HD vs LOW: How The Home Depot and Lowe's Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
HD is the larger of the two ($349.83B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (21.80x forward earnings, beta 0.97). LOW is the smaller challenger ($124.50B), cheaper on forward earnings (16.47x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
HD vs LOW: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | HD | LOW | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $349.83B | $124.50B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 21.80 | 16.47 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 24.94 | 18.76 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.97 | 0.86 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 45% of range | 21% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
Reading it: LOW is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how HD and LOW affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HD and LOW share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HD and LOW exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does The Home Depot (HD) do?
The Home Depot, Inc. is the world's largest home improvement retailer, operating approximately 2,300 stores across the United States, Canada, and other locations in North America. The company sells building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden supplies, and provides installation and tool-rental services to two main customer groups: do-it-yourself homeowners (DIY) and professional contractors (Pros). Revenue is generated almost entirely through retail store sales and, increasingly, through digital channels (online sales reached 15.9% of total revenue in fiscal 2025) and through its specialty trade distribution arm, SRS Distribution, which serves Pros directly with roofing, landscaping, pool supplies, and now drywall and steel framing products following the September 2025 acquisition of GMS Inc. The company earns a gross margin of roughly 33% and an operating margin in the low-to-mid teens, with strong free cash flow that funds a steadily growing dividend (156 consecutive quarterly payments as of early 2026) and periodic share repurchases.
What does Lowe's (LOW) do?
Lowe's is the second-largest home-improvement retailer in the United States, operating roughly 1,700 large-format stores plus a growing e-commerce business. It sells building materials, tools, appliances, lumber, hardware, paint, lawn and garden, plumbing, electrical, and seasonal products to two main customer groups: do-it-yourself (DIY) homeowners and professional contractors (Pro). Lowe's makes money on retail margins across these categories, with appliances, installation services, and the Pro business as key drivers. The company has invested heavily in growing its Pro customer base, expanding its supply chain and fulfillment, improving its digital and omnichannel capabilities, and rolling out loyalty programs. Demand is tied to the health of the housing market, home prices, repair-and-remodel activity, and consumer confidence, though the large installed base of aging US homes provides a steady stream of maintenance and renovation spending. Lowe's is a Dividend King with a multi-decade record of dividend increases and large share buybacks. Headquartered in Mooresville, North Carolina.
HD vs LOW: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HD drivers: Pro contractor ecosystem buildout; Pent-up housing demand and a potential mortgage rate cycle turn.
- LOW drivers: Aging housing stock drives repair-remodel; Growing the Pro customer base.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most direct risk is a prolonged freeze in the US housing market: low inventory, elevated mortgage rates, and high home prices have kept transaction volumes near multi-decade lows, directly suppressing demand for the large remodeling projects that drive Home Depot's highest-ticket sales. For LOW, lowe's is cyclical and sensitive to the housing market: high mortgage rates, falling home prices, or a recession reduce big-ticket projects, appliance purchases, and remodeling activity, pressuring sales.
HD or LOW: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HD if you believe its drivers more; LOW if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HD and LOW guides.
HD vs LOW: the full fundamentals
HD. Home Depot grew total revenue 3.2% in fiscal 2025, but most of that growth came from the SRS and GMS acquisitions rather than organic comparable-store performance, which was essentially flat at +0.3%. Profitability softened modestly as acquisition-related costs, higher debt service, and integration expenses weighed on margins and pushed ROIC down from 31.3% to approximately 25.7%. The stock's trailing P/E of roughly 23x sits near its 10-year historical average and above the peer group, reflecting investor confidence in the long-term Pro strategy but leaving limited cushion if the housing market remains depressed longer than expected.
LOW. Lowe's trades at a market-like retail multiple, often at a slight discount to Home Depot, reflecting its solid but historically lower margins and greater DIY mix. The valuation balances housing-cycle sensitivity against the durable repair-and-remodel demand from an aging housing stock, a 50-plus-year dividend record, and aggressive buybacks. As a mature, cash-generative retailer, Lowe's is valued on steady earnings, free cash flow, and capital returns more than rapid growth.
Headline figures (approximate, 2026-06-27 (fiscal 2025 results as reported February 24, 2026; P/E as of June 9, 2026)): HD shows revenue (fiscal 2025, ended feb 1, 2026) ~$164.7 billion, net earnings (fiscal 2025) ~$14.2 billion, diluted eps (fiscal 2025) $14.23 (adjusted: $14.69), gross margin (fiscal 2026 guidance) ~33.1%; LOW shows revenue (ttm) ~$83 billion, operating margin ~12-13%, net income (ttm) ~$7 billion, p/e (ttm) ~20x.
The bottom line: HD vs LOW
HD and LOW are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HD and LOW exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Build a basket around HD with Walnut
Use The Home Depot as one constituent in a thematic basket Walnut's AI helps you assemble. Describe a thesis you believe in, the AI proposes the holdings and weights, and you approve before any broker order.
FAQ
What is the difference between HD and LOW?
+
The Home Depot, Inc. Lowe's is the second-largest home-improvement retailer in the United States, operating roughly 1,700 large-format stores plus a growing e-commerce business. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HD or LOW the better stock?
+
Neither is universally better. HD is the larger incumbent; LOW is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HD or LOW?
+
On forward P/E (as of July 2026), HD trades at 21.80x and LOW at 16.47x, so LOW is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HD and LOW?
+
Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HD vs LOW?
+
HD: The most direct risk is a prolonged freeze in the US housing market: low inventory, elevated mortgage rates, and high home prices have kept transaction volumes near multi-decade lows, directly suppressing demand for the large remodeling projects that drive Home Depot's highest-ticket sales. Tariffs on imported goods (a significant portion of Home Depot's product mix is sourced internationally) could compress margins or require price increases that dampen consumer demand, even as management has worked to diversify its supply chain. The SRS and GMS acquisitions added substantial long-term debt to the balance sheet and pushed ROIC down to approximately 25.7% from 31.3%, and integration execution risk remains elevated while buybacks are paused. Finally, the stock trades at a P/E of roughly 23x, a premium to the broader retail industry, which leaves limited margin for error if earnings guidance is revised lower. LOW: Lowe's is cyclical and sensitive to the housing market: high mortgage rates, falling home prices, or a recession reduce big-ticket projects, appliance purchases, and remodeling activity, pressuring sales. It competes directly with the larger and historically more efficient Home Depot, plus Amazon and specialty retailers. Weak consumer confidence and trade-down behavior hurt discretionary home-improvement spending, and inflation in lumber, labor, and freight squeezes margins. Execution risk on the Pro-growth and supply-chain initiatives is real, and post-pandemic normalization has pressured same-store sales. The stock can de-rate when housing sentiment weakens.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HD or LOW; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.