COST vs NKE: How Costco Wholesale and Nike Compare (2026)

Last updated July 2026

Short answer

COST is the larger of the two ($430.88B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (42.90x forward earnings, beta 0.87). NKE is the smaller challenger ($63.19B), cheaper on forward earnings (18.47x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

COST vs NKE: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCOSTNKEWhat it tells you
Market cap$430.88B$63.19BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E42.9018.47Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E48.8020.28Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.871.13Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range51% of range6% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book26.064.25How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: NKE is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how COST and NKE affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. COST and NKE share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined COST and NKE exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Costco Wholesale (COST) do?

Costco Wholesale operates a membership-based warehouse club chain. Members pay an annual fee (currently $65 for basic Gold Star, $130 for Executive) for access to Costco warehouses, where they can buy products at lower markups than traditional retailers. Costco operates approximately 900 warehouses globally, with the largest concentration in the United States plus meaningful presence in Canada, Mexico, the UK, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, and other markets.

Full COST guide

What does Nike (NKE) do?

Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel company, designing, marketing, and selling shoes, clothing, and equipment under the Nike and Jordan brands, plus Converse. Nike does not own most of its manufacturing: it outsources production to contract factories largely in Asia and focuses on design, branding, and marketing, where its swoosh logo and athlete endorsements give it unrivaled brand power. Revenue comes from two channels: wholesale (selling to retailers like Foot Locker and Dick's Sporting Goods) and Nike Direct (its own stores, the Nike app, and Nike.com), the latter carrying higher margins and direct customer relationships. The Jordan Brand is a major profit engine on its own. Nike's competitive advantages are its brand, scale, marketing reach, and innovation in performance products. In recent years the company has worked through challenges including a costly shift toward direct-to-consumer that strained wholesale partnerships, inventory and discounting issues, and competition from newer brands. Founded in 1964 (as Blue Ribbon Sports) and headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon, Nike is a large-cap consumer brand and Dividend Aristocrat undergoing a turnaround.

Full NKE guide

COST vs NKE: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • COST drivers: Membership fee growth; International expansion.
  • NKE drivers: Dominant global brand; Direct-to-consumer and digital.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Costco's premium valuation embeds high expectations for continued same-store sales growth and margin expansion. For NKE, nike has faced disappointing growth, inventory and discounting pressure, and self-inflicted wounds from an overaggressive direct-to-consumer pivot that alienated wholesale partners.

COST or NKE: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick COST if you believe its drivers more; NKE if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the COST and NKE guides.

COST vs NKE: the full fundamentals

COST. Costco trades at one of the highest P/E ratios in retail, reflecting the durable membership model, consistent same-store sales growth, and the long runway for international expansion. The premium is also driven by Costco being widely viewed as a quality compounder in retail. The valuation has compressed historically only during severe market drawdowns.

NKE. Nike trades at a valuation that has compressed from its premium highs, reflecting slowing growth, margin pressure, and competitive share losses, balanced against an iconic brand and a long dividend-growth record. The multiple embeds expectations for a turnaround in growth and margins. It has historically re-rated when innovation and full-price selling recovered and stayed subdued during execution stumbles.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): COST shows revenue (ttm) ~$260 billion, operating margin ~3.5% (low, by design; membership fees are the profit lever), net income (ttm) ~$7.5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$17.00; NKE shows revenue (ttm) ~$48 billion, gross margin ~43-44% (pressured by discounting; targeted to recover), operating margin ~10-12%, eps (ttm) ~$3.00, down from prior peaks.

The bottom line: COST vs NKE

COST and NKE are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined COST and NKE exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Investing in Costco Wholesale with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how COST fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between COST and NKE?

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Costco Wholesale operates a membership-based warehouse club chain. Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel company, designing, marketing, and selling shoes, clothing, and equipment under the Nike and Jordan brands, plus Converse. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is COST or NKE the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. COST is the larger incumbent; NKE is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, COST or NKE?

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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), COST trades at 42.90x and NKE at 18.47x, so NKE is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both COST and NKE?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of COST vs NKE?

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COST: Costco's premium valuation embeds high expectations for continued same-store sales growth and margin expansion. Any consumer slowdown or competitive pressure from BJ's, Sam's Club, or Amazon would compress the multiple. NKE: Nike has faced disappointing growth, inventory and discounting pressure, and self-inflicted wounds from an overaggressive direct-to-consumer pivot that alienated wholesale partners. Competition has intensified from established rivals (Adidas, Puma) and fast-rising challengers (On, Hoka, New Balance) that have taken share, particularly in running. The business is exposed to consumer-spending cycles, China demand and geopolitical risk, currency swings, and supply-chain and tariff exposure given Asian manufacturing. A turnaround takes time and is not guaranteed; margins can stay pressured during the reset. The stock has de-rated from prior highs, and while the brand remains powerful, restoring growth, full-price selling, and innovation credibility is an execution challenge under new leadership.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell COST or NKE; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    COST vs NKE: How Costco Wholesale and Nike Compare (2026), Walnut