TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Forecast and Price Target (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
18 analysts covering TAL Education Group (TAL) carry an average price target of $15.59 as of July 2026, +43.7% against the $10.85 price at the time of the pull. The published targets run from $11.54 to $18.67, a spread of 46% of the average, so the disagreement is moderate. The rating split is 18 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a prediction, and sell-side ratings skew positive across the whole market. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
TAL analyst price targets
TAL analyst data as of July 2026, sourced from Yahoo Finance and may be delayed. A price target is what an analyst published on a date, not a forecast Walnut endorses, and targets are typically set on a 12-month view. Verify current figures before deciding.
The average target of $15.59 sits well above the $10.85 price, +43.7%. The median is $16.00, and where the two differ the median is the steadier read, because one unusually high or low target cannot drag it.
What the TAL target range actually tells you
The published targets span $11.54 to $18.67. That gap is 46% of the average target, which counts as moderate disagreement. That is a fairly typical spread: enough agreement that the average means something, enough disagreement that it should not be treated as precise.
The useful move is to read the high target as one bull scenario and the low target as one bear scenario, then ask which set of assumptions you find more plausible. Both cases are worked through on the TAL is it a buy page.
Why no recent TAL analyst actions are shown
The most recent individual rating action we hold on TAL is around 13 months old. We do not show it. A price target set that long ago tells you nothing about today and would be actively misleading printed next to the current price. The consensus figures above are current as of July 2026; the per-firm history is not, so treat the coverage on this name as thin.
How analysts rate TAL
Of the analysts with a published rating, 18 say buy, 1 say hold, and 0 say sell, so 95% carry a buy. That buy share has risen over the last three months, so sentiment is drifting more positive.
Read the distribution rather than the label. Sell ratings are rare across the entire market for structural reasons, so a stock with no sell ratings is unremarkable, while even a handful of them is worth understanding.
Why a TAL price target is not a prediction
- It is a 12-month model output. An analyst picks assumptions for revenue, margin, and a multiple, and the target falls out of the arithmetic. Change one assumption and the target moves a lot.
- The distribution is skewed. Sell-side coverage carries far more buy ratings than sell ratings across the whole market, so the average is not a balanced vote.
- Targets follow price as often as they lead it. Revisions frequently arrive after a move, not before, which is why a rising target is weak evidence on its own.
- Nobody is scored on it. There is no cost to a target that never gets close, so treat accuracy as unverified unless you check the firm's record yourself.
What could move TAL from here
In short: the drivers cited most often are Learning-device and AI hardware growth, Rebuilt non-academic learning services, Return to profitability and capital return. The risk cited most often against it is the dominant risks are specific to Chinese ADRs.
Both sides are worked through properly, with the high and low targets used as the bull and bear anchors, on the TAL is it a buy page. This page deliberately stops at the numbers.
Investing in TAL Education Group with AI
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FAQ
What is the price target for TAL Education Group (TAL)?
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The average analyst price target for TAL is $15.59 as of July 2026, across 18 analysts. That is +43.7% against the $10.85 price at the time of the data pull, so the consensus sits well above where the stock trades. The median target, which is less distorted by one extreme view, is $16.00. Targets move constantly; verify the current figure before relying on it.
How high could TAL go?
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The highest published target is $18.67, which is +72.1% against the $10.85 price. That is one analyst's most optimistic case, not a ceiling and not a forecast. The lowest is $11.54. The gap between them is the honest answer to this question: analysts who all follow TAL Education Group closely disagree by 46% of the average target, so treat any single number as one scenario.
How many analysts cover TAL?
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18 analysts publish estimates on TAL as of July 2026. Of those with a published rating, 18 say buy, 1 hold, and 0 sell, so 95% carry a buy rating. More coverage usually means the consensus is better informed, though it also means the obvious points are already in the price.
Are analyst price targets for TAL accurate?
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Treat them as informed opinion, not measurement. Two things are worth knowing. Sell-side ratings skew positive across the market, and TAL is no exception at 95% buy ratings, so the distribution is not a balanced vote. And targets tend to follow the share price at least as often as they lead it, getting raised after a stock has already run. They are most useful as a read on what the informed consensus expects, and least useful as a prediction of where the price lands.
Why are no recent analyst actions shown for TAL?
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The most recent individual rating action we have on TAL is around 13 months old, so we do not display the table. A price target set that long ago says nothing about today's price and would be misleading next to it. The consensus figures above are current as of July 2026; the per-firm history is not.
Is analyst sentiment on TAL improving?
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Over the last three months the share of analysts rating TAL a buy has been rising. That is a shift in opinion, not in the business, and it often lags the news that caused it. It is worth watching alongside the target revisions rather than on its own.
Will TAL go up in 2026?
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Nobody knows, including the analysts publishing targets. What the numbers on this page tell you is where informed opinion currently sits and how much it disagrees with itself, which is genuinely useful and completely different from a prediction. The risk most often cited against TAL Education Group: The dominant risks are specific to Chinese ADRs. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice, and does not publish price targets of its own. The analyst figures on this page come from a July 2026 data pull of published third-party research, are approximate, and change constantly. Verify current figures with your broker before acting on them.