AAL vs LTM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

LTM is the larger of the two ($15.30B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (8.27x forward earnings, beta 0.89). AAL is the smaller challenger ($10.11B), cheaper on forward earnings (6.08x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

AAL vs LTM: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAALLTMWhat it tells you
Market cap$10.11B$15.30BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E6.088.27Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta1.320.89Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range60% of range37% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.

Reading it: AAL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how AAL and LTM affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AAL and LTM share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AAL and LTM exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does American Airlines Group (AAL) do?

American Airlines Group operates the world's largest airline by scheduled passengers and fleet size, flying a hub-and-spoke network centered on Dallas-Fort Worth, Charlotte, Miami, Phoenix, and other US gateways, plus international routes across the Atlantic, Latin America, and the Pacific. Its economics rest on three pillars: passenger ticket revenue, its high-margin AAdvantage loyalty and co-branded credit-card program (a major profit engine tied to its Citi and Barclays partnerships), and cargo. Like all legacy carriers, it carries heavy fixed costs for aircraft, fuel, and labor, which makes profitability sensitive to load factors, fares, and jet-fuel prices.

Full AAL guide

What does LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) do?

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. runs the largest airline network in South America, with passenger subsidiaries in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay and Peru, a long-haul operation to North America, Europe and Oceania, and a cargo business that carried ~$510 million of revenue in the second quarter of 2026. The group transported ~21.1 million passengers in that quarter at an ~81.8% load factor, flew an operating fleet of ~383 aircraft, and guides to ~410 aircraft by the end of 2026 as A320neo, A321neo, Boeing 787-9 and Embraer E190-E2 deliveries arrive. Brazil is now its largest revenue market, ahead of Chile. Since 2022 LATAM has flown a trans-American joint venture with Delta Air Lines, having left the oneworld alliance in 2020, and reports in US dollars even though most ticket revenue is collected in Brazilian reais, Chilean pesos and other local currencies.

Full LTM guide

AAL vs LTM: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • AAL drivers: Record revenue and premium mix; Loyalty and co-branded card economics.
  • LTM drivers: Capacity growth funded by a renewed fleet; Premium cabin and cargo carry the revenue mix.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: American carries one of the most leveraged balance sheets among US airlines, with an adjusted net-debt-to-capital ratio management has cited near 119%, well above peers like Delta and United. For LTM, fuel is the dominant variable: a Middle East supply disruption nearly doubled LATAM's fuel-related costs year over year in the second quarter of 2026 and cut operating margin from ~12.9% to ~5.4%, and the group carries no permanent hedge that removes that exposure.

AAL or LTM: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AAL if you believe its drivers more; LTM if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AAL and LTM guides.

AAL vs LTM: the full fundamentals

AAL. American trades at a low market cap relative to its revenue, which is typical for airlines because heavy debt sits ahead of shareholders in the capital structure. The 2026 guidance range spanning a loss to a modest profit reflects how much depends on fuel prices and demand. The stock traded around $18 in early July 2026, off its 2026 highs, with analyst price targets clustered in a wide band.

LTM. All figures are in US dollars, which is how LATAM reports, even though the majority of ticket sales are collected in local South American currencies. The trailing multiples blend a near-record first quarter (~19.8% adjusted operating margin) with a fuel-crushed second quarter (~5.4%), so a trailing P/E near ~9.6x is describing two very different operating environments averaged together. Trailing dividends of ~$0.96 per ADS, an interim in December 2025 plus a final in May 2026, work out to roughly a ~1.8% yield at the recent price.

Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): AAL shows revenue (ttm) ~$55B, q1 2026 revenue ~$13.9B (record, +11% YoY), total debt ~$34.7B (below $35B, lowest since 2015), liquidity ~$10.8B; LTM shows revenue (ttm) ~$15.9B; FY2026 guidance ~$17.3B to ~$17.7B, net income (ttm) ~$1.56B, about ~$5.45 per ADS, q2 2026 revenue and margin ~$4.18B (+27.6% YoY), ~5.4% adjusted operating margin, adjusted ebitda ~$713M in Q2 2026 (~17.0% margin); FY2026 guided ~$4.1B to ~$4.4B.

The bottom line: AAL vs LTM

AAL and LTM are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AAL and LTM exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how AAL or LTM fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in American Airlines Group with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AAL fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between AAL and LTM?

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American Airlines Group operates the world's largest airline by scheduled passengers and fleet size, flying a hub-and-spoke network centered on Dallas-Fort Worth, Charlotte, Miami, Phoenix, and other US gateways, plus international routes across the Atlantic, Latin America, and the Pacific. LATAM Airlines Group S.A. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is AAL or LTM the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. LTM is the larger incumbent; AAL is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, AAL or LTM?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), AAL trades at 6.08x and LTM at 8.27x, so AAL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both AAL and LTM?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of AAL vs LTM?

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AAL: American carries one of the most leveraged balance sheets among US airlines, with an adjusted net-debt-to-capital ratio management has cited near 119%, well above peers like Delta and United. Jet-fuel prices are the single biggest swing factor: a roughly $400 million adverse fuel impact hurt the first quarter alone, and full-year guidance was cut sharply from earlier in the year. Air travel is highly cyclical and exposed to recessions, weaker consumer or corporate demand, labor cost pressure, weather and operational disruptions, and industry price competition. The stock has been notably volatile, and a soft demand year combined with high fuel could push results back into losses. LTM: Fuel is the dominant variable: a Middle East supply disruption nearly doubled LATAM's fuel-related costs year over year in the second quarter of 2026 and cut operating margin from ~12.9% to ~5.4%, and the group carries no permanent hedge that removes that exposure. Currency cuts the other way, because most revenue is earned in Brazilian reais, Chilean pesos and Peruvian soles while fuel, aircraft leases and most debt are denominated in US dollars, so a weaker real both compresses local margins and shrinks reported dollar results. Competition in Brazil against Gol and Azul, and against JetSMART and Sky in Spanish-speaking South America, keeps domestic fares tied to capacity discipline the group does not set alone. Balance sheet and capital-intensity risk remain real even after the restructuring, with ~$9.0 billion of total debt, continuous aircraft capital commitments, and a delivery schedule that depends on Airbus, Boeing and Embraer meeting dates. Political, regulatory and consumer-litigation exposure across six operating jurisdictions rounds it out, including a US consumer class action over the airline's no-show ticket-cancellation policy, and post-reorganization holders have repeatedly sold ADS into the market through secondary offerings, which adds supply that is unrelated to operating results.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AAL or LTM; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    AAL vs LTM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App