AEM vs HMY: How Agnico Eagle Mines and Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
AEM is the larger of the two ($70.34B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (11.08x forward earnings, beta 0.60). HMY is the smaller challenger ($9.72B), cheaper on forward earnings (4.61x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
AEM vs HMY: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | AEM | HMY | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $70.34B | $9.72B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 11.08 | 4.61 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 13.24 | 9.99 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.60 | 0.71 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 14% of range | 21% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 2.68 | 3.10 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: HMY is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how AEM and HMY affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AEM and HMY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AEM and HMY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) do?
Agnico Eagle Mines is a senior gold producer and, by market value, one of the three largest gold miners in the world alongside Newmont and Barrick. It mines and sells gold from a portfolio of operations concentrated in low-risk jurisdictions: Canada is the core, complemented by mines in Australia, Finland, and Mexico. Because it sells a globally priced commodity, Agnico is largely a price-taker: its revenue moves with the gold price, while a large share of its mining costs are relatively fixed. That combination gives it operating leverage, meaning profits can rise faster than the gold price in a strong market and fall faster in a weak one.
What does Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) do?
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is South Africa's largest gold producer, operating a mix of deep-level underground and surface mines across South Africa plus the Hidden Valley open-pit mine in Papua New Guinea. In FY2025 (year ended June 2025) the group produced about 46,023 kg of gold (roughly 1.5 million ounces) and reported revenue of about $4.07 billion, up 24%, helped by an average received gold price around US$2,620 per ounce. Because it sells gold into global markets, Harmony is largely a price-taker: its revenue and margins are driven by the dollar gold price, the rand/dollar exchange rate, and its own mining costs, which run higher than many peers because of the depth and age of its South African orebodies.
AEM vs HMY: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- AEM drivers: Leverage to a strong gold price; Low-cost operations in stable jurisdictions.
- HMY drivers: Gold price and margin leverage; Copper diversification.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is the gold price itself. For HMY, the dominant risk is gold-price cyclicality: because Harmony is a higher-cost producer, a sustained drop in bullion or a stronger rand can compress margins quickly, and its low headline P/E can flatter peak-cycle earnings.
AEM or HMY: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AEM if you believe its drivers more; HMY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AEM and HMY guides.
AEM vs HMY: the full fundamentals
AEM. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. Agnico's recent record results reflect an exceptionally high gold price, so a low or reasonable-looking earnings multiple can be misleading if it rests on peak-cycle margins that may not persist if bullion falls. The premium the market often assigns Agnico versus peers is a bet on both continued strong gold prices and the company's operational quality, so the stock can be sensitive to disappointment on either front.
HMY. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. Harmony reports on a June fiscal year in both rand and US dollars, so US-dollar results also reflect rand/dollar moves. For a higher-cost gold producer, a low trailing P/E can be a trap because it reflects strong-cycle earnings that may not repeat if gold falls or costs rise, so where the gold price sits in its cycle matters more than the multiple.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): AEM shows business model Senior gold producer; revenue is a price-taker on the gold market with largely fixed mining costs, creating operating leverage, q1 2026 production About 825,000 payable ounces of gold; all-in sustaining costs around $1,483 per ounce, q1 2026 profitability Record net income of roughly $1.7 billion on a realized gold price near $4,861 per ounce, up sharply year over year, 2026 guidance Reaffirmed gold production of 3.3 to 3.5 million ounces for the full year; HMY shows revenue (fy2025, year ended june 2025) ~$4.07 billion (up ~24% year over year), gold production (fy2025) ~46,023 kg (~1.5 million ounces), diluted eps (fy2025) ~71 US cents (up ~32%; 1,265 SA cents), free cash flow (fy2025) ~$614 million (record, up ~58%).
The bottom line: AEM vs HMY
AEM and HMY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AEM and HMY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Investing in Agnico Eagle Mines with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AEM fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between AEM and HMY?
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Agnico Eagle Mines is a senior gold producer and, by market value, one of the three largest gold miners in the world alongside Newmont and Barrick. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is South Africa's largest gold producer, operating a mix of deep-level underground and surface mines across South Africa plus the Hidden Valley open-pit mine in Papua New Guinea. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is AEM or HMY the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. AEM is the larger incumbent; HMY is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, AEM or HMY?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), AEM trades at 11.08x and HMY at 4.61x, so HMY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both AEM and HMY?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of AEM vs HMY?
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AEM: The dominant risk is the gold price itself. Agnico is fundamentally a commodity producer, so a sustained decline in bullion would compress margins and earnings quickly, and the same operating leverage that magnifies profits on the way up magnifies losses on the way down. Because the shares often carry a premium valuation built on strong gold prices and operational quality, they can fall hard if either the metal or the operating story disappoints. Cost inflation is a structural risk: energy, labor, and consumables can push all-in sustaining costs higher and erode margins even when gold is firm. Mining is also operationally hazardous, exposed to grade variability, permitting delays, and reserve-replacement challenges, since every ounce mined must eventually be replaced through exploration or acquisition. Finally, while Agnico's jurisdictions are relatively stable, it still faces regulatory, environmental, and local-community risks that can delay or raise the cost of new projects. HMY: The dominant risk is gold-price cyclicality: because Harmony is a higher-cost producer, a sustained drop in bullion or a stronger rand can compress margins quickly, and its low headline P/E can flatter peak-cycle earnings. South African operating risk is significant, spanning deep-level mining safety, seismicity, aging infrastructure, electricity supply and Eskom reliability, labor relations, and regulatory and currency volatility. The copper pivot adds large capital and execution risk: Eva and the MAC integration require billions in spending during which metal prices could turn, and Wafi-Golpu faces permitting and legal delays in Papua New Guinea that could push value years out. As with any single-country-heavy miner, geopolitical, tax, and community-relations issues are outside the company's control and can move results materially.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AEM or HMY; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.