BBVA vs BMA: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
BBVA is the larger of the two ($154.43B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (11.33x forward earnings, beta 0.88). BMA is the smaller challenger ($5.88B), cheaper on forward earnings (9.04x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BBVA vs BMA: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BBVA | BMA | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $154.43B | $5.88B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 11.33 | 9.04 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 12.88 | 23.75 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.88 | 0.50 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 99% of range | 79% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 2.55 | 16.71 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: BMA is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how BBVA and BMA affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BBVA and BMA share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BBVA and BMA exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) do?
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (NYSE: BBVA) is a global financial group headquartered in Bilbao and Madrid, Spain, and one of the largest banks in the euro zone by market value. It operates retail and commercial banking, corporate and investment banking, and asset management across several geographies, but unlike most European peers the bulk of its earnings comes from emerging markets. Its main reporting areas are Spain, Mexico, Turkey (through its Garanti BBVA subsidiary), and South America, with a smaller Rest of Business unit. Mexico is the single largest profit contributor, typically generating a larger share of group net profit than the home market, which is why BBVA is often described as a Spanish bank with a Mexican engine. Like any bank it makes money mainly from net interest income (the spread between what it earns on loans and pays on deposits) plus fees and commissions from cards, payments, asset management, and investment banking.
What does Banco Macro (BMA) do?
Banco Macro (NYSE: BMA) is one of the largest privately owned banks in Argentina, with a national branch footprint and a strong presence outside Buenos Aires in the country's interior provinces. Each ADR represents ten Class B common shares. The bank offers retail and commercial banking, lending to individuals and small and medium businesses, deposits, payments, and, increasingly, digital finance (it took a 50% stake in the Personal Pay wallet to tap Telecom's customer base). It has historically run high capital ratios and holds roughly a mid-teens share of the Argentine banking system.
BBVA vs BMA: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BBVA drivers: Mexico as the profit engine; Record profitability and high return on equity.
- BMA drivers: Argentina disinflation and rate normalization; Credit growth off a low base.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: BBVA's biggest distinguishing risk is geographic concentration in emerging markets: with Mexico, Turkey, and South America driving much of group profit, reported euro earnings are highly sensitive to the Mexican peso and Turkish lira, which can weaken sharply and erode results even when local-currency performance is strong. For BMA, argentina carries some of the highest macro risk of any major economy, and BMA concentrates that risk in a single stock.
BBVA or BMA: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BBVA if you believe its drivers more; BMA if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BBVA and BMA guides.
BBVA vs BMA: the full fundamentals
BBVA. BBVA trades at a low-double-digit price-to-earnings multiple, cheaper than many US banks, reflecting the market discount applied to its emerging-market exposure. Its return on tangible equity near 19% is well above most western European peers, and it returns capital through a high dividend and buybacks. Because the ADR reports in euros while much of the profit is earned in pesos and lira, currency moves are a material driver of the figures above.
BMA. Argentine bank financials are reported in inflation-adjusted pesos, which makes reported figures hard to compare across periods and against US peers. ROE has compressed sharply from historical highs as rates and inflation moderated, and Q4 2025 was dented by restructuring charges. After a strong share rally, some valuation screens flagged the ADR as trading well above estimated fair value.
Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): BBVA shows net attributable profit (fy2025) ~EUR 10.5 billion (record, up ~4.5%), net interest income (fy2025) ~EUR 25 billion, return on tangible equity (fy2025) ~19% (rising toward ~22% in Q1 2026), net profit (q1 2026) ~EUR 3.0 billion (up ~11% year over year); BMA shows recent adr price ~$100 range in early 2026, q2 2025 net income ~ARS 149.5B, 9m 2025 net income ~ARS 176.7B (down ~35% YoY), q4 2025 net income ~ARS 100B (down ~26% YoY).
The bottom line: BBVA vs BMA
BBVA and BMA are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BBVA and BMA exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BBVA or BMA fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BBVA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BBVA and BMA?
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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. Banco Macro (NYSE: BMA) is one of the largest privately owned banks in Argentina, with a national branch footprint and a strong presence outside Buenos Aires in the country's interior provinces. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BBVA or BMA the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. BBVA is the larger incumbent; BMA is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BBVA or BMA?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BBVA trades at 11.33x and BMA at 9.04x, so BMA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BBVA and BMA?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BBVA vs BMA?
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BBVA: BBVA's biggest distinguishing risk is geographic concentration in emerging markets: with Mexico, Turkey, and South America driving much of group profit, reported euro earnings are highly sensitive to the Mexican peso and Turkish lira, which can weaken sharply and erode results even when local-currency performance is strong. Turkey in particular carries high inflation, hyperinflation accounting adjustments, and political and monetary-policy uncertainty. As a bank, BBVA is also exposed to the credit cycle, where recessions or rising unemployment in its markets would increase loan losses, and to interest-rate moves that compress net interest margins. Regulatory, capital, and windfall-tax pressures in Spain and other jurisdictions can affect earnings and distributions. Finally, having lost the Sabadell bid, BBVA faces the strategic question of growing without a transformative deal, and broader macro, trade, and geopolitical shocks could weigh on all of its markets at once. BMA: Argentina carries some of the highest macro risk of any major economy, and BMA concentrates that risk in a single stock. The peso can devalue sharply, which erodes US-dollar-denominated ADR value even when peso earnings look fine. Inflation, capital controls, government policy shifts, and sovereign stress all feed directly into the bank's results and its accounting (which uses inflation adjustment). Earnings have been volatile quarter to quarter, and after a large rally the ADR has at times traded well above some analysts' fair-value estimates, so valuation and political risk can both bite.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BBVA or BMA; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.