ARCC vs BX: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
BX is the larger of the two ($159.00B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (17.11x forward earnings, beta 1.58). ARCC is the smaller challenger ($13.47B), cheaper on forward earnings (9.73x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
ARCC vs BX: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | ARCC | BX | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $13.47B | $159.00B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 9.73 | 17.11 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 14.00 | 28.58 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.62 | 1.58 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 25% of range | 29% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 0.97 | 11.34 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: ARCC is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how ARCC and BX affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ARCC and BX share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ARCC and BX exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) do?
Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company (BDC), a listed vehicle that lends directly to middle-market US businesses, companies typically too small for public bond markets but too large for a local bank. It is the largest BDC by market value and is externally managed by an affiliate of Ares Management, one of the world's biggest alternative-credit managers, which gives it a deep origination platform and sponsor relationships. As of March 31, 2026 its portfolio investments totaled roughly $29.5 billion and net asset value was about $19.59 per share. New commitments in early 2026 skewed heavily to first-lien senior secured loans (around 56%), with the vast majority of the portfolio in floating-rate debt, so income tends to rise and fall with short-term interest rates.
What does Blackstone (BX) do?
Blackstone Inc. is the world's largest alternative asset manager, investing on behalf of pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, endowments, and increasingly individual investors. It runs money across several major strategies: real estate (historically its largest), private equity, credit and insurance, infrastructure, life sciences, growth equity, secondaries, and hedge fund solutions. The business model has two engines. First, it earns recurring management fees on the capital it manages, which produces relatively stable fee-related earnings and grows as assets under management climb. Second, it earns performance fees (carried interest and incentive fees) when its funds generate strong returns, which are lumpier and depend on realizations and market conditions. Because most of its capital is locked up in long-dated funds, Blackstone has durable, contracted fee streams, and it distributes a large share of its distributable earnings to shareholders as a variable quarterly dividend rather than a fixed one.
ARCC vs BX: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- ARCC drivers: Scale and the Ares platform; Floating-rate income and interest rates.
- BX drivers: Growth of assets under management; Private wealth and retail channel.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The central risk is credit quality: ARCC lends to leveraged private companies, so an economic slowdown can raise defaults and non-accruals, erode net asset value, and pressure the dividend. For BX, blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model.
ARCC or BX: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ARCC if you believe its drivers more; BX if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ARCC and BX guides.
ARCC vs BX: the full fundamentals
ARCC. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. Unlike an operating company, a BDC is best judged on net asset value per share, whether the dividend is covered by net investment income, and the level of non-accruals, rather than on a traditional earnings multiple. A yield in the double digits reflects both the income design of the structure and the credit risk of lending to leveraged private companies, so a high headline yield is not automatically a bargain.
BX. These figures are qualitative and approximate as of the asOf date, not precise real-time numbers. Because performance fees and the variable dividend move with realizations and markets, quarterly results can be uneven. Confirm live AUM, revenue, fee-related earnings, dividend, and valuation before acting.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): ARCC shows portfolio investments ~$29.5 billion at fair value (as of Mar 31, 2026); verify live, net asset value per share ~$19.59 (as of Mar 31, 2026); BDCs are valued largely on price-to-NAV, quarterly dividend $0.48 per share declared for Q1 2026 (~$1.92 paid across full-year 2025), dividend yield Roughly high single digits to low double digits on market price; verify live as it moves with the share price; BX shows assets under management More than $1.3 trillion as of early 2026, the largest of any alternative asset manager, after record inflows (roughly $70 billion in a recent quarter), revenue trend Full-year 2025 revenue was about $14.5 billion, up roughly $1.2 billion year over year; management and advisory fees were about $8.1 billion, profitability Emphasizes fee-related earnings (recurring management fees) as the stable core, with performance fees (carried interest) adding lumpier upside tied to realizations, capital returns Pays a variable quarterly dividend tied to distributable earnings (not a fixed rate) plus buybacks, so the payout rises and falls with results.
The bottom line: ARCC vs BX
ARCC and BX are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ARCC and BX exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how ARCC or BX fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Ares Capital Corporation with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ARCC fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between ARCC and BX?
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Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company (BDC), a listed vehicle that lends directly to middle-market US businesses, companies typically too small for public bond markets but too large for a local bank. Blackstone Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is ARCC or BX the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. BX is the larger incumbent; ARCC is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, ARCC or BX?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ARCC trades at 9.73x and BX at 17.11x, so ARCC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both ARCC and BX?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of ARCC vs BX?
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ARCC: The central risk is credit quality: ARCC lends to leveraged private companies, so an economic slowdown can raise defaults and non-accruals, erode net asset value, and pressure the dividend. Interest-rate direction is a double-edged risk because falling rates compress the floating-rate income that funds the payout, while high rates strain borrowers. As an externally managed BDC, it pays base and incentive fees to the Ares manager, a structural cost and a potential conflict of interest that internally managed peers avoid. Leverage amplifies both returns and losses, and BDC shares can swing to a premium or discount to net asset value depending on sentiment, so an investor buying above NAV pays up for the manager's track record. Because most income is distributed, ARCC retains little capital to grow, and it periodically issues new shares to fund lending, which can dilute existing holders if done below NAV. BX: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. Fundraising and deal activity slow when markets are volatile, interest rates are high, or investors pull back, which can crimp both management-fee growth and the realizations that drive performance fees. Performance fees (carried interest) are inherently lumpy and can swing distributable earnings and the variable dividend from quarter to quarter, so the payout is not fixed. Real estate remains a large exposure, and stress in commercial property or elevated rates can pressure valuations and prompt redemption requests in semi-liquid vehicles; Blackstone has faced redemption caps in its perpetual real estate fund during past stress. Rising rates raise the bar for private-market returns and can compress asset values. The business is also exposed to regulatory scrutiny of private markets, retail alternatives, and carried-interest taxation. Finally, as a leveraged play on private-market growth, the stock tends to be more volatile than the broad market.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ARCC or BX; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.