BLLN vs DGX: How BillionToOne, Inc. and Quest Diagnostics Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

DGX is the larger of the two ($25.72B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (19.32x forward earnings, beta 0.57). BLLN is the smaller challenger ($4.22B), actually pricier on forward earnings (130.93x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

BLLN vs DGX: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricBLLNDGXWhat it tells you
Market cap$4.22B$25.72BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E130.9319.32Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E169.7224.76Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Price vs 52-week range38% of range90% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book8.743.41How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: DGX is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how BLLN and DGX affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BLLN and DGX share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BLLN and DGX exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does BillionToOne, Inc. (BLLN) do?

BillionToOne is a Menlo Park diagnostics company founded in 2016 by Oguzhan Atay, David Tsao and Sukrit Silas around a patented technique called Quantitative Counting Templates, which lets the company count individual DNA molecules in a blood sample rather than merely detect them. That precision is what the product line is built on. The prenatal franchise, sold under the Unity brand, screens a pregnancy from a maternal blood draw for chromosomal conditions, single-gene disorders, and fetal RhD and antigen status, and it produced about $94.2 million of the $109.4 million booked in the second quarter of 2026. The oncology franchise, sold as Northstar, includes Northstar Select (an 84-gene circulating tumor DNA panel used to pick a therapy for advanced solid tumors) and Northstar Response (a treatment-monitoring assay), and it grew about 176% year over year to $13.7 million in the same quarter. A small clinical-trial services line rounds out revenue.

Full BLLN guide

What does Quest Diagnostics (DGX) do?

Quest Diagnostics operates one of the largest clinical laboratory networks in the United States, processing billions of test results a year across a footprint of patient service centers, hospital and physician outreach relationships, and consumer-initiated testing. Its core Diagnostic Information Services segment spans routine testing (blood counts, cholesterol, metabolic panels) plus a growing base of advanced molecular and genomic diagnostics in oncology, neurology, women's health, and infectious disease. Scale, a national logistics network, and long-standing payer contracts are the company's main moats in a fragmented roughly $100 billion US lab market where Quest and Labcorp together hold the top tier.

Full DGX guide

BLLN vs DGX: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • BLLN drivers: Share gains and menu expansion in prenatal screening; Oncology as the second engine.
  • DGX drivers: Organic volume growth; Acquisitions as a growth engine.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Illumina sued BillionToOne in the District of Delaware in May 2026 alleging infringement of three patents covering fetal fraction measurement and variant identification in mixed DNA samples, and the complaint targets the Unity products that supply most of the revenue, so an adverse outcome could mean royalties, an injunction, or a redesign of the core franchise. For DGX, the largest risk is reimbursement policy: Medicare rates under PAMA face potential cuts (a delay pushed reductions toward 2027, but a roughly 15 percent cut to hundreds of tests looms without permanent reform), and private-payer pricing pressure caps growth.

BLLN or DGX: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BLLN if you believe its drivers more; DGX if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BLLN and DGX guides.

BLLN vs DGX: the full fundamentals

BLLN. The multiple is the whole argument. At roughly 119 times trailing earnings even after a 39% drawdown, BLLN is priced on the forward revenue ramp rather than on current profits, which are real but small (about $38 million trailing against a $4.3 billion market value). Cash of roughly $549 million against about $144 million of debt removes financing risk from the story, so the debate narrows to whether 48% to 52% growth in 2026 can be sustained into 2027 as the prenatal base gets larger and the Illumina litigation runs. The stock's 52-week range of roughly $62 to $150 against a $60 IPO price in November 2025 shows how little consensus there is on the answer.

DGX. In Q1 2026 Quest reported revenue of about $2.9 billion (up 9.2 percent) and adjusted EPS of $2.50 (up 13.1 percent), and raised full-year guidance. The stock traded near $205 in mid-July 2026 at a forward P/E under 20, a moderate multiple below primary competitor Labcorp. The dividend has risen for 15 consecutive years, most recently a 7.5 percent increase.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): BLLN shows revenue (ttm) ~$397 million, up ~90% year over year, q2 2026 revenue ~$109.4 million, up ~64%, versus ~$111.6 million expected, 2026 revenue guidance ~$450 million to $465 million, reiterated (implies ~48% to 52% growth), gross margin ~70% in Q2 2026, up from ~65% a year earlier and ~53% in 2024; DGX shows revenue (ttm) ~$11.5B, 2026 revenue guidance ~$11.78B to $11.9B, 2026 adj. eps guidance ~$10.63 to $10.83, market cap ~$22.8B.

The bottom line: BLLN vs DGX

BLLN and DGX are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BLLN and DGX exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how BLLN or DGX fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in BillionToOne, Inc. with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BLLN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between BLLN and DGX?

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BillionToOne is a Menlo Park diagnostics company founded in 2016 by Oguzhan Atay, David Tsao and Sukrit Silas around a patented technique called Quantitative Counting Templates, which lets the company count individual DNA molecules in a blood sample rather than merely detect them. Quest Diagnostics operates one of the largest clinical laboratory networks in the United States, processing billions of test results a year across a footprint of patient service centers, hospital and physician outreach relationships, and consumer-initiated testing. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is BLLN or DGX the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. DGX is the larger incumbent; BLLN is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, BLLN or DGX?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BLLN trades at 130.93x and DGX at 19.32x, so DGX is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both BLLN and DGX?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of BLLN vs DGX?

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BLLN: Illumina sued BillionToOne in the District of Delaware in May 2026 alleging infringement of three patents covering fetal fraction measurement and variant identification in mixed DNA samples, and the complaint targets the Unity products that supply most of the revenue, so an adverse outcome could mean royalties, an injunction, or a redesign of the core franchise. Revenue depends heavily on payer reimbursement decisions and on average selling price holding up, and a coverage change at a large commercial payer or a Medicare rate revision would show up directly in the growth rate without any change in test volume. Natera remains far larger in non-invasive prenatal testing and Guardant Health, Foundation Medicine, Tempus and Caris are entrenched in oncology liquid biopsy, so both franchises compete against companies with more scale and longer payer relationships. The valuation carries essentially no cushion: the stock traded at roughly 119 times trailing earnings before the August 2026 drop and still around 9 to 11 times forward revenue after it, which is why an in-line quarter produced a 39% single-day decline. Governance is concentrated, with Class B shares carrying 15 votes each and the two founders controlling roughly 64% of voting power at the time of the IPO, and the post-IPO lockup expired on May 5, 2026, with insider sales reported since. DGX: The largest risk is reimbursement policy: Medicare rates under PAMA face potential cuts (a delay pushed reductions toward 2027, but a roughly 15 percent cut to hundreds of tests looms without permanent reform), and private-payer pricing pressure caps growth. Labor shortages in clinical lab technologists and molecular specialists can raise costs and constrain capacity. Increased FDA oversight of laboratory-developed tests could add compliance burden. Acquisition-led growth carries integration and overpayment risk, and a large debt load from deal activity adds interest expense. Finally, the business is competitive and partly commoditized, so share losses to Labcorp, hospital in-sourcing, or specialty labs would pressure both volume and margin.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BLLN or DGX; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    BLLN vs DGX: How BillionToOne, Inc. and Quest Diagnostics Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App