BX vs OBDC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
BX is the larger of the two ($159.00B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (17.11x forward earnings, beta 1.58). OBDC is the smaller challenger ($5.67B), cheaper on forward earnings (8.85x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BX vs OBDC: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BX | OBDC | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $159.00B | $5.67B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 17.11 | 8.85 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 28.58 | 20.54 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.58 | 0.67 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 29% of range | 25% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 11.34 | 0.81 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: OBDC is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how BX and OBDC affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BX and OBDC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BX and OBDC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Blackstone (BX) do?
Blackstone Inc. is the world's largest alternative asset manager, investing on behalf of pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, endowments, and increasingly individual investors. It runs money across several major strategies: real estate (historically its largest), private equity, credit and insurance, infrastructure, life sciences, growth equity, secondaries, and hedge fund solutions. The business model has two engines. First, it earns recurring management fees on the capital it manages, which produces relatively stable fee-related earnings and grows as assets under management climb. Second, it earns performance fees (carried interest and incentive fees) when its funds generate strong returns, which are lumpier and depend on realizations and market conditions. Because most of its capital is locked up in long-dated funds, Blackstone has durable, contracted fee streams, and it distributes a large share of its distributable earnings to shareholders as a variable quarterly dividend rather than a fixed one.
What does Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) do?
Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a specialty finance company structured as a business development company, listed on the NYSE since July 2019 and externally managed by Blue Owl Credit Advisors, an arm of Blue Owl Capital (NYSE: OWL). It originates and holds loans to private U.S. companies that are generally too large for the smallest BDCs and too private for the public bond market. As of June 30, 2026, the portfolio held investments in 229 companies across 30 industries at an aggregate fair value of ~$15.0 billion, with an average position of ~$65 million. First-lien senior secured debt made up ~73% of the book and ~96% of debt investments carried floating rates, which ties income directly to SOFR. In January 2025 the company absorbed Blue Owl Capital Corporation III in a stock merger, issuing ~120.6 million shares, and a separate proposed combination with Blue Owl Capital Corporation II was terminated in November 2025.
BX vs OBDC: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BX drivers: Growth of assets under management; Private wealth and retail channel.
- OBDC drivers: Floating-rate income against a falling base rate; Balance sheet repositioning.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. For OBDC, credit quality is the central exposure: investments on non-accrual represented 2.8% of the portfolio at cost and 0.8% at fair value as of June 30, 2026, up from 2.0% at cost in the prior quarter, and NAV per share has declined from ~$15.03 to ~$14.26 over the past year on markdowns of a small number of borrowers.
BX or OBDC: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BX if you believe its drivers more; OBDC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BX and OBDC guides.
BX vs OBDC: the full fundamentals
BX. These figures are qualitative and approximate as of the asOf date, not precise real-time numbers. Because performance fees and the variable dividend move with realizations and markets, quarterly results can be uneven. Confirm live AUM, revenue, fee-related earnings, dividend, and valuation before acting.
OBDC. Standard equity multiples do not describe a BDC well, because the balance sheet is the business and earnings are largely interest income passed through to shareholders. The two anchors are the discount to book (~0.81 times NAV) and the coverage ratio between net investment income and the declared dividend, which returned to a comfortable margin after the second-quarter base cut. GAAP net investment income of $0.36 per share in the second quarter sat above the $0.33 declared, while realized and unrealized losses of $0.22 per share explain why NAV still fell.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): BX shows assets under management More than $1.3 trillion as of early 2026, the largest of any alternative asset manager, after record inflows (roughly $70 billion in a recent quarter), revenue trend Full-year 2025 revenue was about $14.5 billion, up roughly $1.2 billion year over year; management and advisory fees were about $8.1 billion, profitability Emphasizes fee-related earnings (recurring management fees) as the stable core, with performance fees (carried interest) adding lumpier upside tied to realizations, capital returns Pays a variable quarterly dividend tied to distributable earnings (not a fixed rate) plus buybacks, so the payout rises and falls with results; OBDC shows total investment income (ttm) ~$1.70B, net investment income (ttm) ~$727M (~$1.44 per share), nav per share (june 30, 2026) ~$14.26, price to nav ~0.81x (shares near ~$11.50).
The bottom line: BX vs OBDC
BX and OBDC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BX and OBDC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BX or OBDC fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Blackstone with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BX fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BX and OBDC?
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Blackstone Inc. Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a specialty finance company structured as a business development company, listed on the NYSE since July 2019 and externally managed by Blue Owl Credit Advisors, an arm of Blue Owl Capital (NYSE: OWL). They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BX or OBDC the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. BX is the larger incumbent; OBDC is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BX or OBDC?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BX trades at 17.11x and OBDC at 8.85x, so OBDC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BX and OBDC?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BX vs OBDC?
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BX: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. Fundraising and deal activity slow when markets are volatile, interest rates are high, or investors pull back, which can crimp both management-fee growth and the realizations that drive performance fees. Performance fees (carried interest) are inherently lumpy and can swing distributable earnings and the variable dividend from quarter to quarter, so the payout is not fixed. Real estate remains a large exposure, and stress in commercial property or elevated rates can pressure valuations and prompt redemption requests in semi-liquid vehicles; Blackstone has faced redemption caps in its perpetual real estate fund during past stress. Rising rates raise the bar for private-market returns and can compress asset values. The business is also exposed to regulatory scrutiny of private markets, retail alternatives, and carried-interest taxation. Finally, as a leveraged play on private-market growth, the stock tends to be more volatile than the broad market. OBDC: Credit quality is the central exposure: investments on non-accrual represented 2.8% of the portfolio at cost and 0.8% at fair value as of June 30, 2026, up from 2.0% at cost in the prior quarter, and NAV per share has declined from ~$15.03 to ~$14.26 over the past year on markdowns of a small number of borrowers. Leverage magnifies both directions, so a further move in non-accruals lands on a book already carrying ~$7.9 billion of net debt. Portfolio shrinkage is a second concern, with total investments down from ~$16.9 billion a year ago to ~$15.0 billion as repayments outpace originations, which mechanically reduces investment income. External management brings a fee structure that runs regardless of shareholder returns, and on April 27, 2026 a derivative action was filed by Richard Delman in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York alleging the Adviser received excessive advisory fees under Section 36(b) of the Investment Company Act; the case is in its preliminary stages, the Adviser says the claims lack merit, and no securities-fraud class action against the company was disclosed. Finally, BDCs must distribute nearly all taxable income to keep their regulated investment company status, which leaves little retained capital and makes the company dependent on debt and equity markets to grow.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BX or OBDC; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.