ABAT vs SQM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

SQM is the larger of the two ($17.20B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (8.64x forward earnings, beta 1.07). ABAT is the smaller challenger ($211.02M), priced similarly on forward earnings (-10.57x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ABAT vs SQM: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricABATSQMWhat it tells you
Market cap$211.02M$17.20BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E-10.578.64Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta1.311.07Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range0% of range33% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.662.72How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how ABAT and SQM affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ABAT and SQM share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ABAT and SQM exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does American Battery Technology (ABAT) do?

American Battery Technology Company (ABAT), based in Reno, Nevada, operates a commercial-scale lithium-ion battery recycling facility designed to process roughly 20,000 metric tonnes of feedstock per year into battery-grade metals such as lithium, nickel, cobalt, and manganese. The company recovers these critical minerals from end-of-life batteries and manufacturing scrap, aiming to feed them back into the domestic battery supply chain. In fiscal 2026 (the year ended June 30, 2026) revenue rose about 407% to roughly $21.7 million as throughput more than quadrupled, and the company reported a non-GAAP adjusted gross profit of about $1.7 million versus a $6.2 million adjusted gross loss a year earlier (on a GAAP basis it still posted a gross loss of about $3.1 million), and it has announced plans for a second, larger recycling facility designed to handle around 100,000 metric tonnes of battery materials per year.

Full ABAT guide

What does Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM) do?

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile, known as SQM, is a Chilean mining and chemicals company and one of the world's largest producers of lithium, a critical material for electric-vehicle and energy-storage batteries. SQM extracts lithium from brine in Chile's Atacama Desert, one of the lowest-cost and highest-quality lithium resources globally, under a concession with the Chilean state agency. Beyond lithium, SQM is a leading producer of specialty plant nutrients (potassium nitrate and specialty fertilizers), iodine (used in X-ray contrast media and other applications, where SQM is a global leader), and industrial chemicals. The company makes money selling these commodities and specialty products into global markets, with lithium being the most cyclical and most watched segment. SQM's fortunes are heavily tied to lithium prices, which swing sharply with EV demand and supply additions. Headquartered in Santiago, Chile, it trades in the US via American Depositary Receipts.

Full SQM guide

ABAT vs SQM: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ABAT drivers: Recycling ramp; Tonopah Flats lithium resource.
  • SQM drivers: Low-cost Atacama lithium resource; EV and energy-storage demand growth.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: ABAT is an early-commercial, pre-profit company whose biggest risk is execution: scaling recycling to consistent profitability and financing and building the Tonopah Flats lithium project are both unproven and capital-intensive. For SQM, sQM's earnings are highly cyclical and dominated by volatile lithium prices, which have swung dramatically as supply additions outpaced demand at times, crushing margins.

ABAT or SQM: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ABAT if you believe its drivers more; SQM if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ABAT and SQM guides.

ABAT vs SQM: the full fundamentals

ABAT. ABAT is a speculative, early-commercial company, so traditional valuation multiples do not apply: it is pre-profit, burning cash, and funding itself largely through equity issuance and government grants. At roughly 10 times trailing revenue and about 4.5 times its June cash balance, the market still values it on the potential of the recycling ramp and the Tonopah Flats project, and the 73% one-year decline shows how sensitive the price is to dilution, export policy, and battery-metal prices.

SQM. SQM closes near $60.50 on October 16, 2026, down about 13% year to date but up about 36% over the past year, giving roughly 12x trailing and 9x forward earnings with a dividend yield near 4%. The low multiple reflects a cyclical peak-earnings discount: profits rebounded sharply in 2026 with lithium prices, and analysts expect 2027 revenue to ease. Earnings multiples remain noisy and are best read across a full cycle, with the November 17 Q3 report the next data point.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026 (fiscal year ended June 30, 2026)): ABAT shows revenue (fy2026) ~$21.7 million (up ~407% year over year); Q4 FY26 ~$8.2 million, gross profit ~$1.7 million adjusted (non-GAAP); GAAP gross loss ~$3.1 million, net loss (fy2026) ~$73.4 million (EPS ~-$0.58), net loss (q4 fy26) ~$20.0 million (EPS ~-$0.15 vs ~-$0.06 consensus); SQM shows revenue (ttm) ~$6.7B, q2 2026 revenue growth ~137% YoY (~$2.47B), q2 2026 lithium sales volume record, >84,000 t LCE, net income (ttm) ~$1.4B.

The bottom line: ABAT vs SQM

ABAT and SQM are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ABAT and SQM exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ABAT or SQM fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in American Battery Technology with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ABAT fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ABAT and SQM?

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American Battery Technology Company (ABAT), based in Reno, Nevada, operates a commercial-scale lithium-ion battery recycling facility designed to process roughly 20,000 metric tonnes of feedstock per year into battery-grade metals such as lithium, nickel, cobalt, and manganese. Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile, known as SQM, is a Chilean mining and chemicals company and one of the world's largest producers of lithium, a critical material for electric-vehicle and energy-storage batteries. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ABAT or SQM the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. SQM is the larger incumbent; ABAT is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ABAT or SQM?

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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), ABAT trades at -10.57x and SQM at 8.64x, so ABAT is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ABAT and SQM?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ABAT vs SQM?

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ABAT: ABAT is an early-commercial, pre-profit company whose biggest risk is execution: scaling recycling to consistent profitability and financing and building the Tonopah Flats lithium project are both unproven and capital-intensive. The company burns cash and has funded itself through repeated equity issuance, including at-the-market sales and warrant exercises, diluting existing shareholders. Lithium and battery-metal prices are volatile and have fallen from prior peaks, pressuring the economics of both recycling and primary production. Project economics remain unproven at scale, and continued access to grants and capital is not guaranteed. Trade policy is a newer risk: a Commerce Department directive restricting black mass exports forced the company to store material until it secured an export license in October 2026, and that license covers up to $100 million of material rather than open-ended sales. The company's own filings cite going-concern uncertainty among its risk factors, and the share count rose by roughly 45% during fiscal 2026. SQM: SQM's earnings are highly cyclical and dominated by volatile lithium prices, which have swung dramatically as supply additions outpaced demand at times, crushing margins. A large wave of new lithium supply globally can keep prices depressed for extended periods. As a Chilean producer, SQM faces sovereign and regulatory risk: the state controls the Atacama concession, royalties and tax terms can change, and national lithium policy reshapes who controls future production. Currency, political, and resource-nationalism risks in Chile are real. EV-demand growth could disappoint or shift toward chemistries that use less lithium. The stock tends to trade with commodity sentiment, making it volatile. The 2026 recovery itself raises the stakes: analysts expect 2027 revenue to dip about 8% from 2026 levels, and with the stock down about 13% year to date despite earnings up several-fold, the market appears to doubt how long elevated lithium prices last. SQM also accrued more than $1.6 billion to the Chilean state in taxes, contributions, and Corfo payments in the first half of 2026, a reminder of how much of each upcycle the government captures.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ABAT or SQM; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.