AG vs AYA: How First Majestic Silver Corp and Aya Gold & Silver Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

AG is the larger of the two ($7.41B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (14.25x forward earnings, beta 2.11). AYA is the smaller challenger ($3.90B), cheaper on forward earnings (11.82x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

AG vs AYA: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAGAYAWhat it tells you
Market cap$7.41B$3.90BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E14.2511.82Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E21.4745.32Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta2.111.70Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range29% of range99% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.678.48How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: AYA is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how AG and AYA affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AG and AYA share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AG and AYA exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) do?

First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE: AG) is a precious-metals producer that operates four underground mines in Mexico: San Dimas in Durango, Santa Elena in Sonora, La Encantada in Coahuila, and Cerro Los Gatos in Chihuahua. The company mines silver and gold as its primary products, along with byproduct zinc, lead, and copper. In January 2025 First Majestic completed its roughly $1.05 billion all-stock acquisition of Gatos Silver, adding a 70% interest in the Los Gatos joint venture and lifting 2025 silver production to a record 15.4 million ounces, up about 84% from the prior year.

Full AG guide

What does Aya Gold & Silver (AYA) do?

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. operates the Zgounder silver mine in Morocco's Anti-Atlas belt, which was expanded to roughly 2,000 tonnes per day and is now running at record throughput. Zgounder accounts for essentially all of the company's revenue, about $281 million of roughly $286 million on a trailing basis. The second asset, Boumadine, is a polymetallic deposit carrying silver, gold, zinc and lead that is being drilled toward a feasibility study, with a small commercial contribution already coming from reclaiming and selling a legacy pyrite stockpile. Aya has spent 2026 enlarging its footprint around both, growing its Moroccan land package by about 35% in August to over 991 square kilometres. The company keeps its Toronto listing and moved off the OTCQX market, where it traded as AYASF, when the Nasdaq listing went live.

Full AYA guide

AG vs AYA: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • AG drivers: Silver and gold price leverage; Los Gatos integration and scale.
  • AYA drivers: Zgounder running at record rates; Boumadine as the second mine.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The single largest risk is the silver price itself: a sustained decline would compress margins far faster than the metal falls because mining costs are largely fixed. For AYA, almost everything depends on one mine in one country.

AG or AYA: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AG if you believe its drivers more; AYA if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AG and AYA guides.

AG vs AYA: the full fundamentals

AG. First Majestic posted record Q1 2026 revenue of about $476.7 million, up roughly 95% year over year, with net earnings near $128 million and EPS around $0.26 as silver and gold prices surged. The stock trades at a trailing P/E in the low 30s and a forward P/E near 18, reflecting expectations that elevated metal prices continue. The dividend yield is negligible (well under 1%), so the return case rests almost entirely on the metal price and production.

AYA. The trailing multiple looks expensive and the forward multiple looks ordinary, and the gap between them is the whole story: consensus assumes a full year of expanded Zgounder output at current silver prices. Margins support the earnings, with gross margin near 55% and operating margin near 48%, but 13x sales is a growth-miner price rather than a producer price. Next results are scheduled for August 13, 2026.

Headline figures (approximate, Q1 2026): AG shows q1 2026 revenue ~$477M, q1 2026 net earnings ~$128M, q1 2026 eps ~$0.26, q1 2026 free cash flow ~$224M; AYA shows revenue (ttm) ~$286M, up ~321% year over year, net income (ttm) ~$87M, EPS ~$0.60, market cap ~$3.9B at ~$27 per share, p/e ~45x trailing, ~18x forward.

The bottom line: AG vs AYA

AG and AYA are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AG and AYA exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how AG or AYA fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in First Majestic Silver Corp with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AG fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between AG and AYA?

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First Majestic Silver Corp. Aya Gold & Silver Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is AG or AYA the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. AG is the larger incumbent; AYA is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, AG or AYA?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), AG trades at 14.25x and AYA at 11.82x, so AYA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both AG and AYA?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of AG vs AYA?

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AG: The single largest risk is the silver price itself: a sustained decline would compress margins far faster than the metal falls because mining costs are largely fixed. Geographic concentration is severe, with essentially all production in Mexico, exposing the company to peso currency swings, mining royalty and tax changes, permitting delays, and local security or labor disruptions. Rising input costs (energy, labor, consumables) can erode margins even when metal prices are steady. As a smaller producer than majors like Pan American or Fresnillo, AG has less operational diversification to absorb a single mine outage. The stock has historically been highly volatile and can move on sentiment and short interest as much as on fundamentals. AYA: Almost everything depends on one mine in one country. Zgounder supplies effectively all revenue, so a mill outage, a grade shortfall, a water constraint in an arid region, or any permitting or labour disruption in Morocco hits the whole income statement at once. Silver is among the more volatile commodities and the stock's roughly 1.7 beta and $8.27 to $27.33 twelve-month range reflect that; a valuation near 13x sales and 25x EBITDA leaves little room if realized prices soften. Boumadine is a study-stage asset whose PEA economics are not a construction estimate, and capital cost inflation, metallurgical complexity in a polymetallic ore, or feasibility slippage past 2027 would remove the growth leg the current multiple assumes. The company pays no dividend, so the entire return case rests on production growth and metal prices rather than cash distributions.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AG or AYA; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    AG vs AYA: How First Majestic Silver Corp and Aya Gold & Silver Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App