DVA vs FMS: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
DVA and FMS are similarly sized, but FMS trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (6.55x vs 11.11x): the market is paying up for DVA's profile and pricing FMS more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
DVA vs FMS: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | DVA | FMS | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $12.11B | $12.65B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 11.11 | 6.55 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 15.98 | 12.45 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.87 | 0.84 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 60% of range | 49% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
Reading it: FMS is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how DVA and FMS affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. DVA and FMS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined DVA and FMS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does DaVita (DVA) do?
DaVita Inc. (NYSE: DVA) is a Denver, Colorado based kidney care company and the largest provider of dialysis services in the United States. As of June 30, 2026 it treated approximately 298,500 patients across 3,266 outpatient dialysis centers, of which 2,671 are in the US and 595 are spread across 14 other countries. The core business is straightforward and repetitive: patients with end stage renal disease come in roughly three times a week for a treatment that keeps them alive, and DaVita bills a payer for each treatment. Around that base the company runs two smaller segments, an international dialysis business and Integrated Kidney Care (IKC), a value-based care arm that took risk on roughly 62,600 patients and about $5.4 billion of annualized medical spend as of early 2026.
What does Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) do?
Fresenius Medical Care treats end-stage kidney disease, the point at which a patient's kidneys have failed and dialysis or a transplant is the only option. It runs the largest network of outpatient dialysis clinics in the world, with the large majority of revenue coming from the United States, and it also manufactures the machines, dialyzers, bloodlines and water-treatment systems those clinics use, selling that equipment to third parties including its own competitors. Since a 2023 reorganisation the company reports in two segments: Care Delivery, the clinic network, and Care Enablement, the products business. Demand is close to non-discretionary, since a patient on hemodialysis typically needs three sessions a week indefinitely, but the price of each session in the US is set largely by Medicare rather than negotiated.
DVA vs FMS: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- DVA drivers: The buyback is the growth engine; Volume trends turned less bad.
- FMS drivers: The FME25+ cost program; US reimbursement and the TDAPA roll-off.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Payer mix is the dominant risk and it is currently moving the wrong way: the expiration of enhanced ACA premium subsidies is pushing patients out of commercial plans and into government coverage, which management sized as roughly a $40 million headwind in 2026 with a larger one expected in 2027. For FMS, the long-term structural worry is that GLP-1 drugs and SGLT2 inhibitors slow the progression of chronic kidney disease enough to shrink the future dialysis population, a thesis the company disputes on the grounds that better survival can also increase treatment years.
DVA or FMS: which should you pick?
DVA vs FMS: the full fundamentals
DVA. DVA trades at a visible discount to the broader healthcare sector, roughly 16x trailing and 12x forward earnings versus a healthcare industry average in the mid 20s, and that gap is the argument in both directions. Bulls read it as a cheap, defensive, non-discretionary cash machine with a shrinking share count. Bears read it as an appropriate multiple for a business with sub-1% volume growth, negative revenue-per-treatment guidance for the second half of 2026, roughly 3.4x leverage, and a profit pool concentrated in a thin commercially insured minority of patients that is actively eroding. The stock fell sharply in early August 2026 after Q2 results beat on both revenue and adjusted EPS but management reaffirmed rather than raised full-year guidance at a midpoint below consensus, which is a reminder that the multiple is doing very little cushioning work when the mix narrative turns.
FMS. A sub-one-times-sales multiple is unusual for a healthcare services business with near non-discretionary demand, and it prices in the flat volumes and reimbursement ceiling rather than any doubt about the need for the service. Because the company reports in euros and earns most of its revenue in dollars, the reported and constant-currency growth rates can differ by several percentage points, and screeners that convert figures at a spot rate will not match the company's own release. The valuation case rests on margin, since operating income is growing at a double-digit rate off a revenue line management itself guides to broadly flat.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): DVA shows revenue (ttm) ~$14.0 billion (up ~6.4% year over year), revenue (q2 2026) ~$3.55 billion, with adjusted operating income of ~$579 million, net income (ttm) ~$847 million, with trailing EPS of ~$12.11, fy 2026 adjusted eps guidance ~$14.10 to ~$15.20 (midpoint ~$14.65), reaffirmed not raised; FMS shows revenue (ttm) ~$19.4B (reported in euros), market cap ~$12.7B, ads price ~$23.77, price / sales (ttm) ~0.65x.
The bottom line: DVA vs FMS
DVA and FMS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined DVA and FMS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how DVA or FMS fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in DaVita with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how DVA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between DVA and FMS?
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DaVita Inc. Fresenius Medical Care treats end-stage kidney disease, the point at which a patient's kidneys have failed and dialysis or a transplant is the only option. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is DVA or FMS the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, DVA or FMS?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), DVA trades at 11.11x and FMS at 6.55x, so FMS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both DVA and FMS?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of DVA vs FMS?
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DVA: Payer mix is the dominant risk and it is currently moving the wrong way: the expiration of enhanced ACA premium subsidies is pushing patients out of commercial plans and into government coverage, which management sized as roughly a $40 million headwind in 2026 with a larger one expected in 2027. Revenue per treatment fell about $2 sequentially in Q2 2026 on that mix shift plus lower phosphate binder revenue, and management guided to slightly negative revenue per treatment growth in the second half, while patient care costs per treatment stayed elevated. Leverage sits around 3.37 times consolidated EBITDA, at the upper end of the stated 3.0 to 3.5 times target, so the buyback, the debt load and the earnings base are tightly coupled and a payer-mix shock compresses all three at once. Berkshire Hathaway's roughly 45% position is both an anchor and an overhang, since the repurchase agreement means a meaningful slice of company cash is committed to buying one holder's shares rather than allocated freely. Longer term, wider GLP-1 use slowing chronic kidney disease progression, transplant advances, government reimbursement rate decisions, labor cost inflation at the clinic level, and cybersecurity exposure after the April 2025 ransomware incident all sit on the risk register. FMS: The long-term structural worry is that GLP-1 drugs and SGLT2 inhibitors slow the progression of chronic kidney disease enough to shrink the future dialysis population, a thesis the company disputes on the grounds that better survival can also increase treatment years. Legal exposure is real and ongoing: the Department of Justice has intervened in a False Claims Act case alleging medically unnecessary vascular procedures at a Fresenius subsidiary, and the 2024 recall of 2008 series hemodialysis machines over compounds leaching from silicone tubing has drawn product-liability attention. Because the company reports in euros while earning most of its revenue in dollars, headline growth can diverge sharply from constant-currency growth, which is why the two figures differ by several points in most quarters. US clinic labour costs and nurse availability remain a persistent margin pressure, and leverage is meaningful for a business with this little top-line growth. As a German issuer, dividends are subject to German withholding tax before they reach a US ADS holder, and the company files as a foreign private issuer rather than on the domestic quarterly schedule.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell DVA or FMS; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.