BURL vs ROST: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
ROST is the larger of the two ($80.54B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (29.32x forward earnings, beta 0.88). BURL is the smaller challenger ($21.21B), cheaper on forward earnings (24.33x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BURL vs ROST: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BURL | ROST | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $21.21B | $80.54B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 24.33 | 29.32 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 34.63 | 35.07 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.47 | 0.88 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 70% of range | 96% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 11.41 | 12.78 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: BURL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how BURL and ROST affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BURL and ROST share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BURL and ROST exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Burlington Stores (BURL) do?
Burlington Stores runs 1,242 off-price retail stores across the United States, selling branded apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty and home goods at prices set well under what department stores charge for the same labels. The buying model is opportunistic: merchants pick up closeout lots, cancelled orders and packaway inventory from vendors, then flow it to stores as the season fits. Nothing is guaranteed to be on the rack next week, and that scarcity is the point of the format. The chain grew out of Burlington Coat Factory, and the operating subsidiary still carries that name, though outerwear is now a modest slice of the mix. Under CEO Michael O'Sullivan, who arrived in 2019, the company has moved to smaller store boxes, cut comparable-store inventory levels, widened the brand assortment and pushed hard on openings, many of them leases picked up out of other retailers' bankruptcies.
What does Ross Stores (ROST) do?
Ross Stores (ROST) is one of the largest off-price retailers in the United States, selling brand-name and designer apparel, footwear, accessories, and home fashions at prices well below department and specialty stores. It operates two banners: Ross Dress for Less, its flagship chain of roughly 1,950 stores, and dd's DISCOUNTS, a more moderately priced format with about 375 stores aimed at value-focused shoppers. The company's model is built on the treasure-hunt experience: it buys excess and in-season merchandise opportunistically from a wide network of vendors, keeps a lean assortment that changes constantly, and passes the savings on to customers at 20% to 70% off. This closeout buying, no-frills store operations, and rapid inventory turnover let Ross run at low prices while protecting margins. Off-price retail tends to hold up relatively well when household budgets tighten, because value-seeking shoppers trade down into it, which is why Ross is often described as recession-resilient. Headquartered in Dublin, California, Ross continues to expand its store count each year toward a long-term target of thousands of additional locations across both banners.
BURL vs ROST: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BURL drivers: Store growth on other retailers' real estate; The margin gap with TJX and Ross.
- ROST drivers: The off-price treasure-hunt model; Recession resilience and trade-down demand.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The full-year plan assumes comparable store sales of only 2% to 4% after a 6% first quarter, and the second-quarter guide of 1% to 3% points to deliberate deceleration, so a strong start does not carry the year by itself. For ROST, ross is a consumer-discretionary retailer, so its sales depend on the health of consumer spending, employment, and confidence, which weaken in downturns.
BURL or ROST: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BURL if you believe its drivers more; ROST if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BURL and ROST guides.
BURL vs ROST: the full fundamentals
BURL. Trailing twelve-month revenue of roughly $11.9 billion produced about $624 million of GAAP net income, or ~$9.72 per diluted share, while management guides fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS to $11.45 to $11.80. The gap between the two mostly reflects expenses on bankruptcy-acquired leases plus the $15 million charge from retiring convertible notes in the first quarter. At about $337 the shares carry a higher trailing multiple than either TJX or Ross Stores despite thinner margins, which is the premium attached to the catch-up case; second-quarter results are due in late August 2026.
ROST. Ross's results are driven by comparable-store sales, new-store openings, and margin management around freight, wages, and shrink. Off-price retailers often trade at premium multiples to traditional department stores because of their steadier growth and defensive demand, so the stock can look expensive on trailing earnings during strong periods. Figures here are approximate and change each quarter with the consumer environment and company guidance; verify current numbers before relying on them.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): BURL shows revenue (ttm) ~$11.9B, net income / diluted eps (ttm) ~$624M / ~$9.72, latest quarter (13 weeks ended may 2, 2026) Net sales ~$2.85B, up 14%; comps up 6%; adjusted EPS ~$2.10, fiscal 2026 adjusted eps guidance ~$11.45 to ~$11.80, vs ~$10.17 last year; ROST shows revenue (annual) ~$22 billion (fiscal 2026 run rate, growing), primary business off-price apparel, footwear, accessories, and home fashions, store banners Ross Dress for Less (~1,950) and dd's DISCOUNTS (~375), recent comparable-store sales positive, with Q1 fiscal 2026 comps up double digits.
The bottom line: BURL vs ROST
BURL and ROST are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BURL and ROST exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BURL or ROST fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Burlington Stores with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BURL fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BURL and ROST?
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Burlington Stores runs 1,242 off-price retail stores across the United States, selling branded apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty and home goods at prices set well under what department stores charge for the same labels. Ross Stores (ROST) is one of the largest off-price retailers in the United States, selling brand-name and designer apparel, footwear, accessories, and home fashions at prices well below department and specialty stores. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BURL or ROST the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. ROST is the larger incumbent; BURL is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BURL or ROST?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BURL trades at 24.33x and ROST at 29.32x, so BURL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BURL and ROST?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BURL vs ROST?
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BURL: The full-year plan assumes comparable store sales of only 2% to 4% after a 6% first quarter, and the second-quarter guide of 1% to 3% points to deliberate deceleration, so a strong start does not carry the year by itself. Growth is capital-hungry: about $875 million of net capital spending against roughly $624 million of trailing net income means new square footage, not the existing base, supplies most of the sales increase. Burlington sells to a lower-income shopper whose spending bends quickly when rent, food and fuel move, and tariffs on imported apparel raise landed costs the company does not fully control. Comparable store inventory rose 11% against a 6% comp, and reserve inventory fell to 41% of the total from 48%, a mix shift worth following if goods do not clear at full ticket. Total debt of about $1.9 billion, mostly a term loan, sits against $747 million of unrestricted cash, and with no dividend the entire return depends on the share price and repurchases. ROST: Ross is a consumer-discretionary retailer, so its sales depend on the health of consumer spending, employment, and confidence, which weaken in downturns. It faces intense competition from TJX (T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods) and Burlington, all chasing the same closeout merchandise and value shoppers. The off-price model relies on a steady flow of excess inventory from vendors; disruptions to that supply, tariffs, or shifts in how brands manage overstock can pressure buying. Freight, wage, and shrink (theft) costs can squeeze margins. Most sales are apparel and home goods that can be sensitive to weather and fashion, and stores are concentrated in physical retail with limited e-commerce. It is a retail equity tied to the consumer cycle, not a defensive bond-like holding.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BURL or ROST; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.