ACM vs FER: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

FER is the larger of the two ($42.36B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (38.04x forward earnings, beta 0.80). ACM is the smaller challenger ($9.63B), cheaper on forward earnings (11.15x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ACM vs FER: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricACMFERWhat it tells you
Market cap$9.63B$42.36BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E11.1538.04Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E15.6460.59Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.920.80Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range12% of range26% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book4.236.35How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: ACM is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how ACM and FER affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ACM and FER share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ACM and FER exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does AECOM (ACM) do?

AECOM is in the business of engineering expertise, not steel. The company plans, designs, engineers and manages infrastructure programs for governments and large corporations: highways and transit systems, water and wastewater treatment, airports and ports, environmental remediation, flood defenses, and increasingly the power and site work behind data centers. It reports in three segments, Americas (about $2.9 billion of quarterly revenue), International (about $890 million), and a small AECOM Capital investment arm, and employs roughly 51,000 people. Critically, AECOM exited self-perform construction years ago, so it no longer takes fixed-price building risk on its own balance sheet. What is left is a professional services business with very little capital intensity, which is why return on equity runs near 29% on only about $3.35 billion of debt against $1.04 billion of cash.

Full ACM guide

What does Ferrovial (FER) do?

Ferrovial N.V. designs, builds, owns and operates transport infrastructure across four segments: Highways, Airports, Construction and Energy. Highways is the one that carries the company. It holds roughly 43% of Canada's 407 ETR, the electronically tolled express route across the Greater Toronto Area, plus controlling interests in the Dallas-Fort Worth Managed Lanes (NTE, LBJ and NTE 35W), I-77 in North Carolina and I-66 in Virginia. These are long-dated concessions with pricing power written into the contracts, which is what separates them from ordinary construction work. Construction, run through Ferrovial Construction, Budimex in Poland and Webber in the United States, builds both third-party projects and the group's own concessions. Airports is now much smaller after Ferrovial sold a 19.75% stake in Heathrow for roughly EUR 2.0 billion in December 2024, keeping about 5.25%; the remaining marquee asset is a 49% interest in the New Terminal One at JFK. Energy handles transmission and generation projects. The company moved its primary corporate seat to the Netherlands and added the Nasdaq listing in 2024, and the shares now sit in the Nasdaq-100.

Full FER guide

ACM vs FER: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ACM drivers: A record backlog that is growing faster than revenue; Margin expansion in an asset-light model.
  • FER drivers: 407 ETR pricing and volume recovery; Texas Managed Lanes maturing into cash.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The cash flow problem is the live issue and it is not resolved: operating cash flow fell 98% in the fiscal second quarter of 2026 and free cash flow went negative, while significant claims recorded in contract assets and other non-current assets grew to roughly $680 million from about $400 million at the September 2025 fiscal year end. For FER, concession assets are finite: the 407 ETR agreement runs to 2098, but shorter US concessions eventually revert to the state, and terminal value assumptions do a lot of work in most FER valuation models.

ACM or FER: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ACM if you believe its drivers more; FER if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ACM and FER guides.

ACM vs FER: the full fundamentals

ACM. The valuation reflects skepticism about cash conversion, not about the order book. At roughly 12 times forward earnings and about 9.9 times EV/EBITDA, AECOM prices below an engineering and consulting peer group closer to 13 times, despite carrying higher margins than the peer average, a gap management has explicitly flagged in its investor slides. Trailing GAAP metrics look less flattering (net income of about $506 million on $16.0 billion of revenue is a 3.2% margin, giving a trailing P/E near 19.5), which is why the forward and trailing multiples tell such different stories. Return on equity near 29% and a share count down roughly 20% since 2020 are what the forward multiple is capitalizing.

FER. The trailing P/E sits near 50x on 2026 consensus, which looks absurd against a builder and reasonable against a concession owner, because equity-accounted stakes such as 407 ETR contribute dividends rather than proportional earnings. Most sell-side work on FER therefore uses sum-of-the-parts: discount each concession's cash flows to the end of its licence, add the construction and energy businesses at a modest multiple, then subtract holding-company debt. Dividend yield is around 1.8%, part of it paid in scrip, so the cash component is smaller than the headline suggests.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): ACM shows revenue (ttm) ~$16.0 billion, with net service revenue near $1.95 billion a quarter, fiscal 2026 guidance ~$5.90 to $6.10 adjusted EPS, ~$1.275 to $1.305 billion adjusted EBITDA, ~$400 million free cash flow, total backlog ~$26.2 billion, a record, up ~8% year over year, adjusted ebitda margin ~16.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, with Americas segment margin at ~20.0%; FER shows revenue (ttm) ~$9.86B, market capitalisation ~$42.4B, h1 2026 revenue ~EUR 4.70B (reported in euros), +5.2% reported and ~+11.3% like-for-like, h1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~EUR 746M, +13.9%.

The bottom line: ACM vs FER

ACM and FER are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ACM and FER exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ACM or FER fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in AECOM with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ACM fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ACM and FER?

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AECOM is in the business of engineering expertise, not steel. Ferrovial N.V. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ACM or FER the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. FER is the larger incumbent; ACM is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ACM or FER?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ACM trades at 11.15x and FER at 38.04x, so ACM is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ACM and FER?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ACM vs FER?

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ACM: The cash flow problem is the live issue and it is not resolved: operating cash flow fell 98% in the fiscal second quarter of 2026 and free cash flow went negative, while significant claims recorded in contract assets and other non-current assets grew to roughly $680 million from about $400 million at the September 2025 fiscal year end. Full-year free cash flow guidance of roughly $400 million therefore depends on collecting a large amount in the back half, and if claims resolution keeps slipping, the reported earnings growth will look increasingly disconnected from cash. Several plaintiffs' firms (Pomerantz, Glancy Prongay, Schall, Howard G. Smith, Frank R. Cruz) announced securities-fraud investigations in May and June 2026 over the disclosures around that quarter; as of early August 2026 these appear to be investigations rather than a filed class action, but they are an open overhang. Government client concentration cuts both ways, exposing the company to budget cycles, appropriations delays and procurement slowdowns, and International net service revenue was already declining 3% in constant currency. Short interest sits near 6.7% of shares outstanding, and fiscal third quarter results are scheduled for August 10, 2026, which is a near-term catalyst in either direction. FER: Concession assets are finite: the 407 ETR agreement runs to 2098, but shorter US concessions eventually revert to the state, and terminal value assumptions do a lot of work in most FER valuation models. Regulatory and political risk is real, since tolling regimes are set by governments that occasionally revisit them, and the 407 has already been through litigation with Ontario over rate-setting and licence-plate denial. Project execution can bite: the New Terminal One at JFK, where Ferrovial holds 49%, has slipped its opening to March 2027 with delay penalties attached, and I-77 traffic fell about 5.2% in the first half. Reported earnings are volatile because asset sales dominate them, so a strong year followed by a weak one may say nothing about the underlying business. Finally, US investors carry currency exposure (the group reports in euros) and Dutch dividend withholding, both of which change the realised return without changing the operating result.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ACM or FER; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    ACM vs FER: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App