WARP Forecast 2026: Price Target, Outlook and What Analysts Expect
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
Nobody publishes a price target for WARP itself. What can be measured is what analysts expect for the stocks it holds: across 8 of its top holdings, about 64% of the fund, the weight-adjusted average analyst price target sits 63.3% above current prices, and analysts expect those companies' earnings to grow about +38% next fiscal year. Over the past year its price changed -30.8% (to 2026-10-16). Figures as of October 2026. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What analysts expect for WARP's top holdings
Weighting each covered holding's consensus price target by its share of WARP gives an average target 63.3% above current prices. That covers 8 holdings and about 64% of the fund; the rest is either outside the top holdings we track or lacks enough analyst coverage to average.
| Holding | Weight | Avg target vs price | Analysts | Next-year EPS growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. | 20.2% | +51.5% | 31 | - |
| RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation | 14.5% | +102.5% | 18 | - |
| ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. | 6.5% | +82.7% | 12 | - |
| ECHO EchoStar Corp Class A | 4.9% | - | - | - |
| VSAT Viasat, Inc. | 4.8% | +76.7% | 10 | +77% |
| MDA MDA Space Ltd. | 4.6% | +64.3% | 3 | +63% |
| IRDM Iridium Communications Inc. | 4.6% | -4.0% | 5 | +59% |
| GSAT Globalstar, Inc. | 4.6% | +9.2% | 3 | -50% |
| RDW Redwire Corporation | 4.5% | +70.2% | 9 | - |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | 4.4% | - | - | - |
Weights are WARP's published top holdings as of October 2026. Targets and estimates are each company's sell-side consensus from Yahoo Finance as of October 2026; a dash means fewer than three analysts or no data. Each linked ticker opens that company's own forecast page.
Read this as the mood of the analysts who cover WARP's largest companies, not as a forecast for the fund. Sell-side targets skew optimistic across the whole market, they run about twelve months, and they tend to follow prices as often as lead them. The earnings column is the steadier input: the covered holdings are expected to grow earnings about +38% on a weighted basis next fiscal year, which is what a stock fund's price has to be justified by over time.
WARP income at today's yield
WARP pays little or nothing in distributions as of October 2026, so its return comes from price changes. For the payout history and schedule, see WARP dividend: yield and schedule.
WARP past performance
- Year to date: -30.8% price change (to 2026-10-16).
- Past year: -30.8% price change.
- 52-week range: $17.00 to $41.77, against a last price of $17.49.
- Three-year beta: 0.00 (1.00 moves in line with the market; higher swings more).
History tells you how WARP has behaved, which is useful for sizing a position. It does not tell you what comes next, and periods of strong returns are often followed by weaker ones.
Is there a 2030 forecast for WARP?
No published one. Analysts do not forecast ETFs, and the targets on the companies inside a fund run about twelve months. Any 2030 figure for WARP is a past return projected forward.
What is certain is the cost. At 0.50% a year, about $50 on every $10,000 every year, it comes off whatever the holdings earn, in good years and bad. Across funds that track similar things, that is one of the few differences you can know in advance.
What could move WARP from here
WARP's three largest holdings, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., Rocket Lab Corporation, AST SpaceMobile, Inc., make up about 41% of the fund, so news about them moves it most. Beyond those names, it behaves like Tracks the MarketVector Space Index, a passive index of roughly 20 of the largest and most liquid global companies that derive at least half of their revenue from space-related activities, including launch systems and propulsion, satellite communications, Earth observation, and orbital infrastructure. The index emphasizes pure-play space exposure rather than broad aerospace and defense names.: broad market direction, interest rates and earnings growth across its holdings decide the result.
The case for and against owning it, including concentration and overlap with funds you may already hold, is on is WARP a good investment?
What would change the outlook for WARP
For a stock fund, two things move the long-run result: whether the companies it holds grow their earnings as analysts expect, and how much investors are willing to pay for those earnings. The first is what the estimates on this page describe. The second shifts with interest rates and sentiment and can swamp the first over a year or two. A cut to the earnings outlook for WARP's largest holdings, or a rise in long-term rates that makes future profits worth less today, are the two developments most likely to pull the fund below what the targets imply.
How to read this page: the analyst figures describe expectations for the holdings, not for the fund; the yield describes current income, not total return; the history describes one path through the market, not the next one. The cost is the only line that is known in advance.
More on WARP
- What is WARP? (holdings, cost, and the themes it covers)
- Is WARP a good investment?
- WARP dividend: yield and schedule
Investing in WARP with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how WARP fits what you actually hold: what it overlaps with, what it leaves you exposed to, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the WARP forecast for 2026?
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Nobody publishes a price target for WARP itself. What can be measured is what analysts expect for the stocks it holds: across 8 of its top holdings, about 64% of the fund, the weight-adjusted average analyst price target sits 63.3% above current prices, and analysts expect those companies' earnings to grow about +38% next fiscal year. Over the past year its price changed -30.8% (to 2026-10-16). Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What is the price target for WARP?
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Analysts do not publish targets on ETFs, only on the companies inside them. Weighting the consensus targets of WARP's 8 covered top holdings by their weight in the fund gives an average target 63.3% above current prices, as of October 2026. That covers about 64% of the fund, so it is a read on its largest names, not the whole portfolio, and price targets skew optimistic across the market.
What is the WARP price prediction for 2030?
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There is no published one, and any site showing a figure has extrapolated a past return. What is knowable about 2030 is the cost: at 0.50% a year, about $50 a year on $10,000, that comes off whatever the holdings return.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice, and does not publish price targets of its own. Holding weights are approximate as of October 2026; analyst targets, estimates and fund statistics come from a October 2026 pull of Yahoo Finance and change constantly. Verify current figures with VanEck or your broker.