Raymond James Financial (RJF) Stock Forecast and Price Target (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
12 analysts covering Raymond James Financial (RJF) carry an average price target of $185.92 as of August 2026, +5.6% against the $175.98 price at the time of the pull. The published targets run from $161.00 to $205.00, a spread of 24% of the average, so the disagreement is narrow. The rating split is 5 buy, 9 hold, 0 sell. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a prediction, and sell-side ratings skew positive across the whole market. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
RJF analyst price targets
RJF analyst data as of August 2026, sourced from Yahoo Finance and may be delayed. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a forecast Walnut endorses, and targets are typically set on a 12-month view. Verify current figures before deciding.
The average target of $185.92 sits roughly in line with the $175.98 price, +5.6%. The median is $185.50, and where the two differ the median is the steadier read, because one unusually high or low target cannot drag it.
What the RJF target range actually tells you
The published targets span $161.00 to $205.00. That gap is 24% of the average target, which counts as narrow disagreement. A spread that tight means the analysts broadly agree on the model, so the consensus is a reasonably stable read rather than an average of wildly different views.
The useful move is to read the high target as one bull scenario and the low target as one bear scenario, then ask which set of assumptions you find more plausible. Both cases are worked through on the RJF is it a buy page.
Recent analyst actions on RJF
| Firm | Action | Target | Prior | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argus Research | Raised (Buy) | $196.00 | $178.00 | July 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Raised (Neutral) | $184.00 | $175.00 | July 27, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Raised (Neutral) | $179.00 | $175.00 | July 23, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Lowered (Hold) | $161.00 | $162.00 | July 23, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Raised (Market Perform) | $175.00 | $160.00 | July 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Raised (Overweight) | $196.00 | $192.00 | July 23, 2026 |
| Citizens | Raised (Market Outperform) | $205.00 | $200.00 | July 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Raised (Equal-Weight) | $174.00 | $172.00 | July 10, 2026 |
| Citizens | Raised (Market Outperform) | $200.00 | $190.00 | July 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Raised (Overweight) | $192.00 | $182.00 | July 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Raised (Neutral) | $175.00 | $166.00 | July 8, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Lowered (Hold) | $155.00 | $159.00 | May 28, 2026 |
The most recent published rating actions on RJF within the last six months, from Yahoo Finance. Each row is dated because a target only means something alongside the date it was set. Walnut is not an investment adviser and does not endorse any of these views.
In the last six months there have been 10 raises and 2 cuts among these actions. The direction of revisions is often more telling than the level, because it shows which way informed opinion is moving.
How analysts rate RJF
Of the analysts with a published rating, 5 say buy, 9 say hold, and 0 say sell, so 36% carry a buy. That buy share has fallen over the last three months, so sentiment is drifting more negative.
Read the distribution rather than the label. Sell ratings are rare across the entire market for structural reasons, so a stock with no sell ratings is unremarkable, while even a handful of them is worth understanding.
Why a RJF price target is not a prediction
- It is a 12-month model output. An analyst picks assumptions for revenue, margin, and a multiple, and the target falls out of the arithmetic. Change one assumption and the target moves a lot.
- The distribution is skewed. Sell-side coverage carries far more buy ratings than sell ratings across the whole market, so the average is not a balanced vote.
- Targets follow price as often as they lead it. Revisions frequently arrive after a move, not before, which is why a rising target is weak evidence on its own.
- Nobody is scored on it. There is no cost to a target that never gets close, so treat accuracy as unverified unless you check the firm's record yourself.
What could move RJF from here
In short: the drivers cited most often are Private Client Group asset and advisor growth, Net interest income and the bank segment, Capital markets recovery. The risk cited most often against it is earnings are sensitive to interest rates: as short-term rates fall, the yield on client cash sweep balances and the bank's net interest margin compress, which can offset growth in fee income.
Both sides are worked through properly, with the high and low targets used as the bull and bear anchors, on the RJF is it a buy page. This page deliberately stops at the numbers.
Investing in Raymond James Financial with AI
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FAQ
What is the price target for Raymond James Financial (RJF)?
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The average analyst price target for RJF is $185.92 as of August 2026, across 12 analysts. That is +5.6% against the $175.98 price at the time of the data pull, so the consensus sits roughly in line with where the stock trades. The median target, which is less distorted by one extreme view, is $185.50. Targets move constantly; verify the current figure before relying on it.
How high could RJF go?
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The highest published target is $205.00, which is +16.5% against the $175.98 price. That is one analyst's most optimistic case, not a ceiling and not a forecast. The lowest is $161.00. The gap between them is the honest answer to this question: analysts who all follow Raymond James Financial closely disagree by 24% of the average target, so treat any single number as one scenario.
How many analysts cover RJF?
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12 analysts publish estimates on RJF as of August 2026. Of those with a published rating, 5 say buy, 9 hold, and 0 sell, so 36% carry a buy rating. More coverage usually means the consensus is better informed, though it also means the obvious points are already in the price.
Are analyst price targets for RJF accurate?
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Treat them as informed opinion, not measurement. Two things are worth knowing. Sell-side ratings skew positive across the market, and RJF is no exception at 36% buy ratings, so the distribution is not a balanced vote. And targets tend to follow the share price at least as often as they lead it, getting raised after a stock has already run. They are most useful as a read on what the informed consensus expects, and least useful as a prediction of where the price lands.
Has the RJF price target been raised or cut recently?
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In the last six months there have been 10 raises and 2 cuts among the published actions on RJF. The most recent was Argus Research, which raised its target to $196.00 from $178.00 on July 30, 2026. The direction of revisions often tells you more than the level, because it shows which way the informed view is moving.
Is analyst sentiment on RJF improving?
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Over the last three months the share of analysts rating RJF a buy has been falling. That is a shift in opinion, not in the business, and it often lags the news that caused it. It is worth watching alongside the target revisions rather than on its own.
Will RJF go up in 2026?
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Nobody knows, including the analysts publishing targets. What the numbers on this page tell you is where informed opinion currently sits and how much it disagrees with itself, which is genuinely useful and completely different from a prediction. The risk most often cited against Raymond James Financial: Earnings are sensitive to interest rates: as short-term rates fall, the yield on client cash sweep balances and the bank's net interest margin compress, which can offset growth in fee income. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice, and does not publish price targets of its own. The analyst figures on this page come from a August 2026 data pull of published third-party research, are approximate, and change constantly. Verify current figures with your broker before acting on them.