JOBY vs KTOS: How Joby Aviation and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Compare (2026)

Last updated July 2026

Short answer

JOBY (Joby Aviation) and KTOS (Kratos Defense & Security Solutions) share investment themes but are different businesses. The right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme.

JOBY vs KTOS: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricJOBYKTOSWhat it tells you
Market cap$8.70B$9.04BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E-17.6844.21Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta2.671.07Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range8% of range2% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book4.432.65How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how JOBY and KTOS affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. JOBY and KTOS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined JOBY and KTOS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Joby Aviation (JOBY) do?

Joby Aviation designs and intends to manufacture and operate electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, small piloted air taxis built to carry a few passengers quietly over congested cities. Its plan is to make money as a vertically integrated transportation-as-a-service business: build its own aircraft (with manufacturing practices borrowed from partner and investor Toyota), then sell rides directly to passengers, distributed through partners like Uber and the Blade passenger business it acquired. Until its own aircraft enters revenue service, nearly all reported revenue comes from that acquired Blade helicopter operation rather than from eVTOL flights.

Full JOBY guide

What does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) do?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. military wants to buy in volume. Its two segments are Unmanned Systems, home to the XQ-58 Valkyrie collaborative combat aircraft and other tactical drones and target drones, and Kratos Government Solutions, which spans hypersonic systems (Erinyes, Dark Fury), solid rocket motors, turbine and jet engines, microwave electronics, C5ISR, space, training and cyber. The common thread is being the low-cost, fast-to-field alternative to legacy prime contractors, which lines up with Pentagon demand for attritable, mass-producible hardware.

Full KTOS guide

JOBY vs KTOS: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • JOBY drivers: Lead in FAA certification; Strategic backers and balance sheet.
  • KTOS drivers: Valkyrie and collaborative combat aircraft; Hypersonics, rockets and engines.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Joby is effectively pre-revenue on its core product: the bulk of its reported revenue comes from the acquired Blade helicopter business, not its own eVTOL aircraft, and it posted a net loss of roughly $110 million in Q1 2026. For KTOS, valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating.

JOBY or KTOS: which should you pick?

Pick JOBY if you believe its drivers more; KTOS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the JOBY and KTOS guides.

JOBY vs KTOS: the full fundamentals

JOBY. For a pre-commercial company, the most important figures are cash and burn rather than earnings: roughly $2.5 billion of liquidity against a few hundred million of cash use per half-year implies several years of runway, but no clear path to profitability yet. The reported revenue largely reflects the acquired Blade helicopter operation, not Joby's own air taxis, so traditional valuation multiples are not very meaningful. At a market cap near $9 billion against minimal core revenue, the stock prices in a commercial future that still depends on FAA certification and scale.

KTOS. As of the March 2026 quarter, Kratos posted about $371 million in Q1 revenue, up roughly 23 percent year over year, and raised full-year 2026 guidance toward $1.7 to $1.76 billion. Net income remains small, so with a market cap around $10 billion the price-to-earnings ratio sits in the hundreds and price-to-sales is roughly 7 times. The valuation reflects growth and backlog expectations far more than current earnings.

Headline figures (approximate, 2026-05-06): JOBY shows cash & short-term investments ~$2.5 billion (Q1 2026), revenue (q1 2026) ~$24 million (mostly acquired Blade passenger business, not eVTOL), fy2026 revenue guidance ~$105 to $115 million, net loss (q1 2026) ~$110 million; KTOS shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$371M, revenue (ttm) ~$1.4B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$1.7B to $1.76B, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$120M.

The bottom line: JOBY vs KTOS

JOBY and KTOS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined JOBY and KTOS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Build a basket around JOBY with Walnut

Use Joby Aviation as one constituent in a thematic basket Walnut's AI helps you assemble. Describe a thesis you believe in, the AI proposes the holdings and weights, and you approve before any broker order.

FAQ

What is the difference between JOBY and KTOS?

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Joby Aviation designs and intends to manufacture and operate electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, small piloted air taxis built to carry a few passengers quietly over congested cities. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is JOBY or KTOS the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, JOBY or KTOS?

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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), JOBY trades at -17.68x and KTOS at 44.21x, so JOBY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both JOBY and KTOS?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of JOBY vs KTOS?

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JOBY: Joby is effectively pre-revenue on its core product: the bulk of its reported revenue comes from the acquired Blade helicopter business, not its own eVTOL aircraft, and it posted a net loss of roughly $110 million in Q1 2026. It guided to using $340 to $370 million of cash in the first half of 2026 alone, and reaching profitability is years away and not assured. Certification could slip, raising the chance of further dilutive equity or convertible raises, and the entire thesis depends on an air-taxi market that does not yet exist at scale. The stock is highly speculative and can move sharply on certification, funding, or partnership news. KTOS: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. Kratos depends on U.S. government budgets, appropriations timing and program-of-record decisions, all of which can slip or be cut. Many flagship programs (Valkyrie, hypersonics) are still scaling, so production, supply-chain and execution risk is real. Competition comes from far larger primes like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman and RTX, plus focused drone makers, which can pressure pricing and win rates. Thin operating margins mean profitability remains modest even as revenue grows.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell JOBY or KTOS; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    JOBY vs KTOS: How Joby Aviation and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Compare (2026), Walnut