BPOP vs FBP: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
BPOP is the larger of the two ($11.19B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (10.23x forward earnings, beta 0.63). FBP is the smaller challenger ($4.42B), priced similarly on forward earnings (11.48x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BPOP vs FBP: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BPOP | FBP | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $11.19B | $4.42B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 10.23 | 11.48 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 11.85 | 12.21 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.63 | 0.81 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 98% of range | 95% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.75 | 2.22 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how BPOP and FBP affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BPOP and FBP share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BPOP and FBP exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Popular (BPOP) do?
Popular, Inc. is a bank holding company founded in 1893 and headquartered in San Juan, Puerto Rico. It operates through two segments: Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, which provides retail, mortgage, and commercial banking across the island and holds roughly 42% of Puerto Rico's deposit market, and Popular U.S., a mainland retail and commercial franchise concentrated in New York, New Jersey, and Florida. The company also serves the British Virgin Islands and parts of the Caribbean. Its dominant island franchise gives it a large, low-cost deposit base, which is the single most important driver of a bank's profitability because cheap funding widens the spread between what it earns on loans and pays on deposits.
What does First BanCorp (FBP) do?
First BanCorp (NYSE: FBP), founded in 1948 and headquartered in San Juan, is the parent of FirstBank, a full-service commercial and consumer bank that is the second-largest deposit franchise in Puerto Rico behind Banco Popular. It also operates in the U.S. Virgin Islands, the British Virgin Islands, and Florida, and runs subsidiaries including Money Express (consumer lending) and First Leasing. As of early 2026 the company reported roughly $19 billion in total assets, about $13 billion in loans held for investment, and about $16.6 billion in deposits, spread across commercial, retail, mortgage, and treasury segments.
BPOP vs FBP: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BPOP drivers: Puerto Rico deposit dominance; Net interest margin and rates.
- FBP drivers: Margin and profitability strength; Capital return engine.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is geographic concentration: a large share of Popular's earnings depend on Puerto Rico, so the island's economy, population trends, fiscal situation, and vulnerability to hurricanes and other disasters all matter more than for a diversified mainland bank. For FBP, fBP's core risk is geographic concentration: the bulk of its loans, deposits, and revenue are tied to the Puerto Rico economy, which has faced population decline, fiscal stress, and vulnerability to hurricanes and other natural disasters.
BPOP or FBP: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BPOP if you believe its drivers more; FBP if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BPOP and FBP guides.
BPOP vs FBP: the full fundamentals
BPOP. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. For a bank, the most useful lenses are return on tangible common equity, net interest margin, credit quality, and price relative to tangible book value rather than a single earnings multiple. Popular's mid-teens returns and dominant deposit share support its profitability, but a bank's valuation also reflects the rate environment and concentration risk, so a modest multiple can be reasonable rather than cheap. Analyst price-target moves through 2026 skewed positive, but those views are a bet on margins and the island economy holding up.
FBP. FBP traded near $26 per share in mid-2026 following a Q1 2026 in which it earned $88.8 million, or $0.57 per diluted share, up 21% year over year. The low double-digit P/E is roughly in line with or slightly below many regional bank peers, and the valuation reflects both the bank's high profitability and the concentration discount applied to a single-economy franchise. Figures are approximate and drawn from public filings and market data.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): BPOP shows net income (q1 2026) ~$245.7 million, up from ~$233.9 million the prior quarter, eps (q1 2026) ~$3.78 per share, return on tangible common equity ~15.5%, helped by higher net interest income and lower expenses, dividend Quarterly common dividend of $0.75 per share (~$3.00 annualized), plus buybacks; FBP shows revenue (ttm, net interest income + fees) ~$930M, net income (ttm) ~$355M, eps (ttm, diluted) ~$2.25, market cap ~$4.1B.
The bottom line: BPOP vs FBP
BPOP and FBP are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BPOP and FBP exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BPOP or FBP fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Popular with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BPOP fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BPOP and FBP?
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Popular, Inc. First BanCorp (NYSE: FBP), founded in 1948 and headquartered in San Juan, is the parent of FirstBank, a full-service commercial and consumer bank that is the second-largest deposit franchise in Puerto Rico behind Banco Popular. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BPOP or FBP the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. BPOP is the larger incumbent; FBP is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BPOP or FBP?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BPOP trades at 10.23x and FBP at 11.48x, so BPOP is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BPOP and FBP?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BPOP vs FBP?
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BPOP: The dominant risk is geographic concentration: a large share of Popular's earnings depend on Puerto Rico, so the island's economy, population trends, fiscal situation, and vulnerability to hurricanes and other disasters all matter more than for a diversified mainland bank. Standard banking risks apply, including credit quality if the economy weakens, and net interest margin pressure if interest rates fall or deposit competition rises. The mainland expansion adds execution and competitive risk in tougher markets. As a regional bank, Popular is also exposed to sector-wide swings in sentiment, funding costs, and regulation, and its loan and securities portfolios carry interest-rate and credit sensitivity common to all banks. Dividends and buybacks depend on continued profitability and regulatory capital approvals. FBP: FBP's core risk is geographic concentration: the bulk of its loans, deposits, and revenue are tied to the Puerto Rico economy, which has faced population decline, fiscal stress, and vulnerability to hurricanes and other natural disasters. A material portion of past growth has been supported by federal disaster-relief and stimulus funds, and the fading of those flows could pressure deposits and loan demand. As a rate-sensitive bank, its net interest margin can compress if funding costs rise faster than asset yields or if the rate environment shifts. Broader risks include potential credit deterioration in a downturn, competitive pressure from Banco Popular and OFG Bancorp, and the general regulatory and capital requirements that apply to all banks.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BPOP or FBP; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.