DVN vs MTDR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

DVN and MTDR are similarly sized, but MTDR trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (6.68x vs 8.62x): the market is paying up for DVN's profile and pricing MTDR more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.

DVN vs MTDR: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricDVNMTDRWhat it tells you
Forward P/E8.626.68Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E12.579.60Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.430.77Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range64% of range63% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.821.17How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: MTDR is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how DVN and MTDR affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. DVN and MTDR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined DVN and MTDR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Devon Energy (DVN) do?

Devon Energy is a large US independent exploration and production company that finds and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its portfolio is anchored in the Delaware Basin (part of the Permian) and includes positions in the Anadarko Basin, Eagle Ford, Williston, and other onshore US plays. As a producer that sells raw commodities into global markets, Devon is largely a price-taker: its revenue, margins, and shareholder payouts are driven mainly by oil and gas prices and by how efficiently it can drill and complete wells, rather than by any single product or brand.

Full DVN guide

What does Matador Resources (MTDR) do?

Matador Resources drills, completes and produces oil and natural gas from the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, the western lobe of the Permian, with roughly 483 employees and a founder, Joseph Foran, who has run the company since 2003. Production averaged ~215,631 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the second quarter of 2026, ~58% of it crude oil, and proved reserves reached ~703 million BOE at June 30, 2026 against ~667 million at the end of 2025. Alongside the wells, Matador owns 51% of San Mateo, a gathering and processing joint venture with Five Point Infrastructure that moves natural gas, crude and produced water for Matador and for third-party customers. San Mateo's acquisition of Cardinal Midstream, which closed on July 31, 2026, pushed its designed processing capacity above one billion cubic feet per day.

Full MTDR guide

DVN vs MTDR: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • DVN drivers: Oil and gas prices drive the story; Coterra merger and Permian scale.
  • MTDR drivers: Four inventory transactions closed or pending in one year; Higher-quality rock and better lease economics.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is commodity price cyclicality: with revenue tied to oil and gas prices, a global slowdown, an OPEC+ supply shift, or weak natural gas prices can compress cash flow and shrink the variable dividend and buybacks quickly. For MTDR, commodity price is the dominant variable: second-quarter earnings leaned on ~$98 per barrel realised oil, and a return toward the $64 realised in the same quarter of 2025 would compress cash flow sharply against a raised capital budget.

DVN or MTDR: which should you pick?

Pick DVN if you believe its drivers more; MTDR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the DVN and MTDR guides.

DVN vs MTDR: the full fundamentals

DVN. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting, especially since the Coterra merger recently reshaped the combined company's scale. For a commodity producer, a low P/E can mislead because it may reflect high-price-cycle earnings that will not repeat if oil and gas prices fall. Free cash flow, breakeven cost per barrel, and the sustainability of the variable dividend are more useful lenses than a trailing earnings multiple.

MTDR. The single-digit trailing multiple and ~1.1x price-to-book are typical of US shale producers, which the market prices on reserve life and commodity assumptions rather than on reported earnings. Netting ~$26 million of cash against ~$4.2 billion of long-term debt gives an enterprise value near $11 billion, roughly four times trailing operating cash flow of ~$2.6 billion. Reported figures also swing with mark-to-market derivative results, which is why the first quarter of 2026 showed a small GAAP net loss while adjusted net income stayed positive at ~$189.5 million.

Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): DVN shows 2026 production guidance roughly 1.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (combined), including ~500,000 barrels of oil per day, 2026 capital spending ~$4.9 billion, with more than 60% directed to the Permian and roughly 31 rigs, shareholder returns framework targets returning up to ~70% of free cash flow via dividends and buybacks, coterra merger completed May 7, 2026; combined enterprise value reported around $58 billion; MTDR shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.8B, net income (ttm) ~$724M, diluted eps (ttm) ~$5.83, market cap ~$6.9B.

The bottom line: DVN vs MTDR

DVN and MTDR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined DVN and MTDR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how DVN or MTDR fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Devon Energy with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how DVN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between DVN and MTDR?

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Devon Energy is a large US independent exploration and production company that finds and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Matador Resources drills, completes and produces oil and natural gas from the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, the western lobe of the Permian, with roughly 483 employees and a founder, Joseph Foran, who has run the company since 2003. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is DVN or MTDR the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, DVN or MTDR?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), DVN trades at 8.62x and MTDR at 6.68x, so MTDR is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both DVN and MTDR?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of DVN vs MTDR?

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DVN: The dominant risk is commodity price cyclicality: with revenue tied to oil and gas prices, a global slowdown, an OPEC+ supply shift, or weak natural gas prices can compress cash flow and shrink the variable dividend and buybacks quickly. The Coterra merger adds integration and execution risk, and a large deal can distract management or fail to deliver expected synergies if operations do not mesh. Shale production also declines quickly, so Devon must keep reinvesting simply to hold output flat, and rising service and labor costs can erode margins. Regulatory and policy risk around drilling permits, methane rules, and taxes is real, as is the longer-term energy-transition question of demand for hydrocarbons. Weather, well performance, and takeaway constraints add operational variability. MTDR: Commodity price is the dominant variable: second-quarter earnings leaned on ~$98 per barrel realised oil, and a return toward the $64 realised in the same quarter of 2025 would compress cash flow sharply against a raised capital budget. Natural gas exposure cuts the other way already, with negative Waha realisations forcing shut-ins, and the Hugh Brinson relief has not yet been demonstrated in reported results. Debt grew by roughly $750 million in a single quarter to fund acreage, so the deleveraging path to 1.0x depends on prices holding. Two of the four 2026 transactions, Paloma and Ridge Runner, are still pending and carry regulatory, closing and integration risk, and the Woodford play remains an emerging formation supported by a small number of wells rather than a long production history. On the disclosure side, the New Mexico Environment Department issued a Notice of Violation to San Mateo on July 22, 2025 over alleged excess air emissions at the Black River processing plant, with settlement discussions pointing to an amount between $300,000 and $1,000,000, which the company does not treat as material.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell DVN or MTDR; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    DVN vs MTDR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App