LMT vs NOC: How Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman Compare (2026)

Last updated July 2026

Short answer

LMT is the larger of the two ($120.31B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (16.26x forward earnings, beta 0.11). NOC is the smaller challenger ($73.85B), priced similarly on forward earnings (17.24x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

LMT vs NOC: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricLMTNOCWhat it tells you
Market cap$120.31B$73.85BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E16.2617.24Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E25.2616.29Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.11-0.12Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range40% of range11% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book16.034.31How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how LMT and NOC affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. LMT and NOC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined LMT and NOC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Lockheed Martin (LMT) do?

Lockheed Martin is the largest defense contractor in the world, generating the vast majority of its revenue from the US government and allied militaries. It is organized into four segments: Aeronautics (home of the F-35 Lightning II, F-22, and C-130, the largest segment), Rotary and Mission Systems (Sikorsky helicopters, combat systems, radar, and sensors), Missiles and Fire Control (precision missiles, HIMARS, PAC-3 interceptors, and hypersonics), and Space (satellites, missile-defense systems, and strategic and hypersonic programs). Lockheed designs, builds, and sustains some of the most advanced and mission-critical weapons systems in the world, including the F-35, its single largest program, which generates long-tail revenue from production, upgrades, and decades of sustainment. The company makes money under long-term government contracts, with a large multi-year backlog that provides revenue visibility. It pursues hypersonics, missile defense, and space as growth areas. As a flagship defense name, Lockheed is a steady cash generator that returns substantial capital to shareholders. Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Full LMT guide

What does Northrop Grumman (NOC) do?

Northrop Grumman is one of the largest US defense contractors, supplying advanced aerospace, defense, and security systems primarily to the US government and allied militaries. Its business is organized around four segments: Aeronautics Systems (military aircraft and the B-21 Raider stealth bomber), Space Systems (satellites, launch, and missile-defense and space sensors), Mission Systems (radars, electronic warfare, sensors, and networking), and Defense Systems (missiles, ammunition, and the ground-based strategic deterrent program modernizing US intercontinental ballistic missiles). Northrop is a leader in stealth aircraft, space systems, and strategic deterrence, holding key positions on programs that are central to long-term US defense priorities. Revenue is dominated by long-duration government contracts, providing visibility and a large multi-year backlog, though margins depend on program execution and the mix of fixed-price versus cost-plus work. As a prime contractor on strategic programs like the B-21 bomber and the Sentinel ICBM, Northrop is tied to defense-budget trends and great-power competition. Founded in 1939 (modern form from the 1994 Northrop-Grumman merger) and headquartered in Virginia, it is a large-cap defense and aerospace company that pays a growing dividend.

Full NOC guide

LMT vs NOC: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • LMT drivers: The F-35 franchise; Rising defense budgets and munitions demand.
  • NOC drivers: Strategic franchise programs; Large backlog and revenue visibility.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Lockheed depends overwhelmingly on US and allied defense budgets, so spending cuts, continuing resolutions, shutdowns, or shifting priorities directly threaten revenue. For NOC, northrop depends heavily on the US government, so defense-budget cuts, continuing resolutions, or shifting priorities directly affect revenue.

LMT or NOC: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick LMT if you believe its drivers more; NOC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the LMT and NOC guides.

LMT vs NOC: the full fundamentals

LMT. Lockheed trades at a defense-sector multiple supported by an enormous backlog, predictable government revenue, and reliable free cash flow that funds a growing dividend and large buybacks. The valuation reflects the durability of defense spending and the F-35 annuity, offset by program-concentration risk and occasional charges on fixed-price contracts. As a defensive cash compounder, Lockheed is often valued on free cash flow and backlog visibility as much as headline earnings.

NOC. Northrop trades at a valuation in line with large defense primes, reflecting backlog visibility, strategic-program leadership, and steady cash generation balanced against program-execution and budget risk. The multiple tends to expand during periods of rising defense budgets and geopolitical tension and compress when budget concerns or program charges weigh on sentiment. The dividend and buybacks support total return.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): LMT shows revenue (ttm) ~$72 billion, operating margin ~11-12%, net income (ttm) ~$5-6 billion, p/e (ttm) ~17x; NOC shows revenue (ttm) ~$42 billion, operating margin ~10-11% (sensitive to program mix and charges), net income (ttm) ~$3.5-4 billion, eps (ttm) ~$25.

The bottom line: LMT vs NOC

LMT and NOC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined LMT and NOC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Build a basket around LMT with Walnut

Use Lockheed Martin as one constituent in a thematic basket Walnut's AI helps you assemble. Describe a thesis you believe in, the AI proposes the holdings and weights, and you approve before any broker order.

FAQ

What is the difference between LMT and NOC?

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Lockheed Martin is the largest defense contractor in the world, generating the vast majority of its revenue from the US government and allied militaries. Northrop Grumman is one of the largest US defense contractors, supplying advanced aerospace, defense, and security systems primarily to the US government and allied militaries. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is LMT or NOC the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. LMT is the larger incumbent; NOC is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, LMT or NOC?

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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), LMT trades at 16.26x and NOC at 17.24x, so LMT is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both LMT and NOC?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of LMT vs NOC?

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LMT: Lockheed depends overwhelmingly on US and allied defense budgets, so spending cuts, continuing resolutions, shutdowns, or shifting priorities directly threaten revenue. Heavy concentration in the F-35 means program delays, cost overruns, or reduced order quantities have an outsized impact. Large fixed-price development and classified programs can incur losses, and Lockheed has taken charges on troubled contracts. Supply-chain constraints, engine and parts shortages, and procurement protests pressure deliveries. Defense stocks can de-rate on hopes of reduced geopolitical tension or budget pressure, and the business faces regulatory, political, and contract-concentration risk. NOC: Northrop depends heavily on the US government, so defense-budget cuts, continuing resolutions, or shifting priorities directly affect revenue. Large development programs like the B-21 and Sentinel carry execution and cost risk, and fixed-price contracts can produce charges if costs run over (Northrop has taken charges on certain programs). Margins are sensitive to program mix and inflation in labor and materials. Political risk, procurement delays, and program cancellations are persistent. The valuation reflects defense-sector premium and backlog visibility, but disappointing program execution or budget pressure can weigh on the stock. Concentration in a handful of major programs means problems on any one can be material, and ESG-driven exclusions limit part of the investor base.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell LMT or NOC; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    LMT vs NOC: How Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman Compare (2026), Walnut