FAST vs FERG: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
FAST and FERG are similarly sized, but FERG trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (19.50x vs 34.18x): the market is paying up for FAST's profile and pricing FERG more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
FAST vs FERG: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | FAST | FERG | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $54.75B | $47.38B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 34.18 | 19.50 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 40.78 | 24.08 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.71 | 1.12 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 75% of range | 58% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 13.45 | 7.64 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: FERG is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how FAST and FERG affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FAST and FERG share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FAST and FERG exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Fastenal (FAST) do?
Fastenal is a leading industrial distributor that supplies fasteners (bolts, nuts, screws) and a broad range of maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products such as tools, safety equipment, cutting tools, fluids, and janitorial supplies to manufacturers, construction firms, and other businesses. While fasteners are its heritage and namesake, the company today derives a majority of revenue from non-fastener industrial and MRO products. Fastenal's competitive edge comes from being physically close to its customers: it operates thousands of branches and, increasingly, on-site locations placed directly inside customers' facilities, plus a fast-growing network of industrial vending machines that dispense supplies right on the shop floor. This high-touch, high-service model creates sticky relationships and recurring revenue, since customers rely on Fastenal to keep production lines stocked. The company makes money on the markup between what it pays suppliers and what it charges customers, with vending, on-site programs, and e-commerce deepening those relationships. Fastenal is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota, and is a member of the S&P 500.
What does Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) do?
Ferguson sells the products that go inside buildings: pipe, valves, fittings, water heaters, HVAC equipment, fixtures, waterworks materials and industrial MRO supplies. It buys from thousands of manufacturers and resells through a North American network of roughly 1,700 branches, distribution centers and counter locations, supported by e-commerce and a large outside sales force. Customers are mostly trade professionals (plumbing and mechanical contractors, HVAC installers, municipalities, industrial plants and homebuilders) rather than consumers, and roughly all of the revenue is generated in the United States with a smaller Canadian business. Revenue is about ~$31.5B on a trailing twelve month basis against a market capitalization near ~$47.4B.
FAST vs FERG: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- FAST drivers: On-site and vending growth; Sticky distribution model.
- FERG drivers: Non-residential and large capital projects; Bolt-on acquisitions in a fragmented market.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Fastenal's revenue is closely tied to industrial production, manufacturing activity, and the broader economy, so recessions or manufacturing slowdowns directly pressure sales and same-store growth. For FERG, ferguson's revenue is tied to construction and repair activity, which is cyclical and rate-sensitive, and US residential demand has been weak through 2026 with no confirmed inflection.
FAST or FERG: which should you pick?
FAST vs FERG: the full fundamentals
FAST. Fastenal trades at a premium multiple for an industrial distributor, reflecting its consistent execution, high returns on capital, sticky on-site and vending model, and reliable dividend growth. The market pays up for the quality and recurring nature of its revenue, which makes the valuation sensitive to any slowdown in industrial activity or same-customer growth.
FERG. At roughly ~$245 per share the stock trades near ~24x trailing earnings, above its own five-year median of about ~21x and well above a typical industrial distributor multiple, which is the market paying for scale and consistency rather than for growth. Management raised 2026 guidance to mid-single-digit net sales growth with an adjusted operating margin of roughly ~9.5% to ~9.8%. The multiple leaves little cushion if residential demand stays flat into 2027, since most of the current earnings growth is coming from non-residential volume, acquisitions and share count reduction rather than a broad recovery.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): FAST shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.5-8 billion, operating margin ~20%, revenue growth Mid-single-digit, cyclical with industry, return on invested capital High, consistently strong; FERG shows market cap ~$47.4B, revenue (ttm) ~$31.5B, q2 2026 net sales (quarter ended june 30) ~$8.75B, up ~4.6% year over year, q2 2026 diluted eps ~$3.43, up ~6.9%.
The bottom line: FAST vs FERG
FAST and FERG are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FAST and FERG exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how FAST or FERG fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Fastenal with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FAST fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between FAST and FERG?
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Fastenal is a leading industrial distributor that supplies fasteners (bolts, nuts, screws) and a broad range of maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products such as tools, safety equipment, cutting tools, fluids, and janitorial supplies to manufacturers, construction firms, and other businesses. Ferguson sells the products that go inside buildings: pipe, valves, fittings, water heaters, HVAC equipment, fixtures, waterworks materials and industrial MRO supplies. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is FAST or FERG the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, FAST or FERG?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), FAST trades at 34.18x and FERG at 19.50x, so FERG is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both FAST and FERG?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of FAST vs FERG?
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FAST: Fastenal's revenue is closely tied to industrial production, manufacturing activity, and the broader economy, so recessions or manufacturing slowdowns directly pressure sales and same-store growth. It faces competition from large distributors like Grainger and MSC Industrial, from manufacturers' direct channels, and from e-commerce players including Amazon Business that can undercut on price and convenience. Inflation in product and labor costs, pricing pressure, and supply-chain disruptions can squeeze margins. The stock often trades at a premium valuation, so any growth deceleration can weigh on the price. Tariffs, customer concentration in cyclical industries, and the need to keep investing in branches, vending, and technology add further risk. FERG: Ferguson's revenue is tied to construction and repair activity, which is cyclical and rate-sensitive, and US residential demand has been weak through 2026 with no confirmed inflection. Distributors also carry price risk in both directions: commodity deflation in categories like copper tube and PVC pipe reduces revenue without reducing the work involved, while inflation flatters growth that is not volume. Gross margin has been slipping modestly (down about ~20 basis points year over year in the June quarter), and a distributor operating near ~10% operating margin has limited room to absorb that plus wage inflation. Tariffs and supply chain disruption affect both product cost and customer project timing. Finally, an acquisition-supported growth algorithm depends on continuing to find and integrate targets at sensible prices, which competitors are also trying to do.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FAST or FERG; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.