DHI vs MTH: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
DHI is the larger of the two ($40.01B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (12.16x forward earnings, beta 1.36). MTH is the smaller challenger ($4.58B), priced similarly on forward earnings (11.14x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
DHI vs MTH: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | DHI | MTH | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $40.01B | $4.58B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 12.16 | 11.14 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 13.64 | 14.62 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.36 | 1.36 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 21% of range | 44% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.69 | 0.92 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how DHI and MTH affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. DHI and MTH share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined DHI and MTH exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does D.R. Horton (DHI) do?
D.R. Horton is the largest homebuilder in the United States by volume, building and selling homes across affordable, move-up, luxury, and active-adult segments under brands including D.R. Horton, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. The company operates in dozens of states and hundreds of markets, focusing heavily on entry-level and first-time buyers, where demand has been most durable. D.R. Horton makes money primarily by acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, and selling them to buyers, with additional revenue from its financial-services arm (mortgage origination and title services) and from Forestar, its majority-owned residential lot-development company. A hallmark of its strategy is an asset-light land approach, using options and lot-banking to reduce the capital tied up in raw land. Scale gives D.R. Horton purchasing power with suppliers and subcontractors, helping it compete on price and absorb cyclical swings. It is headquartered in Arlington, Texas, and is a member of the S&P 500.
What does Meritage Homes (MTH) do?
Meritage Homes builds, markets, and sells single-family homes aimed at entry-level and first move-up buyers across roughly a dozen states in the Sun Belt and West, including Texas, Arizona, Florida, the Carolinas, Georgia, Colorado, and California. It leans on a spec-heavy, energy-efficient building model and a fast backlog-conversion strategy (nearly 70% of Q1 2026 deliveries came from intra-quarter sales), and it also runs a financial services segment offering mortgage, title, and insurance products to its buyers. In 2024 it recorded about $6.3 billion in revenue on 15,611 closings, ranking around the fifth-largest US builder by volume.
DHI vs MTH: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- DHI drivers: Structural housing shortage; Entry-level focus and scale.
- MTH drivers: Affordability and entry-level focus; Community count and Sun Belt footprint.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Homebuilding is highly cyclical and sensitive to mortgage rates and the broader economy. For MTH, homebuilding is deeply cyclical and highly sensitive to mortgage rates, which directly drive buyer affordability and the size of incentives Meritage must offer.
DHI or MTH: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick DHI if you believe its drivers more; MTH if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the DHI and MTH guides.
DHI vs MTH: the full fundamentals
DHI. D.R. Horton typically trades at a below-market earnings multiple, reflecting the cyclical, rate-sensitive nature of homebuilding. The market discounts builder earnings near cycle peaks and re-rates them through downturns. The financial profile is strong: high returns on capital, a low-leverage balance sheet, a growing dividend, and aggressive buybacks fund capital returns through the cycle.
MTH. Meritage trades at a low double-digit earnings multiple, typical for homebuilders that the market prices for cyclical earnings rather than steady growth. Q1 2026 revenue fell about 17.5% year over year and EPS roughly halved as gross margin compressed to 17.5%, and the company guided full-year 2026 closings and revenue to within about 5% of 2025. The strong cash position and low leverage are a key part of how the market frames the stock's risk.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): DHI shows revenue (ttm) ~$35 billion, homes closed (annual) ~90,000, operating margin ~14-16%, cyclical, net income (ttm) ~$4-5 billion; MTH shows market cap ~$4.6B, revenue (ttm) ~$6.0B, q1 2026 home closing revenue ~$1.1B, q1 2026 diluted eps ~$0.82.
The bottom line: DHI vs MTH
DHI and MTH are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined DHI and MTH exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how DHI or MTH fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in D.R. Horton with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how DHI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between DHI and MTH?
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D.R. Meritage Homes builds, markets, and sells single-family homes aimed at entry-level and first move-up buyers across roughly a dozen states in the Sun Belt and West, including Texas, Arizona, Florida, the Carolinas, Georgia, Colorado, and California. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is DHI or MTH the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. DHI is the larger incumbent; MTH is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, DHI or MTH?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), DHI trades at 12.16x and MTH at 11.14x, so MTH is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both DHI and MTH?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of DHI vs MTH?
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DHI: Homebuilding is highly cyclical and sensitive to mortgage rates and the broader economy. Higher rates reduce affordability and can sharply cut order volumes, while builders must offer costly rate buydowns and incentives that pressure margins. Land, labor, and materials costs can rise, and the business is exposed to recessions, unemployment, and consumer confidence. A housing downturn can compress both volumes and margins quickly. The stock often trades at a modest multiple precisely because of this cyclicality, and regional concentration, regulatory changes, and supply-chain disruptions add further risk. MTH: Homebuilding is deeply cyclical and highly sensitive to mortgage rates, which directly drive buyer affordability and the size of incentives Meritage must offer. Q1 2026 already showed margins compressing sharply and earnings falling as demand softened. Land and construction cost inflation, labor availability, and regional concentration in a few Sun Belt states add further volatility. A recession, a spike in unemployment, or a renewed jump in rates could reduce closings and profitability quickly, and the spec-heavy model means unsold inventory carries carrying-cost risk if demand stalls.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell DHI or MTH; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.