AVAV trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (37.30x vs 44.21x): the market is paying up for KTOS's profile and pricing AVAV more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
AVAV vs KTOS: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | AVAV | KTOS | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $8.73B | $9.04B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 37.30 | 44.21 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.36 | 1.07 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 13% of range | 2% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 2.01 | 2.65 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: AVAV is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how AVAV and KTOS affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVAV and KTOS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVAV and KTOS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does AeroVironment (AVAV) do?
AeroVironment (AVAV) is a defense technology company specializing in unmanned and autonomous systems. It is best known for small, man-portable drones used by militaries for reconnaissance and surveillance, and for loitering munitions, notably the Switchblade family, which are precision-strike drones that have drawn significant attention from conflicts and rising global demand. AeroVironment also builds larger unmanned aircraft systems, uncrewed ground robots, and develops autonomy software and counter-drone solutions. Its primary customer is the US Department of Defense, with growing international and allied-government sales. The company has expanded through acquisitions into adjacent areas such as space, loitering munitions, and autonomy. The investment story centers on the structural growth of drones and autonomous systems in modern warfare, where small, attritable, intelligent systems are reshaping how militaries operate. Founded in 1971 and historically associated with pioneering work in efficient flight, AeroVironment is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, and is a mid-cap defense growth company tied closely to defense budgets and procurement.
What does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) do?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. military wants to buy in volume. Its two segments are Unmanned Systems, home to the XQ-58 Valkyrie collaborative combat aircraft and other tactical drones and target drones, and Kratos Government Solutions, which spans hypersonic systems (Erinyes, Dark Fury), solid rocket motors, turbine and jet engines, microwave electronics, C5ISR, space, training and cyber. The common thread is being the low-cost, fast-to-field alternative to legacy prime contractors, which lines up with Pentagon demand for attritable, mass-producible hardware.
AVAV vs KTOS: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- AVAV drivers: Loitering munitions demand; Small unmanned systems franchise.
- KTOS drivers: Valkyrie and collaborative combat aircraft; Hypersonics, rockets and engines.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: AeroVironment depends heavily on US defense procurement, so budget cycles, appropriations timing, and program decisions cause lumpy, hard-to-predict revenue and order flow. For KTOS, valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating.
AVAV or KTOS: which should you pick?
AVAV vs KTOS: the full fundamentals
AVAV. AeroVironment trades on a growth multiple that reflects its leadership in fast-growing drone and loitering-munition categories rather than current earnings. The valuation embeds expectations of sustained defense procurement growth and successful expansion into autonomy and space. It is more volatile and richly valued than traditional defense primes, sensitive to order timing and conflict-driven demand swings.
KTOS. As of the March 2026 quarter, Kratos posted about $371 million in Q1 revenue, up roughly 23 percent year over year, and raised full-year 2026 guidance toward $1.7 to $1.76 billion. Net income remains small, so with a market cap around $10 billion the price-to-earnings ratio sits in the hundreds and price-to-sales is roughly 7 times. The valuation reflects growth and backlog expectations far more than current earnings.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): AVAV shows revenue (ttm) ~$800 million-$1 billion, operating margin ~low-double-digit percent, net income (ttm) Modest; growth reinvested, p/e (ttm) Elevated (growth multiple); KTOS shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$371M, revenue (ttm) ~$1.4B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$1.7B to $1.76B, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$120M.
The bottom line: AVAV vs KTOS
AVAV and KTOS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVAV and KTOS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Build a basket around AVAV with Walnut
Use AeroVironment as one constituent in a thematic basket Walnut's AI helps you assemble. Describe a thesis you believe in, the AI proposes the holdings and weights, and you approve before any broker order.
FAQ
What is the difference between AVAV and KTOS?
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AeroVironment (AVAV) is a defense technology company specializing in unmanned and autonomous systems. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is AVAV or KTOS the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, AVAV or KTOS?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), AVAV trades at 37.30x and KTOS at 44.21x, so AVAV is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both AVAV and KTOS?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of AVAV vs KTOS?
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AVAV: AeroVironment depends heavily on US defense procurement, so budget cycles, appropriations timing, and program decisions cause lumpy, hard-to-predict revenue and order flow. It is mid-cap and competes against far larger defense primes as well as a wave of new drone and autonomy startups, which could pressure pricing and share. Demand spikes tied to specific conflicts may not be sustainable, and any easing of geopolitical tension could slow orders. Acquisitions add integration risk and have raised the share count and balance-sheet complexity. The stock is volatile and trades on a growth multiple that embeds optimistic defense-spending and order assumptions, leaving it sensitive to any procurement disappointment. KTOS: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. Kratos depends on U.S. government budgets, appropriations timing and program-of-record decisions, all of which can slip or be cut. Many flagship programs (Valkyrie, hypersonics) are still scaling, so production, supply-chain and execution risk is real. Competition comes from far larger primes like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman and RTX, plus focused drone makers, which can pressure pricing and win rates. Thin operating margins mean profitability remains modest even as revenue grows.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVAV or KTOS; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.