Vistra (VST) Stock Forecast and Price Target (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
18 analysts covering Vistra (VST) carry an average price target of $221.94 as of August 2026, +49.8% against the $148.19 price at the time of the pull. The published targets run from $106.00 to $320.00, a spread of 96% of the average, so the disagreement is wide. The rating split is 19 buy, 0 hold, 1 sell. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a prediction, and sell-side ratings skew positive across the whole market. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
VST analyst price targets
VST analyst data as of August 2026, sourced from Yahoo Finance and may be delayed. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a forecast Walnut endorses, and targets are typically set on a 12-month view. Verify current figures before deciding.
The average target of $221.94 sits well above the $148.19 price, +49.8%. The median is $221.00, and where the two differ the median is the steadier read, because one unusually high or low target cannot drag it.
What the VST target range actually tells you
The published targets span $106.00 to $320.00. That gap is 96% of the average target, which counts as wide disagreement. A spread that wide is the most informative number on this page: analysts who all follow the company closely cannot agree within a factor that large, which means the outcome genuinely depends on assumptions nobody can settle yet.
The useful move is to read the high target as one bull scenario and the low target as one bear scenario, then ask which set of assumptions you find more plausible. Both cases are worked through on the VST is it a buy page.
Recent analyst actions on VST
| Firm | Action | Target | Prior | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Lowered (Buy) | $227.00 | $233.00 | July 28, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Raised (Overweight) | $212.00 | $208.00 | July 28, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Lowered (Buy) | $222.00 | $230.00 | July 27, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Raised (Sector Outperform) | $298.00 | $293.00 | July 15, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Lowered (Buy) | $230.00 | $253.00 | May 4, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Lowered (Overweight) | $231.00 | $240.00 | April 30, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Raised (Overweight) | $240.00 | $239.00 | March 19, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Lowered (Overweight) | $234.00 | $236.00 | February 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Raised (Buy) | $203.00 | $191.00 | February 10, 2026 |
The most recent published rating actions on VST within the last six months, from Yahoo Finance. Each row is dated because a target only means something alongside the date it was set. Walnut is not an investment adviser and does not endorse any of these views.
In the last six months there have been 4 raises and 5 cuts among these actions. The direction of revisions is often more telling than the level, because it shows which way informed opinion is moving.
How analysts rate VST
Of the analysts with a published rating, 19 say buy, 0 say hold, and 1 says sell, so 95% carry a buy. That mix has been broadly steady over the last three months.
Read the distribution rather than the label. Sell ratings are rare across the entire market for structural reasons, so a stock with no sell ratings is unremarkable, while even a handful of them is worth understanding.
Why a VST price target is not a prediction
- It is a 12-month model output. An analyst picks assumptions for revenue, margin, and a multiple, and the target falls out of the arithmetic. Change one assumption and the target moves a lot.
- The distribution is skewed. Sell-side coverage carries far more buy ratings than sell ratings across the whole market, so the average is not a balanced vote.
- Targets follow price as often as they lead it. Revisions frequently arrive after a move, not before, which is why a rising target is weak evidence on its own.
- Nobody is scored on it. There is no cost to a target that never gets close, so treat accuracy as unverified unless you check the firm's record yourself.
What could move VST from here
In short: the drivers cited most often are Data-center and AI power demand, Nuclear and dispatchable fleet, Integrated generation and retail with capital returns. The risk cited most often against it is as a competitive (unregulated) power generator, Vistra's earnings are sensitive to wholesale power prices, fuel costs, and weather, making results more volatile than a regulated utility with guaranteed returns.
Both sides are worked through properly, with the high and low targets used as the bull and bear anchors, on the VST is it a buy page. This page deliberately stops at the numbers.
Investing in Vistra with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how VST fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the price target for Vistra (VST)?
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The average analyst price target for VST is $221.94 as of August 2026, across 18 analysts. That is +49.8% against the $148.19 price at the time of the data pull, so the consensus sits well above where the stock trades. The median target, which is less distorted by one extreme view, is $221.00. Targets move constantly; verify the current figure before relying on it.
How high could VST go?
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The highest published target is $320.00, which is +115.9% against the $148.19 price. That is one analyst's most optimistic case, not a ceiling and not a forecast. The lowest is $106.00. The gap between them is the honest answer to this question: analysts who all follow Vistra closely disagree by 96% of the average target, so treat any single number as one scenario.
How many analysts cover VST?
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18 analysts publish estimates on VST as of August 2026. Of those with a published rating, 19 say buy, 0 hold, and 1 sell, so 95% carry a buy rating. More coverage usually means the consensus is better informed, though it also means the obvious points are already in the price.
Are analyst price targets for VST accurate?
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Treat them as informed opinion, not measurement. Two things are worth knowing. Sell-side ratings skew positive across the market, and VST is no exception at 95% buy ratings, so the distribution is not a balanced vote. And targets tend to follow the share price at least as often as they lead it, getting raised after a stock has already run. They are most useful as a read on what the informed consensus expects, and least useful as a prediction of where the price lands.
Has the VST price target been raised or cut recently?
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In the last six months there have been 4 raises and 5 cuts among the published actions on VST. The most recent was UBS, which lowered its target to $227.00 from $233.00 on July 28, 2026. The direction of revisions often tells you more than the level, because it shows which way the informed view is moving.
Will VST go up in 2026?
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Nobody knows, including the analysts publishing targets. What the numbers on this page tell you is where informed opinion currently sits and how much it disagrees with itself, which is genuinely useful and completely different from a prediction. The risk most often cited against Vistra: As a competitive (unregulated) power generator, Vistra's earnings are sensitive to wholesale power prices, fuel costs, and weather, making results more volatile than a regulated utility with guaranteed returns. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice, and does not publish price targets of its own. The analyst figures on this page come from a August 2026 data pull of published third-party research, are approximate, and change constantly. Verify current figures with your broker before acting on them.
Guides that feature VST
VST is one of the names covered in these guides. Each one puts the stock next to its peers so you can see where it fits rather than judging it alone.