CRGY vs MTDR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

MTDR is the larger of the two ($6.92B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (6.68x forward earnings, beta 0.77). CRGY is the smaller challenger ($3.79B), cheaper on forward earnings (5.07x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

CRGY vs MTDR: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCRGYMTDRWhat it tells you
Market cap$3.79B$6.92BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E5.076.68Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta0.910.77Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range57% of range63% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book0.811.17How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: CRGY is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how CRGY and MTDR affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CRGY and MTDR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CRGY and MTDR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) do?

Crescent Energy Company is a Houston-based independent exploration and production (E&P) business that describes itself as a disciplined consolidator: it buys long-life oil and gas assets, integrates them, and returns capital to shareholders through a fixed dividend and buybacks. Its portfolio is concentrated in key US basins including the Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta, and it blends stable cash-flow-generating production with development inventory and a mineral and royalty component. In December 2025 it closed the acquisition of Vital Energy, a deal that materially scaled the company and positioned it as one of the larger liquids-weighted US independents.

Full CRGY guide

What does Matador Resources (MTDR) do?

Matador Resources drills, completes and produces oil and natural gas from the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, the western lobe of the Permian, with roughly 483 employees and a founder, Joseph Foran, who has run the company since 2003. Production averaged ~215,631 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the second quarter of 2026, ~58% of it crude oil, and proved reserves reached ~703 million BOE at June 30, 2026 against ~667 million at the end of 2025. Alongside the wells, Matador owns 51% of San Mateo, a gathering and processing joint venture with Five Point Infrastructure that moves natural gas, crude and produced water for Matador and for third-party customers. San Mateo's acquisition of Cardinal Midstream, which closed on July 31, 2026, pushed its designed processing capacity above one billion cubic feet per day.

Full MTDR guide

CRGY vs MTDR: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CRGY drivers: Growth by acquisition and integration; Free cash flow and capital returns.
  • MTDR drivers: Four inventory transactions closed or pending in one year; Higher-quality rock and better lease economics.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Crescent carries a debt balance above $5 billion and net leverage near 1.5x, which amplifies the effect of commodity swings on equity value. For MTDR, commodity price is the dominant variable: second-quarter earnings leaned on ~$98 per barrel realised oil, and a return toward the $64 realised in the same quarter of 2025 would compress cash flow sharply against a raised capital budget.

CRGY or MTDR: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CRGY if you believe its drivers more; MTDR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CRGY and MTDR guides.

CRGY vs MTDR: the full fundamentals

CRGY. CRGY trades at a low market cap relative to revenue and enterprise value, which is common for leveraged E&P names because debt sits ahead of shareholders. Trailing GAAP earnings have been negative due to large hedging (derivative) losses, so headline P/E is not meaningful, while a forward multiple on adjusted earnings is far lower, around the mid-single digits by some estimates. The stock traded near $9 to $10 in early July 2026, within a 52-week range of roughly $7.68 to $14.29.

MTDR. The single-digit trailing multiple and ~1.1x price-to-book are typical of US shale producers, which the market prices on reserve life and commodity assumptions rather than on reported earnings. Netting ~$26 million of cash against ~$4.2 billion of long-term debt gives an enterprise value near $11 billion, roughly four times trailing operating cash flow of ~$2.6 billion. Reported figures also swing with mark-to-market derivative results, which is why the first quarter of 2026 showed a small GAAP net loss while adjusted net income stayed positive at ~$189.5 million.

Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): CRGY shows revenue (ttm) ~$4B, q1 2026 revenue ~$1.18B (+24% YoY), q1 2026 production ~341 MBoe/d (record), total debt ~$5.2B (net leverage ~1.5x); MTDR shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.8B, net income (ttm) ~$724M, diluted eps (ttm) ~$5.83, market cap ~$6.9B.

The bottom line: CRGY vs MTDR

CRGY and MTDR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CRGY and MTDR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CRGY or MTDR fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Crescent Energy Company with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CRGY fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CRGY and MTDR?

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Crescent Energy Company is a Houston-based independent exploration and production (E&P) business that describes itself as a disciplined consolidator: it buys long-life oil and gas assets, integrates them, and returns capital to shareholders through a fixed dividend and buybacks. Matador Resources drills, completes and produces oil and natural gas from the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, the western lobe of the Permian, with roughly 483 employees and a founder, Joseph Foran, who has run the company since 2003. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CRGY or MTDR the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. MTDR is the larger incumbent; CRGY is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CRGY or MTDR?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), CRGY trades at 5.07x and MTDR at 6.68x, so CRGY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CRGY and MTDR?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CRGY vs MTDR?

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CRGY: Crescent carries a debt balance above $5 billion and net leverage near 1.5x, which amplifies the effect of commodity swings on equity value. Oil and gas prices are the dominant driver, and a large derivative (hedging) loss of roughly $700 million pushed Q1 2026 to a reported net loss even as operating income and revenue rose. Growth by acquisition brings integration risk, potential dilution, and the possibility of overpaying, and reported GAAP earnings have been negative on a trailing basis. The stock has been volatile, trading well off its 52-week high, and a sustained drop in oil or gas prices, higher interest costs, or a stumble in integrating acquired assets could pressure both the dividend and the deleveraging plan. MTDR: Commodity price is the dominant variable: second-quarter earnings leaned on ~$98 per barrel realised oil, and a return toward the $64 realised in the same quarter of 2025 would compress cash flow sharply against a raised capital budget. Natural gas exposure cuts the other way already, with negative Waha realisations forcing shut-ins, and the Hugh Brinson relief has not yet been demonstrated in reported results. Debt grew by roughly $750 million in a single quarter to fund acreage, so the deleveraging path to 1.0x depends on prices holding. Two of the four 2026 transactions, Paloma and Ridge Runner, are still pending and carry regulatory, closing and integration risk, and the Woodford play remains an emerging formation supported by a small number of wells rather than a long production history. On the disclosure side, the New Mexico Environment Department issued a Notice of Violation to San Mateo on July 22, 2025 over alleged excess air emissions at the Black River processing plant, with settlement discussions pointing to an amount between $300,000 and $1,000,000, which the company does not treat as material.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CRGY or MTDR; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    CRGY vs MTDR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App