ESLT vs MRCY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
ESLT is the larger of the two ($37.89B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (44.77x forward earnings, beta -0.23). MRCY is the smaller challenger ($5.83B), actually pricier on forward earnings (62.81x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
ESLT vs MRCY: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | ESLT | MRCY | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $37.89B | $5.83B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 44.77 | 62.81 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | -0.23 | 0.93 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 64% of range | 59% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 8.82 | 3.91 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: ESLT is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how ESLT and MRCY affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ESLT and MRCY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ESLT and MRCY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT) do?
Elbit Systems Ltd (Nasdaq and Tel Aviv: ESLT) is an Israel-based defense technology company that develops, manufactures, integrates and sustains military systems across land, sea, air, cyber and space domains. Its portfolio spans C4ISR (command, control and intelligence systems), electro-optics and thermal imaging, unmanned aerial and ground systems, precision munitions and artillery rockets (including its PULS launcher), helmet-mounted displays for pilots, and electronic warfare. The company employs more than 20,000 people across five continents and generates a large share of sales from export customers, with roughly 72% of its order backlog attributable to orders from outside Israel as of the end of 2025.
What does Mercury Systems (MRCY) do?
Mercury Systems, based in Andover, Massachusetts, designs and manufactures hardware, software, and integrated subsystems that sit inside US and allied defense platforms. Its portfolio spans radio-frequency and microwave components, digital signal processing boards, embedded and secure processing modules, and fully integrated sensor-processing subsystems used in radar, electronic warfare, signals intelligence, missiles, and unmanned systems. The company positions itself as a trusted, domestically sourced supplier of open-architecture processing, sitting one layer below the large prime contractors that build the finished aircraft, ships, and weapons.
ESLT vs MRCY: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- ESLT drivers: Record backlog and revenue visibility; European rearmament tailwind.
- MRCY drivers: Record bookings and backlog; Margin recovery and turnaround execution.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most cited risk is valuation: ESLT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio around the low-to-mid 60s, far above the industrials-sector average, so disappointing execution could compress the multiple sharply. For MRCY, mercury is still early in a turnaround and has reported GAAP net losses as recently as fiscal 2025, so profitability remains inconsistent.
ESLT or MRCY: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ESLT if you believe its drivers more; MRCY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ESLT and MRCY guides.
ESLT vs MRCY: the full fundamentals
ESLT. As of July 2026, ESLT traded around $800 per share with a market cap in the mid-$30 billion range, valuing the company at roughly 63 times trailing earnings, well above the industrials-sector average near 30. The premium reflects a record backlog, double-digit revenue growth and strong free cash flow. The small dividend (about $2.70 per share annually) signals a growth-and-reinvestment profile rather than an income story.
MRCY. Mercury trades at a rich multiple of revenue for its size, reflecting investor expectations that the turnaround converts a large backlog into higher-margin, cash-generative earnings rather than trailing profits, which have been near breakeven. GAAP results still swing around losses, so traditional price-to-earnings is of limited use and much of the valuation debate centers on adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. The stock traded roughly in the low-100s per share in mid-July 2026, well above its levels of a year earlier, with a reported beta below the market average near 0.84.
Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): ESLT shows revenue (fy2025) ~$7.9B, revenue growth (yoy) ~16%, gaap eps (fy2025) ~$11.39, order backlog (q1 2026) ~$30.2B; MRCY shows revenue (ttm) ~$943M, fy2025 revenue ~$912M (vs ~$835M FY2024), q3 fy2026 revenue ~$236M (+11.5% organic YoY), backlog ~$1.6B (record, +18% YoY).
The bottom line: ESLT vs MRCY
ESLT and MRCY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ESLT and MRCY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how ESLT or MRCY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Elbit Systems Ltd with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ESLT fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between ESLT and MRCY?
+
Elbit Systems Ltd (Nasdaq and Tel Aviv: ESLT) is an Israel-based defense technology company that develops, manufactures, integrates and sustains military systems across land, sea, air, cyber and space domains. Mercury Systems, based in Andover, Massachusetts, designs and manufactures hardware, software, and integrated subsystems that sit inside US and allied defense platforms. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is ESLT or MRCY the better stock?
+
Neither is universally better. ESLT is the larger incumbent; MRCY is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, ESLT or MRCY?
+
On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ESLT trades at 44.77x and MRCY at 62.81x, so ESLT is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both ESLT and MRCY?
+
Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of ESLT vs MRCY?
+
ESLT: The most cited risk is valuation: ESLT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio around the low-to-mid 60s, far above the industrials-sector average, so disappointing execution could compress the multiple sharply. Israel-specific geopolitical and reputational exposure is real, as some European governments have at times restricted or scrutinized arms purchases from Israeli suppliers, and ESG-driven divestment pressure has surfaced. The company also carries currency exposure to the Israeli shekel and depends on sustained elevated global defense spending, which could soften if conflicts de-escalate or budgets are reprioritized. Program delays, supply-chain constraints and heavy reliance on government customers add execution and concentration risk. MRCY: Mercury is still early in a turnaround and has reported GAAP net losses as recently as fiscal 2025, so profitability remains inconsistent. Management has flagged supply-chain unpredictability, with suppliers sometimes signaling delays only on the day material was due, which can disrupt program deliveries and margins. Gross margin has been pressured by the conversion of lower-margin legacy programs, and any slippage on that mix shift could delay the earnings recovery. The business depends heavily on US defense budgets, program timing, and government contracting cycles, all of which can shift with politics and appropriations. As a mid-cap supplier concentrated in defense electronics, results can be lumpy quarter to quarter, and the stock has been volatile around that variability.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ESLT or MRCY; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.