AVAL vs BCH: How Grupo Aval and Banco de Chile Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

BCH is the larger of the two ($20.89B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (13.16x forward earnings, beta 0.12). AVAL is the smaller challenger ($6.01B), cheaper on forward earnings (9.09x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

AVAL vs BCH: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAVALBCHWhat it tells you
Market cap$6.01B$20.89BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E9.0913.16Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E11.7716.15Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.380.12Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range66% of range72% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book0.010.74How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: AVAL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how AVAL and BCH affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVAL and BCH share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVAL and BCH exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Grupo Aval (AVAL) do?

Grupo Aval is a Colombian financial holding company that controls four commercial banks (Banco de Bogota, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular and Banco AV Villas) alongside the pension manager Porvenir, the merchant bank Corficolombiana and a set of trust, brokerage and investment banking units. Together those subsidiaries make it the largest banking group in Colombia by loans and deposits, with a gross loan book of roughly COP 193.6 trillion and deposits of roughly COP 216.8 trillion as of the first quarter of 2026. The reporting currency is the Colombian peso, so every operating number is a peso number, while the ADR itself is quoted in US dollars on the NYSE. That gap matters more than it sounds: a good peso year can still be a flat dollar year for the ADR if the currency moves against holders.

Full AVAL guide

What does Banco de Chile (BCH) do?

Banco de Chile (NYSE: BCH) is one of Chile's largest banks, founded in 1893 and operating roughly 400 branches with about 14,000 employees. It is a full-service commercial bank spanning large corporations, small and medium enterprises, consumer finance, personal banking, international banking, and capital markets, and it has historically ranked at or near the top of the Chilean industry by net income, with a net-income market share around 26% in recent years. The bank is controlled by LQ Inversiones Financieras, a joint venture between Chile's QuiƱenco holding group and Citigroup, which gives it a stable, concentrated ownership structure.

Full BCH guide

AVAL vs BCH: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • AVAL drivers: Deposit gathering is outpacing lending; The equity tax is a one-time distortion, not a run rate.
  • BCH drivers: High return on equity and profitability; Dividend income.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Country risk dominates: Colombian fiscal deterioration, sovereign rating actions, tax changes like the 2026 equity levy, and the political cycle all land directly on this stock, often faster than any operating result. For BCH, bCH is a single-country emerging-market bank, so results are exposed to the Chilean economy, interest-rate cycle, and inflation, all of which move net interest margins and loan demand.

AVAL or BCH: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AVAL if you believe its drivers more; BCH if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AVAL and BCH guides.

AVAL vs BCH: the full fundamentals

AVAL. All operating figures are reported in Colombian pesos (shown in filings as Ps), while the ADR trades in US dollars near $4.80 for a market capitalization around $5.8 billion. The sub-book valuation is the whole argument in one number: the market is applying a Colombia discount rather than pricing a broken bank, since the ex-tax return on equity near 12% is respectable for an emerging-market lender. Dividends are declared in pesos and paid monthly in Colombia, so the dollar amount a US holder receives moves with the exchange rate.

BCH. BCH trades at roughly 15 to 16 times trailing earnings and about 3 times tangible book value, a premium that reflects its high ROE and market leadership. The mid-5s percent forward dividend yield is a large part of the total-return case. Recent quarters have been softer, with first-quarter 2026 net income down about 18% year on year on lower inflation-linked margin and higher provisions.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): AVAL shows gross loans ~COP 193.6 trillion, up ~6% year over year (1Q 2026), total deposits ~COP 216.8 trillion, up ~11.7% year over year (1Q 2026), attributable net income ~COP 336.6 billion in 1Q 2026, down ~6.9% year over year, return on average equity ~7.4% reported in 1Q 2026, ~12.0% excluding the one-time equity tax; BCH shows market cap ~$19.5B, revenue (ttm) ~$3.1B, net income (ttm) ~$1.2B, p/e (ttm) ~15.6x.

The bottom line: AVAL vs BCH

AVAL and BCH are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVAL and BCH exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how AVAL or BCH fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Grupo Aval with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AVAL fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between AVAL and BCH?

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Grupo Aval is a Colombian financial holding company that controls four commercial banks (Banco de Bogota, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular and Banco AV Villas) alongside the pension manager Porvenir, the merchant bank Corficolombiana and a set of trust, brokerage and investment banking units. Banco de Chile (NYSE: BCH) is one of Chile's largest banks, founded in 1893 and operating roughly 400 branches with about 14,000 employees. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is AVAL or BCH the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. BCH is the larger incumbent; AVAL is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, AVAL or BCH?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), AVAL trades at 9.09x and BCH at 13.16x, so AVAL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both AVAL and BCH?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of AVAL vs BCH?

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AVAL: Country risk dominates: Colombian fiscal deterioration, sovereign rating actions, tax changes like the 2026 equity levy, and the political cycle all land directly on this stock, often faster than any operating result. Currency is the second layer, because results are earned in pesos and the ADR is priced in dollars, so peso weakness can erase a solid operating year for US holders. Credit quality is the third: a policy rate near 12% alongside roughly 6% inflation strains consumer and small business borrowers, and provisioning can rise quickly if unemployment worsens. Corficolombiana carries legacy infrastructure exposure and a history of legal and compliance matters tied to Colombian road concessions, which has produced headline risk in the past. Finally, the ADR is thinly traded relative to US bank stocks, the underlying is a preferred share class with limited voting rights, and the group is majority-controlled by the Sarmiento family, so minority holders have little say in capital allocation. BCH: BCH is a single-country emerging-market bank, so results are exposed to the Chilean economy, interest-rate cycle, and inflation, all of which move net interest margins and loan demand. First-quarter 2026 showed net income down about 18% year on year with credit loss expenses up roughly 27%, illustrating provisioning and margin sensitivity. As an ADR, returns to US holders are exposed to the Chilean peso versus the dollar, which can swing sharply. Chile also carries political and regulatory risk, including periodic debate over pension, tax, and banking rules. Finally, the ADR has recently traded at a premium to sector and historical valuation averages, leaving less cushion if earnings disappoint.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVAL or BCH; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    AVAL vs BCH: How Grupo Aval and Banco de Chile Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App