BILL vs CPAY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

CPAY is the larger of the two ($26.32B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (12.83x forward earnings, beta 0.87). BILL is the smaller challenger ($4.78B), priced similarly on forward earnings (14.21x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

BILL vs CPAY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricBILLCPAYWhat it tells you
Market cap$4.78B$26.32BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E14.2112.83Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E24.38Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.090.87Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range64% of range97% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.267.55How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how BILL and CPAY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BILL and CPAY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BILL and CPAY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does BILL Holdings (BILL) do?

BILL Holdings, Inc. sells the software that small and midsize businesses use to run money in and money out. The core BILL AP/AR product handles invoice capture, approval routing and payment execution across checks, ACH, cards, real-time payments and cross-border rails, while BILL Spend and Expense (the former Divvy business) issues corporate cards and enforces budgets. A third channel, Embedded Solutions and Other, distributes the same plumbing through accounting firms, financial institutions and software partners. Revenue arrives in three shapes: fixed subscription fees, transaction fees (including interchange on card volume), and interest earned on customer funds sitting in transit. For the March 2026 quarter, subscription fees were ~$74.5 million, transaction fees ~$296.6 million and float revenue ~$35.4 million, adding to total revenue of ~$406.6 million. The platform moved ~$88.7 billion of payment volume across ~34.0 million transactions in that quarter, about 12% and 14% above the prior year respectively.

Full BILL guide

What does Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) do?

Corpay, Inc. sells payment products to businesses rather than consumers. It runs three reportable segments: Corporate Payments (virtual cards, AP automation, and cross-border FX and global bank accounts), Vehicle Payments (the legacy fuel and fleet card franchise that started the company), and Lodging Payments (workforce and crew hotel booking and settlement). Roughly 11,800 employees serve customers across North America, Brazil, the UK and Europe, and the company earns money on interchange, FX spreads, program fees, and interest on customer funds it holds between authorization and settlement.

Full CPAY guide

BILL vs CPAY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • BILL drivers: Monetization per customer, not customer count; Operating leverage and the buyback.
  • CPAY drivers: Corporate Payments is doing the heavy lifting; Cross-border scale after Alpha and Mastercard.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Float revenue, which was ~$35.4 million in the March quarter and ~$112.7 million over nine months, fell year over year as interest rates declined, and further cuts would keep pressuring a high-margin revenue line BILL does not control. For CPAY, the FTC matter is the most visible overhang: the Eleventh Circuit affirmed judgment for the FTC in January 2026 over fuel card advertising and billing practices, and Corpay booked a ~$100 million charge in Q2 2026 for a preliminary settlement that still requires the agency's approval process to conclude.

BILL or CPAY: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BILL if you believe its drivers more; CPAY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BILL and CPAY guides.

BILL vs CPAY: the full fundamentals

BILL. Valuation looks very different depending on which earnings number is used. On GAAP net income, which is essentially breakeven on a trailing basis, no meaningful multiple exists; on guided fiscal 2026 non-GAAP earnings of ~$2.61 to ~$2.64 per diluted share, the stock sits around ~18x, and on forward consensus estimates closer to ~15x. Cash and short-term investments of roughly ~$2.2 billion against ~$1.9 billion of largely zero-coupon convertible debt leave enterprise value slightly below market cap, so the ~2.8x EV/sales figure is the cleanest cross-company comparison.

CPAY. Corpay trades near the high end of a 52-week range of roughly $253 to $406, yet the forward multiple of about 14x sits well below its guided ~28% adjusted EPS growth. The discount reflects the size of the GAAP-to-adjusted bridge, acquisition-related amortization, added leverage from Alpha, and the unresolved FTC settlement. Beta of about 0.87 is lower than most fintech peers, a function of the recurring, contract-based nature of fleet and corporate card revenue.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): BILL shows market cap ~$4.8B (shares near ~$48, ~99.6M outstanding), revenue (ttm) ~$1.60B, up ~12% year over year, q3 fy2026 revenue ~$406.6M total, ~$371.1M core (+16% YoY), profitability GAAP operating loss ~$61M TTM; non-GAAP operating income ~$79.8M in Q3 FY2026; CPAY shows revenue (ttm) ~$5.02B (+20% YoY), net income (ttm) ~$1.13B, GAAP EPS ~$16.41, q2 2026 revenue ~$1.34B (+21% YoY), adjusted EPS ~$7.00, 2026 guidance Revenue ~$5.31B, adjusted EPS ~$27.35.

The bottom line: BILL vs CPAY

BILL and CPAY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BILL and CPAY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how BILL or CPAY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in BILL Holdings with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BILL fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between BILL and CPAY?

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BILL Holdings, Inc. Corpay, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is BILL or CPAY the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. CPAY is the larger incumbent; BILL is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, BILL or CPAY?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BILL trades at 14.21x and CPAY at 12.83x, so CPAY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both BILL and CPAY?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of BILL vs CPAY?

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BILL: Float revenue, which was ~$35.4 million in the March quarter and ~$112.7 million over nine months, fell year over year as interest rates declined, and further cuts would keep pressuring a high-margin revenue line BILL does not control. Customer growth of ~1% year over year is the clearest structural concern, since it leaves the company dependent on take-rate expansion in a market where Intuit, Ramp, Brex, Navan and Corpay all compete aggressively on price. Card lending exposes BILL to small-business credit: the provision for expected credit losses was ~$57.6 million over the first nine months of fiscal 2026. Stock-based compensation of ~$194.3 million over nine months against ~$1.22 billion of revenue keeps GAAP profitability marginal, with trailing net income near ~$0.2 million and an accumulated deficit of about ~$1.77 billion. Convertible notes outstanding include ~$1.24 billion of 2030 notes and ~$119 million of 2027 notes, and May 2026 brought a leadership shake-up in which the chief technology officer and the head of payments and financial services departed while the president moved into a new strategy role. CPAY: The FTC matter is the most visible overhang: the Eleventh Circuit affirmed judgment for the FTC in January 2026 over fuel card advertising and billing practices, and Corpay booked a ~$100 million charge in Q2 2026 for a preliminary settlement that still requires the agency's approval process to conclude. Leverage rose to fund Alpha, including a new seven-year $900 million Term Loan B at SOFR plus 1.75% and a revolver expansion to $1.5 billion, so integration slippage would be felt on a more levered balance sheet. The gap between GAAP EPS near $16.41 trailing and guided adjusted EPS around $27.35 is wide, and anyone underwriting the forward multiple is underwriting the adjustments. Vehicle Payments still carries roughly 47% of revenue and is exposed to fuel prices, fleet volumes, and the slow shift to electric vehicles, none of which Corpay controls. Competition in cross-border FX and AP automation is intense and includes both fintech specialists and the large card networks and banks that also act as partners.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BILL or CPAY; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    BILL vs CPAY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App