BLKB vs NNI: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

NNI is the larger of the two ($4.62B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (13.42x forward earnings, beta 0.78). BLKB is the smaller challenger ($2.08B), cheaper on forward earnings (7.78x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

BLKB vs NNI: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricBLKBNNIWhat it tells you
Market cap$2.08B$4.62BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E7.7813.42Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E14.3311.18Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.980.78Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range45% of range43% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book30.681.24How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: BLKB is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how BLKB and NNI affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BLKB and NNI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BLKB and NNI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Blackbaud (BLKB) do?

Blackbaud has spent more than four decades building software for what it calls the social impact sector. Its products run the back office of the organizations that use them: Raiser's Edge NXT for fundraising and donor management, Financial Edge NXT for nonprofit fund accounting, Blackbaud Tuition Management and school administration systems for K-12 and higher education, JustGiving for consumer-facing online giving, and YourCause for corporate grantmaking and employee giving. Sitting alongside the subscriptions is Blackbaud Integrated Payments, which takes a cut of donation and tuition volume flowing through the platform. Roughly ~98% of second-quarter 2026 revenue was recurring, split between ~$186 million of contractual subscription revenue and ~$99 million of transactional revenue tied to payment volume. About ~18% of first-half revenue came from outside the United States, mainly the United Kingdom, and the company employs around 2,800 people from its Charleston, South Carolina headquarters.

Full BLKB guide

What does Nelnet (NNI) do?

Nelnet, Inc. (NYSE: NNI) started life as a student loan company and has spent the last decade turning itself into something closer to a diversified holding company. Four reportable segments carry the business. Loan Servicing and Systems, run through Nelnet Diversified Services, services roughly ~$519.2 billion of Department of Education, Canadian, FFELP, private education and consumer loans for about ~15.2 million borrowers, and holds one of the U.S. Department of Education's Unified Servicing and Data Solution (USDS) contracts awarded in April 2023 (a five-year base with extension options out to ten). Education Technology Services and Payments, better known by its FACTS and Nelnet Campus Commerce brands, handles tuition management, financial aid assessment, student information systems and payment processing for more than ~1,300 higher education institutions and ~11,500 K-12 schools. Asset Generation and Management holds the loan book, and Nelnet Bank is a Utah-chartered internet industrial bank taking deposits and originating private education, consumer and other loans.

Full NNI guide

BLKB vs NNI: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • BLKB drivers: Contract repricing on a three-year renewal cycle; Payments and tuition volume.
  • NNI drivers: Redeploying FFELP run-off cash into higher-yield assets; Nelnet Bank reaching scale.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Growth is the central problem: organic revenue rose only ~3.0% in the second quarter of 2026, and 2025 gross dollar retention was approximately ~92%, meaning the base loses value each year before price increases and cross-sell are added back. For NNI, concentration is the headline risk: the USDS servicing contract with the U.S.

BLKB or NNI: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BLKB if you believe its drivers more; NNI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BLKB and NNI guides.

BLKB vs NNI: the full fundamentals

BLKB. At roughly ~$46 per share and about ~45 million diluted shares, the market cap sits near ~$2.1 billion, or close to ~9 times the midpoint of 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance. Adding net debt of roughly ~$1.1 billion puts enterprise value near ~$3.2 billion, around ~7.4 times the midpoint of guided adjusted EBITDA of ~$430 million to ~$438 million. Trailing GAAP earnings look cheaper than they read at first glance because 2024 carried a large impairment, so the year-over-year GAAP comparisons flatter the recovery.

NNI. The trailing P/E is distorted by 2025's one-time ALLO gain and by solar tax equity losses that hit reported income before the tax credits and cash arrive, so price to book is the metric most Nelnet followers use. At roughly ~1.2x stated book the market is assigning modest premium to a balance sheet where the ALLO stake carries at ~$0 and the servicing and payments franchises carry no goodwill reflecting their fee streams. Q2 2026 revenue of about ~$410 million fell roughly ~20.5% year over year and adjusted EPS of ~$1.77 came in below consensus, mostly on the higher credit provision and the absent prior-year gain.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): BLKB shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.15 billion, with 2026 guidance of ~$1.173 billion to ~$1.179 billion, recurring revenue mix ~98.2% of Q2 2026 revenue, split ~$186.4 million contractual and ~$98.9 million transactional, free cash flow ~$329 million trailing; 2026 guidance of ~$280 million to ~$290 million, gross dollar retention (2025) ~92%; Blackbaud reports gross dollar retention and does not disclose a net revenue retention figure; NNI shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.5 billion, net income (ttm) ~$302 million (~$8.36 per share), q2 2026 gaap eps ~$1.85, vs ~$4.97 a year earlier (prior year included a ~$175.0M ALLO gain), shareholders' equity ~$3.77 billion, roughly ~$105 per share on ~35.9 million shares.

The bottom line: BLKB vs NNI

BLKB and NNI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BLKB and NNI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how BLKB or NNI fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Blackbaud with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BLKB fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between BLKB and NNI?

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Blackbaud has spent more than four decades building software for what it calls the social impact sector. Nelnet, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is BLKB or NNI the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. NNI is the larger incumbent; BLKB is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, BLKB or NNI?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BLKB trades at 7.78x and NNI at 13.42x, so BLKB is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both BLKB and NNI?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of BLKB vs NNI?

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BLKB: Growth is the central problem: organic revenue rose only ~3.0% in the second quarter of 2026, and 2025 gross dollar retention was approximately ~92%, meaning the base loses value each year before price increases and cross-sell are added back. Leverage is meaningful for a company this size, with ~$1.15 billion of total debt at a ~5.60% weighted average effective rate as of June 30, 2026 against only ~$38.9 million of cash at the end of 2025, and interest expense of roughly ~$62 million to ~$66 million is guided for 2026. The 2020 ransomware incident produced a ~$3 million SEC settlement in March 2023, a ~$49.5 million settlement with 49 states and the District of Columbia in October 2023, and Federal Trade Commission and California Attorney General resolutions that obligate Blackbaud to run and improve specified cybersecurity programs through May 2044, an ongoing cost and an ongoing compliance exposure. Competition is fragmented and persistent, with Salesforce, Bonterra, Bloomerang, PowerSchool, Benevity and dozens of point tools attacking individual modules. Finally, the stock rose sharply after the July 2026 results, so the discounted cash flow yield that framed the buyback thesis is narrower now than it was in June. NNI: Concentration is the headline risk: the USDS servicing contract with the U.S. Department of Education is a meaningful revenue source, federal student loan policy shifts with each administration, and the Department has periodically restructured how it allocates servicing work. Credit risk is rising by choice, since consumer and private education loans carry real loss content that federally guaranteed FFELP paper did not, and a consumer downturn would show up in provisions before it shows up in charge-offs. Earnings are genuinely lumpy because solar tax equity, joint ventures and derivative marks move results in ways unrelated to operations, which makes trailing multiples unreliable. Nelnet is controlled by chairman Michael Dunlap through supervoting Class B shares, so minority holders have limited say in capital allocation. Finally, the run-off math is unforgiving: if the new businesses do not compound faster than FFELP amortizes, consolidated earnings power declines regardless of how well any individual segment performs.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BLKB or NNI; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    BLKB vs NNI: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App