DHI vs TOL: How D.R. Horton and Toll Brothers Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
DHI is the larger of the two ($41.77B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (12.69x forward earnings, beta 1.36). TOL is the smaller challenger ($14.17B), cheaper on forward earnings (10.74x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
DHI vs TOL: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | DHI | TOL | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $41.77B | $14.17B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 12.69 | 10.74 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 14.24 | 11.52 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.36 | 1.33 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 33% of range | 67% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.76 | 1.67 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: TOL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how DHI and TOL affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. DHI and TOL share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined DHI and TOL exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does D.R. Horton (DHI) do?
D.R. Horton is the largest homebuilder in the United States by volume, building and selling homes across affordable, move-up, luxury, and active-adult segments under brands including D.R. Horton, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. The company operates in dozens of states and hundreds of markets, focusing heavily on entry-level and first-time buyers, where demand has been most durable. D.R. Horton makes money primarily by acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, and selling them to buyers, with additional revenue from its financial-services arm (mortgage origination and title services) and from Forestar, its majority-owned residential lot-development company. A hallmark of its strategy is an asset-light land approach, using options and lot-banking to reduce the capital tied up in raw land. Scale gives D.R. Horton purchasing power with suppliers and subcontractors, helping it compete on price and absorb cyclical swings. It is headquartered in Arlington, Texas, and is a member of the S&P 500.
What does Toll Brothers (TOL) do?
Toll Brothers is a US homebuilder best known for luxury homes, occupying the higher end of the new-construction market. The company designs and builds single-family detached homes, townhomes, and active-adult and master-planned communities, typically targeting move-up and affluent buyers in desirable suburban locations. Toll Brothers makes money by acquiring and developing land, building homes, and selling them at prices well above the industry average, capturing higher margins per home than volume builders focused on entry-level product. It also generates revenue from related operations such as mortgage and title services, apartment and rental ventures, and land development. Because its buyers tend to be wealthier and often less reliant on financing, Toll Brothers has historically been somewhat more insulated from interest-rate swings than entry-level builders, though it remains a cyclical housing business. Headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania, Toll Brothers operates communities across many US states and is a component of major housing-related indices.
DHI vs TOL: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- DHI drivers: Structural housing shortage; Entry-level focus and scale.
- TOL drivers: Luxury positioning and affluent buyers; Structural US housing undersupply.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Homebuilding is highly cyclical and sensitive to mortgage rates and the broader economy. For TOL, homebuilding is highly cyclical and sensitive to interest rates: when mortgage rates rise, affordability worsens and demand and order volumes can fall, even at the luxury end.
DHI or TOL: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick DHI if you believe its drivers more; TOL if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the DHI and TOL guides.
DHI vs TOL: the full fundamentals
DHI. D.R. Horton typically trades at a below-market earnings multiple, reflecting the cyclical, rate-sensitive nature of homebuilding. The market discounts builder earnings near cycle peaks and re-rates them through downturns. The financial profile is strong: high returns on capital, a low-leverage balance sheet, a growing dividend, and aggressive buybacks fund capital returns through the cycle.
TOL. Toll Brothers trades at a low earnings multiple typical of cyclical homebuilders, reflecting market caution about where housing sits in the cycle. The qualitative profile is a luxury builder with above-average margins, a strong brand, and improving capital discipline. The low multiple and cyclical nature mean the stock tends to swing with interest-rate expectations and housing data.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): DHI shows revenue (ttm) ~$35 billion, homes closed (annual) ~90,000, operating margin ~14-16%, cyclical, net income (ttm) ~$4-5 billion; TOL shows revenue (ttm) ~$10 to 11 billion, average selling price well above the industry average (luxury positioning), gross margin ~25 to 28%, above many volume builders, return on equity strong, in the high teens to low twenties percent.
The bottom line: DHI vs TOL
DHI and TOL are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined DHI and TOL exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how DHI or TOL fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in D.R. Horton with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how DHI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between DHI and TOL?
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D.R. Toll Brothers is a US homebuilder best known for luxury homes, occupying the higher end of the new-construction market. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is DHI or TOL the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. DHI is the larger incumbent; TOL is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, DHI or TOL?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), DHI trades at 12.69x and TOL at 10.74x, so TOL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both DHI and TOL?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of DHI vs TOL?
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DHI: Homebuilding is highly cyclical and sensitive to mortgage rates and the broader economy. Higher rates reduce affordability and can sharply cut order volumes, while builders must offer costly rate buydowns and incentives that pressure margins. Land, labor, and materials costs can rise, and the business is exposed to recessions, unemployment, and consumer confidence. A housing downturn can compress both volumes and margins quickly. The stock often trades at a modest multiple precisely because of this cyclicality, and regional concentration, regulatory changes, and supply-chain disruptions add further risk. TOL: Homebuilding is highly cyclical and sensitive to interest rates: when mortgage rates rise, affordability worsens and demand and order volumes can fall, even at the luxury end. A recession that hits employment or wealth can quickly cool high-end housing demand. Land acquisition is capital-intensive and timing-sensitive; buying land at peak prices ahead of a downturn can compress future margins. Construction-cost inflation, labor and material shortages, and supply-chain disruptions pressure margins. Local zoning, permitting, and regulatory constraints affect community development. The stock trades as a cyclical, so sentiment swings with rate expectations and housing data, and any sharp deterioration in the housing market would weigh heavily on results and valuation.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell DHI or TOL; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.