ASTS vs GSAT: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

ASTS is the larger of the two ($22.89B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (-226.67x forward earnings, beta 2.68). GSAT is the smaller challenger ($10.74B), priced similarly on forward earnings (272.22x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ASTS vs GSAT: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricASTSGSATWhat it tells you
Market cap$22.89B$10.74BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E-226.67272.22Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta2.681.54Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range23% of range98% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book8.4731.28How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how ASTS and GSAT affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ASTS and GSAT share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ASTS and GSAT exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) do?

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is building a space-based cellular network designed to deliver broadband directly to ordinary, unmodified smartphones from satellites. Its goal is to let a standard phone connect to its large low-Earth-orbit satellites when it is out of range of terrestrial cell towers, providing coverage in remote areas, at sea, and during outages. The company has launched test and early commercial satellites (including its BlueWalker and BlueBird series) and has signed agreements and investments with major mobile network operators such as AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, and Rakuten, as well as receiving strategic investment from Google. AST SpaceMobile is pre-profitability and largely pre-revenue, spending heavily to manufacture and launch a constellation before it can generate meaningful subscriber or operator revenue. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, it is a speculative, high-risk, high-reward company whose value depends on successfully deploying its network and converting partnerships into paying traffic.

Full ASTS guide

What does Globalstar (GSAT) do?

Globalstar, Inc. is a satellite communications company that operates a low-earth-orbit satellite constellation and holds licensed wireless spectrum, most notably Band 53 (and its 5G variant n53) in the United States. Its business changed dramatically after it became the satellite operator supporting Apple's satellite-based features, including Emergency SOS, on iPhones. Under its partnership agreements, Apple funds a large share of new satellite and ground infrastructure and pays Globalstar for capacity and services, which turned a long-struggling company into one with fast-growing, more predictable revenue. Globalstar also pursues terrestrial uses of its spectrum, including private 5G networks through its XCOM RAN technology aimed at industrial and enterprise customers.

Full GSAT guide

ASTS vs GSAT: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ASTS drivers: Direct-to-device opportunity; Mobile-operator partnerships.
  • GSAT drivers: The pending Amazon acquisition; The Apple partnership.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: AST SpaceMobile is pre-profitability and largely pre-revenue, with heavy ongoing cash burn to build and launch satellites. For GSAT, the central risk is deal risk: GSAT's price is tied to Amazon's pending acquisition closing near $90 per share, and if the deal is delayed, repriced, or blocked by regulators, the stock could fall toward its standalone value.

ASTS or GSAT: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ASTS if you believe its drivers more; GSAT if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ASTS and GSAT guides.

ASTS vs GSAT: the full fundamentals

ASTS. AST SpaceMobile cannot be valued on current earnings because it is largely pre-revenue. Its market value reflects investor expectations for a future satellite-to-phone network and the credibility added by carrier partnerships and strategic investors. Valuation is highly sensitive to news about launches, funding, and milestones, and the shares can move sharply. All figures are approximate and change quickly; verify current numbers before relying on them.

GSAT. Figures are approximate, tied to the Jul 2026 as-of date, and reflect the announced Amazon merger and Q1 2026 reporting; verify live numbers and deal status before acting. Because GSAT trades mainly on the Amazon transaction, conventional valuation multiples matter less than the spread between the current price and the roughly $90 offer, the probability of the deal closing, and the expected timing into 2027. Always confirm the latest deal terms and price directly.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): ASTS shows revenue (ttm) Minimal; largely pre-revenue (approximate, verify), profitability Not profitable; significant cash burn (verify), valuation basis Forward potential, not current earnings, p/e (ttm) Not meaningful (no sustained earnings); GSAT shows situation Trades as a merger-arbitrage play on Amazon's pending acquisition, announced deal value ~$10.9 billion; roughly $90 per share in cash or Amazon stock (April 2026 agreement), expected close 2027, subject to regulatory approval and deal conditions, revenue Growing; ~$70.1 million in Q1 2026, up ~17% year over year.

The bottom line: ASTS vs GSAT

ASTS and GSAT are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ASTS and GSAT exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ASTS or GSAT fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in AST SpaceMobile with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ASTS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ASTS and GSAT?

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AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is building a space-based cellular network designed to deliver broadband directly to ordinary, unmodified smartphones from satellites. Globalstar, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ASTS or GSAT the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ASTS is the larger incumbent; GSAT is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ASTS or GSAT?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ASTS trades at -226.67x and GSAT at 272.22x, so ASTS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ASTS and GSAT?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ASTS vs GSAT?

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ASTS: AST SpaceMobile is pre-profitability and largely pre-revenue, with heavy ongoing cash burn to build and launch satellites. It will likely need to raise more capital, which can dilute existing shareholders, and its shares are highly volatile. Major risks include launch failures, technical challenges in delivering reliable direct-to-device service, delays in deploying enough satellites for continuous coverage, competition from other satellite and terrestrial players, and regulatory and spectrum hurdles across many countries. The investment outcome is closer to binary than to a steady compounder. Verify the latest cash position, satellite count, and partnership terms before drawing conclusions. GSAT: The central risk is deal risk: GSAT's price is tied to Amazon's pending acquisition closing near $90 per share, and if the deal is delayed, repriced, or blocked by regulators, the stock could fall toward its standalone value. The transaction is not expected to close until 2027 and is subject to approvals, satellite milestones, and a potential price adjustment, so timing and terms are uncertain. Only a portion of the consideration can be taken in cash, and the stock-election value is capped, which adds complexity. If the deal breaks, investors are left holding a capital-intensive satellite operator concentrated on a single anchor customer relationship with Apple, exposed to competition from other satellite-to-device efforts. As with any merger-arbitrage situation, the downside if the deal fails can be larger than the remaining upside to the offer.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ASTS or GSAT; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    ASTS vs GSAT: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App