CSAN vs UGP: How Cosan and Ultrapar Participacoes Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

UGP is the larger of the two ($6.54B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (10.26x forward earnings, beta 0.26). CSAN is the smaller challenger ($2.84B), priced similarly on forward earnings (11.57x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

CSAN vs UGP: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCSANUGPWhat it tells you
Market cap$2.84B$6.54BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E11.5710.26Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta0.490.26Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range10% of range87% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book4.152.07How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how CSAN and UGP affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CSAN and UGP share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CSAN and UGP exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Cosan (CSAN) do?

Cosan S.A. began in 1936 as a sugar mill operator in Sao Paulo state and is now a holding company that sits above several separate Brazilian businesses. Compass distributes natural gas, including Comgas, the country's largest piped-gas utility, and operates the Edge regasification terminal at the Port of Santos. Rumo runs the largest freight rail network in Brazil, hauling grain and sugar to Santos and to northern ports. Moove blends and sells lubricants as the Mobil licensee across Brazil, parts of South America and Europe. Radar holds farmland. Raizen, the roughly 50/50 sugar, ethanol and fuel-distribution joint venture with Shell, was historically the largest piece and is now the source of the group's damage. Cosan employs roughly ~29,000 people, reports in Brazilian reais, and trades in Sao Paulo as CSAN3; one ADS on the NYSE represents one common share.

Full CSAN guide

What does Ultrapar Participacoes (UGP) do?

Ultrapar Participacoes was founded in 1937 and runs four businesses. Ipiranga, the largest by revenue, distributes gasoline, diesel and ethanol to roughly ~6,000 branded service stations across Brazil, with the AmPm convenience format and the Km de Vantagens loyalty program attached to it. Ultragaz bottles and delivers liquefied petroleum gas to households and industrial customers. Ultracargo operates specialized liquid bulk storage terminals at ports including Santos, Suape, Itaqui and Aratu. Hidrovias do Brasil, where Ultrapar took control in May 2025 and began consolidating results from that date, moves grain and iron ore on the Northern Corridor and the Paraguay and Parana river system. The group is deliberately narrower than it was: Oxiteno, the specialty chemicals arm, went to Indorama in 2022, and the Extrafarma drugstore chain was sold to Pague Menos the same year.

Full UGP guide

CSAN vs UGP: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CSAN drivers: Deleveraging by divestment rather than by earnings; Compass as the funded cash engine.
  • UGP drivers: Ipiranga margin per litre, not volume; Ultragaz as the steady cash line.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Raizen is the open wound: an extrajudicial reorganization is ongoing, Cosan has said it has no legal or constructive obligation to fund it, and creditors may test that position. For UGP, brazilian fuel distribution competes against a persistent informal segment that evades ICMS fuel taxes and undercuts compliant distributors on price, so enforcement policy is a direct input to Ipiranga's margin rather than a background issue.

CSAN or UGP: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CSAN if you believe its drivers more; UGP if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CSAN and UGP guides.

CSAN vs UGP: the full fundamentals

CSAN. There is no trailing price-to-earnings figure because Cosan lost roughly ~$1.8 billion (about ~R$9.7 billion) over the last twelve months, mostly on Raizen impairments rather than on operations. Valuation work on CSAN is therefore a sum-of-the-parts exercise: mark Compass, Rumo, Moove and Radar, subtract holding-company debt near ~R$11.5 billion, and assign zero to Raizen as the company itself now does. The next report is scheduled for around ~August 14, 2026.

UGP. The two ratios that matter most here are EV/EBITDA of ~6.8x and net debt to EBITDA of ~1.5x, because a distributor with ~2% EBITDA margins is valued on cash conversion and balance-sheet room rather than on revenue. Reported net income more than doubled to ~R$914 million in the first quarter of 2026, which is why the forward multiple sits well below the trailing one. Second quarter 2026 results were scheduled for August 12, 2026 with a call the following morning, and analysts going in were modelling about ~$0.27 per ADR on roughly ~$8.2 billion of quarterly revenue.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): CSAN shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.6 billion, reported in Brazilian reais, q1 2026 net sales ~R$9.0 billion, down from ~R$9.7 billion, q1 2026 ebitda ~R$3.2 billion, up from ~R$2.0 billion, q1 2026 net loss ~R$1.3 billion, narrowed from ~R$1.9 billion; UGP shows revenue (ttm) ~$27.9 billion, ebitda (ttm) ~$1.43 billion, net income (ttm) ~$574 million, market capitalization ~$6.6 billion at ~$6.12 per ADR.

The bottom line: CSAN vs UGP

CSAN and UGP are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CSAN and UGP exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CSAN or UGP fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Cosan with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CSAN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CSAN and UGP?

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Cosan S.A. Ultrapar Participacoes was founded in 1937 and runs four businesses. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CSAN or UGP the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. UGP is the larger incumbent; CSAN is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CSAN or UGP?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), CSAN trades at 11.57x and UGP at 10.26x, so UGP is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CSAN and UGP?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CSAN vs UGP?

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CSAN: Raizen is the open wound: an extrajudicial reorganization is ongoing, Cosan has said it has no legal or constructive obligation to fund it, and creditors may test that position. Selling the Rumo stake or a Compass tranche into a weak Brazilian market risks realizing prices below the carrying values investors are underwriting, and a failed process leaves the holding debt in place. Brazilian policy rates set the cost of the remaining debt, so any move higher in the Selic rate compresses the equity residual directly, and the reais-denominated results translate into a variable dollar figure for a US holder. The capital increase materially raised the share count to roughly ~3.9 billion shares, so per-share recovery lags any recovery in enterprise value. There is no meaningful dividend while deleveraging is the priority, and analyst consensus sits at Hold with an average target near ~$3.69, which is a wide range around a small price rather than a firm view. UGP: Brazilian fuel distribution competes against a persistent informal segment that evades ICMS fuel taxes and undercuts compliant distributors on price, so enforcement policy is a direct input to Ipiranga's margin rather than a background issue. Petrobras remains the dominant upstream supplier and its pricing posture is politically sensitive, which can compress distributor spreads with little notice. Hidrovias' volumes are exposed to the Brazilian grain harvest and to river water levels: total handled volumes fell ~23% year over year in the first quarter of 2026 on one-off issues plus the sale of the coastal navigation operation. Ultracargo carries real physical tail risk, as the 2015 Santos terminal fire demonstrated, and Brazilian policy rates near ~15% raise the cost of carrying ~$4.05 billion of gross debt. For the ADR specifically, a weaker real reduces dollar earnings and dollar dividends even in a good operating year, and Brazilian tax treatment of dividends paid to non-residents has been under legislative revision.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CSAN or UGP; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    CSAN vs UGP: How Cosan and Ultrapar Participacoes Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App