KTOS vs ONDS: How Kratos Defense & Security Solutions and Ondas Holdings Compare (2026)

Last updated July 2026

Short answer

KTOS is the larger of the two ($9.04B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (44.21x forward earnings, beta 1.07). ONDS is the smaller challenger ($4.20B), priced similarly on forward earnings (-158.40x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

KTOS vs ONDS: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricKTOSONDSWhat it tells you
Market cap$9.04B$4.20BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E44.21-158.40Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E283.4788.00Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.072.62Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range2% of range46% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.653.46How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how KTOS and ONDS affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KTOS and ONDS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KTOS and ONDS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) do?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. military wants to buy in volume. Its two segments are Unmanned Systems, home to the XQ-58 Valkyrie collaborative combat aircraft and other tactical drones and target drones, and Kratos Government Solutions, which spans hypersonic systems (Erinyes, Dark Fury), solid rocket motors, turbine and jet engines, microwave electronics, C5ISR, space, training and cyber. The common thread is being the low-cost, fast-to-field alternative to legacy prime contractors, which lines up with Pentagon demand for attritable, mass-producible hardware.

Full KTOS guide

What does Ondas Holdings (ONDS) do?

Ondas Holdings Inc. operates two distinct businesses. Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) is the larger and faster-growing segment: through subsidiaries such as American Robotics and Airobotics it sells the Optimus System, marketed as the first U.S. FAA-certified small drone for automated aerial security and data capture, and through its Iron Drone Raider line it sells autonomous counter-drone (counter-UAS) systems used to detect and intercept hostile drones. Ondas Networks is the original business: it develops industrial wireless networking technology, including its FullMAX platform built on the IEEE 802.16t standard, aimed at railroads and other critical-infrastructure operators that need private, mission-critical data networks.

Full ONDS guide

KTOS vs ONDS: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • KTOS drivers: Valkyrie and collaborative combat aircraft; Hypersonics, rockets and engines.
  • ONDS drivers: Drone and counter-drone demand; Large backlog and aggressive 2026 targets.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. For ONDS, ondas carries a stack of risks typical of a speculative small-cap.

KTOS or ONDS: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick KTOS if you believe its drivers more; ONDS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KTOS and ONDS guides.

KTOS vs ONDS: the full fundamentals

KTOS. As of the March 2026 quarter, Kratos posted about $371 million in Q1 revenue, up roughly 23 percent year over year, and raised full-year 2026 guidance toward $1.7 to $1.76 billion. Net income remains small, so with a market cap around $10 billion the price-to-earnings ratio sits in the hundreds and price-to-sales is roughly 7 times. The valuation reflects growth and backlog expectations far more than current earnings.

ONDS. Reading a small drone and defense-technology company is different from reading a mature business. Ondas has almost no earnings, so the focus shifts to orders, backlog, and revenue growth versus cash burn rather than profit multiples. Watch the gap between announced orders and recognized revenue, since defense contracts can be lumpy and slow to convert. Pay close attention to dilution: Ondas has funded itself with large, repeated stock and warrant sales, so per-share value can be eroded even as the business grows. Much of the market value reflects a premium on the drone and defense theme and on future targets rather than current results, which is why the stock can move violently in both directions. Figures here are approximate and change quickly; confirm the latest numbers in Ondas filings before relying on them.

Headline figures (approximate, MARCH 2026): KTOS shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$371M, revenue (ttm) ~$1.4B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$1.7B to $1.76B, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$120M; ONDS shows revenue (fy2025) About $50.7 million, up roughly 605% year over year, backlog (year-end 2025) About $68.3 million, net loss (fy2025) Roughly $133 million, cash and equivalents About $594 million at Dec 31, 2025, plus roughly $960 million net raised in January 2026.

The bottom line: KTOS vs ONDS

KTOS and ONDS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KTOS and ONDS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Build a basket around KTOS with Walnut

Use Kratos Defense & Security Solutions as one constituent in a thematic basket Walnut's AI helps you assemble. Describe a thesis you believe in, the AI proposes the holdings and weights, and you approve before any broker order.

FAQ

What is the difference between KTOS and ONDS?

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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. Ondas Holdings Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is KTOS or ONDS the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. KTOS is the larger incumbent; ONDS is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, KTOS or ONDS?

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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), KTOS trades at 44.21x and ONDS at -158.40x, so ONDS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both KTOS and ONDS?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of KTOS vs ONDS?

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KTOS: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. Kratos depends on U.S. government budgets, appropriations timing and program-of-record decisions, all of which can slip or be cut. Many flagship programs (Valkyrie, hypersonics) are still scaling, so production, supply-chain and execution risk is real. Competition comes from far larger primes like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman and RTX, plus focused drone makers, which can pressure pricing and win rates. Thin operating margins mean profitability remains modest even as revenue grows. ONDS: Ondas carries a stack of risks typical of a speculative small-cap. The revenue base is still small relative to its market value, and the company is deeply unprofitable with large ongoing cash burn. It has funded itself through repeated and very large stock and warrant offerings, so existing shareholders face significant dilution, and the company has sought authorization to issue far more shares. Execution risk is high: hitting aggressive growth targets requires scaling manufacturing and integrating multiple acquisitions at once. Defense and government procurement is lumpy and slow, so announced orders may not convert to revenue on the expected timeline. The company also competes against larger, better-capitalized drone and defense players. The stock is volatile and can move sharply on news, sentiment, and capital-raise activity.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KTOS or ONDS; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    KTOS vs ONDS: How Kratos Defense & Security Solutions and Ondas Holdings Compare (2026), Walnut