EXPO vs FCN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated September 2026
Short answer
FCN is the larger of the two ($4.18B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (13.84x forward earnings, beta -0.05). EXPO is the smaller challenger ($3.34B), actually pricier on forward earnings (24.77x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
EXPO vs FCN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | EXPO | FCN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $3.34B | $4.18B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 24.77 | 13.84 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 31.52 | 18.32 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.68 | -0.05 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 61% of range | 27% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 11.58 | 3.08 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: FCN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how EXPO and FCN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. EXPO and FCN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined EXPO and FCN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Exponent (EXPO) do?
Exponent, Inc. is a Menlo Park, California engineering and scientific consulting firm founded in 1967 that solves complex technical problems for corporations, law firms, insurers, and government agencies. Its two segments are Engineering and Other Scientific (roughly 85% of net revenues), covering failure analysis, product testing, user research, and disputes across consumer electronics, energy, utilities, transportation, and life sciences, and Environmental and Health (about 15%). The business is people-based rather than asset-based, so its economics revolve around billable hours, staff utilization, and realized billing rates, and its brand as a science-for-hire authority lets it command premium fees on reactive, high-stakes engagements.
What does FTI Consulting (FCN) do?
FTI Consulting is a global expert firm that advises corporations, law firms, governments, and financial institutions through five segments: Corporate Finance and Restructuring (its largest, roughly 41% of revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (~20%), Economic Consulting (~19%), Technology (~10%), and Strategic Communications (~10%). Its work spans turnaround and restructuring, transactions, disputes and investigations, antitrust and regulatory economics, e-discovery, and corporate reputation. The firm employs roughly 8,100 people, of whom about 6,400 are billable professionals, and generates around 63% of revenue from US-based professionals.
EXPO vs FCN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- EXPO drivers: Reactive and disputes demand; AI-enabled products and new risk categories.
- FCN drivers: Restructuring and Corporate Finance strength; Record Strategic Communications demand.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Exponent's output is entirely dependent on attracting and retaining specialized PhD-level and engineering talent, so wage inflation, attrition, or hiring shortfalls directly pressure capacity and margins. For FCN, the Economic Consulting segment has been a clear drag, with revenue declining and swinging to a segment EBITDA loss on softer antitrust and economic-analysis demand plus elevated compensation.
EXPO or FCN: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick EXPO if you believe its drivers more; FCN if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the EXPO and FCN guides.
EXPO vs FCN: the full fundamentals
EXPO. Exponent's Q1 2026 revenue rose about 14% to roughly $166 million with net income up 11% to about $30 million, aided by 76% utilization and roughly 399,000 billable hours. The shares typically trade at a rich valuation, with a trailing P/E in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting the market's view of the franchise as a durable, high-quality compounder. The company continues to return cash aggressively, paying dividends and repurchasing stock while expanding its buyback authorization.
FCN. FCN traded around $157 in mid-July 2026, within a 52-week range of roughly $141 to $189. Its trailing P/E near 18x sits modestly below its longer-run historical average, reflecting margin worries even as revenue keeps growing. Valuation hinges on whether restructuring and communications strength can offset the Economic Consulting softness and cost pressure.
Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): EXPO shows revenue (ttm, gross) ~$580M, q1 2026 revenue ~$166M (+14% YoY), q1 2026 eps (diluted) ~$0.59, ebitda margin (net rev.) ~28%; FCN shows revenue (fy2025) ~$3.79B, revenue (q1 2026) ~$983M (+9.5% YoY), 2026 revenue guidance ~$3.94B to $4.10B, 2026 eps guidance ~$8.90 to $9.60.
The bottom line: EXPO vs FCN
EXPO and FCN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined EXPO and FCN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how EXPO or FCN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Exponent with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how EXPO fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between EXPO and FCN?
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Exponent, Inc. FTI Consulting is a global expert firm that advises corporations, law firms, governments, and financial institutions through five segments: Corporate Finance and Restructuring (its largest, roughly 41% of revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (~20%), Economic Consulting (~19%), Technology (~10%), and Strategic Communications (~10%). They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is EXPO or FCN the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. FCN is the larger incumbent; EXPO is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, EXPO or FCN?
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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), EXPO trades at 24.77x and FCN at 13.84x, so FCN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both EXPO and FCN?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of EXPO vs FCN?
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EXPO: Exponent's output is entirely dependent on attracting and retaining specialized PhD-level and engineering talent, so wage inflation, attrition, or hiring shortfalls directly pressure capacity and margins. Utilization and billable hours can swing with client budgets and the timing of large disputes, making quarterly results lumpy. A meaningful portion of revenue is concentrated in a relatively small number of large engagements and clients, adding volatility. The stock also trades at a premium multiple (a trailing P/E in the low-to-mid 30s), so even modest growth disappointments can drive outsized share-price moves. Broader legal, regulatory, or economic slowdowns that reduce litigation and consulting spend would weigh on demand. FCN: The Economic Consulting segment has been a clear drag, with revenue declining and swinging to a segment EBITDA loss on softer antitrust and economic-analysis demand plus elevated compensation. FTI is fundamentally a people business, so rising staff costs, senior-professional attrition, and utilization swings can compress margins even when revenue grows. Heavy reliance on the US market ties results to domestic economic conditions and regulatory activity. Much of the work is project-based and can be lumpy, making quarterly earnings volatile. Competition for talent and clients from larger and specialist advisory firms is intense.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell EXPO or FCN; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.