ARES vs OWL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

ARES is the larger of the two ($45.88B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (19.34x forward earnings, beta 1.51). OWL is the smaller challenger ($18.30B), cheaper on forward earnings (11.83x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ARES vs OWL: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricARESOWLWhat it tells you
Market cap$45.88B$18.30BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E19.3411.83Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E63.8097.33Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.511.18Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range48% of range33% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book12.614.00How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: OWL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how ARES and OWL affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ARES and OWL share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ARES and OWL exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Ares Management (ARES) do?

Ares Management is one of the world's largest alternative investment managers, overseeing roughly $644 billion of assets under management as of early 2026 across four groups: credit (its dominant business at over 60% of AUM, spanning direct lending, high yield, and alternative credit), real assets (roughly 20% of AUM, including logistics, data centers, and infrastructure), private equity, and other alternatives. The firm earns most of its economics from recurring management fees on long-dated capital, supplemented by performance fees when funds hit return targets, and it distributes a large share of that cash to shareholders as dividends.

Full ARES guide

What does Blue Owl Capital (OWL) do?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset manager that ended Q1 2026 with about $315 billion in assets under management across three franchises: Credit (direct lending, alternative credit, and investment-grade credit), GP Strategic Capital (minority stakes in other private-market managers), and Real Assets (net-lease real estate and digital infrastructure). A defining feature is that a large share of its capital is permanent or long-dated, which makes fee-related earnings unusually stable versus peers that lean on episodic fund launches. The firm grew AUM past $300 billion in late 2025 and raised roughly $56 billion of new commitments that year, with the private-wealth channel a major driver.

Full OWL guide

ARES vs OWL: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ARES drivers: Private credit leadership; Fee-related earnings growth.
  • OWL drivers: Permanent-capital fee engine; Private-credit and private-wealth growth.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Ares is heavily concentrated in credit, so a broad rise in defaults, spread compression, or a downturn in private-credit demand would pressure both fees and asset marks. For OWL, blue Owl is heavily exposed to private credit, so a deterioration in middle-market borrower credit quality or a wave of defaults could pressure fee-paying AUM, the value of its BDC relationships, and sentiment.

ARES or OWL: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ARES if you believe its drivers more; OWL if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ARES and OWL guides.

ARES vs OWL: the full fundamentals

ARES. ARES trades at a premium trailing earnings multiple (around 55x TTM but closer to 19x on forward estimates), reflecting expectations of continued double-digit fee growth. The firm pays an annual dividend of about $5.40 per share after a roughly 20% hike, a yield near 4.3%. Q1 2026 EPS of $1.24 and revenue both came in below analyst estimates even as AUM and fundraising set records.

OWL. Blue Owl's revenue grew about 25 percent in 2025 to roughly $2.87 billion, and AUM crossed $315 billion by Q1 2026. The shares fell sharply in 2026, pushing the dividend yield to around 10 percent and leaving the stock below typical sell-side price targets near the mid-$17 range. Valuation therefore hinges on whether investors weight the durable fee stream or the private-credit and rate risks more heavily.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): ARES shows market cap ~$37.5B, assets under management ~$644B, fee-paying aum ~$400B, q1 2026 revenue ~$1.27B; OWL shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.1B, revenue (fy2025) ~$2.87B, aum (q1 2026) ~$315B, fee-related earnings (q1 2026) ~$394M.

The bottom line: ARES vs OWL

ARES and OWL are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ARES and OWL exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ARES or OWL fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Ares Management with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ARES fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ARES and OWL?

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Ares Management is one of the world's largest alternative investment managers, overseeing roughly $644 billion of assets under management as of early 2026 across four groups: credit (its dominant business at over 60% of AUM, spanning direct lending, high yield, and alternative credit), real assets (roughly 20% of AUM, including logistics, data centers, and infrastructure), private equity, and other alternatives. Blue Owl Capital Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ARES or OWL the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ARES is the larger incumbent; OWL is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ARES or OWL?

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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), ARES trades at 19.34x and OWL at 11.83x, so OWL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ARES and OWL?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ARES vs OWL?

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ARES: Ares is heavily concentrated in credit, so a broad rise in defaults, spread compression, or a downturn in private-credit demand would pressure both fees and asset marks. Its valuation carries a high trailing earnings multiple, leaving little room for disappointment on fundraising or margins, and Q1 2026 revenue and EPS both missed analyst expectations. The firm and its affiliated vehicles face periodic legal and regulatory scrutiny, including a shareholder derivative suit against its Ares Capital (ARCC) business development company alleging inflated marks and excessive fees, and a past SEC compliance fine. Rising rates or a recession could slow fundraising and reduce performance fees. Its non-traded retail credit funds also expose it to redemption and marketing risk if sentiment sours. OWL: Blue Owl is heavily exposed to private credit, so a deterioration in middle-market borrower credit quality or a wave of defaults could pressure fee-paying AUM, the value of its BDC relationships, and sentiment. The stock is rate-sensitive and fell sharply in 2026 amid rising-rate and geopolitical fears. Much of the model relies on continued strong fundraising, especially through private wealth, which can slow in risk-off markets. The firm also carries meaningful debt and its shares have traded at premium multiples, leaving room for de-rating. Regulatory scrutiny of private credit and non-traded retail vehicles is an added overhang.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ARES or OWL; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.