FER vs FLR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

FER and FLR are similarly sized, but FLR trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (15.33x vs 38.04x): the market is paying up for FER's profile and pricing FLR more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.

FER vs FLR: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricFERFLRWhat it tells you
Forward P/E38.0415.33Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E60.5922.91Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.801.23Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range26% of range70% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book6.352.47How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: FLR is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how FER and FLR affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FER and FLR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FER and FLR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Ferrovial (FER) do?

Ferrovial N.V. designs, builds, owns and operates transport infrastructure across four segments: Highways, Airports, Construction and Energy. Highways is the one that carries the company. It holds roughly 43% of Canada's 407 ETR, the electronically tolled express route across the Greater Toronto Area, plus controlling interests in the Dallas-Fort Worth Managed Lanes (NTE, LBJ and NTE 35W), I-77 in North Carolina and I-66 in Virginia. These are long-dated concessions with pricing power written into the contracts, which is what separates them from ordinary construction work. Construction, run through Ferrovial Construction, Budimex in Poland and Webber in the United States, builds both third-party projects and the group's own concessions. Airports is now much smaller after Ferrovial sold a 19.75% stake in Heathrow for roughly EUR 2.0 billion in December 2024, keeping about 5.25%; the remaining marquee asset is a 49% interest in the New Terminal One at JFK. Energy handles transmission and generation projects. The company moved its primary corporate seat to the Netherlands and added the Nasdaq listing in 2024, and the shares now sit in the Nasdaq-100.

Full FER guide

What does Fluor Corporation (FLR) do?

Fluor Corporation is one of the largest engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms in the world. The company provides design and construction services for large industrial projects across energy, chemicals, mining, infrastructure, government, and increasingly clean energy and advanced manufacturing. Fluor typically operates as the lead EPC contractor on multi-billion-dollar projects, coordinating engineering, equipment procurement, and construction execution.

Full FLR guide

FER vs FLR: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • FER drivers: 407 ETR pricing and volume recovery; Texas Managed Lanes maturing into cash.
  • FLR drivers: Strategic refocus and risk discipline; NuScale Power and small modular reactors.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Concession assets are finite: the 407 ETR agreement runs to 2098, but shorter US concessions eventually revert to the state, and terminal value assumptions do a lot of work in most FER valuation models. For FLR, large EPC projects carry execution risk that has historically been disruptive to earnings.

FER or FLR: which should you pick?

Pick FER if you believe its drivers more; FLR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FER and FLR guides.

FER vs FLR: the full fundamentals

FER. The trailing P/E sits near 50x on 2026 consensus, which looks absurd against a builder and reasonable against a concession owner, because equity-accounted stakes such as 407 ETR contribute dividends rather than proportional earnings. Most sell-side work on FER therefore uses sum-of-the-parts: discount each concession's cash flows to the end of its licence, add the construction and energy businesses at a modest multiple, then subtract holding-company debt. Dividend yield is around 1.8%, part of it paid in scrip, so the cash component is smaller than the headline suggests.

FLR. Fluor's valuation reflects the EPC project execution risk that has historically driven earnings volatility, the NuScale Power optionality, and the LNG and energy transition project pipeline. The thin EPC margins make profit margins very sensitive to project outcomes.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): FER shows revenue (ttm) ~$9.86B, market capitalisation ~$42.4B, h1 2026 revenue ~EUR 4.70B (reported in euros), +5.2% reported and ~+11.3% like-for-like, h1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~EUR 746M, +13.9%; FLR shows revenue (ttm) ~$17 billion, operating margin ~4% (thin, typical EPC), net income (ttm) ~$200 million (volatile), eps (ttm) ~$1.30.

The bottom line: FER vs FLR

FER and FLR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FER and FLR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how FER or FLR fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Ferrovial with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FER fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between FER and FLR?

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Ferrovial N.V. Fluor Corporation is one of the largest engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms in the world. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is FER or FLR the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, FER or FLR?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), FER trades at 38.04x and FLR at 15.33x, so FLR is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both FER and FLR?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of FER vs FLR?

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FER: Concession assets are finite: the 407 ETR agreement runs to 2098, but shorter US concessions eventually revert to the state, and terminal value assumptions do a lot of work in most FER valuation models. Regulatory and political risk is real, since tolling regimes are set by governments that occasionally revisit them, and the 407 has already been through litigation with Ontario over rate-setting and licence-plate denial. Project execution can bite: the New Terminal One at JFK, where Ferrovial holds 49%, has slipped its opening to March 2027 with delay penalties attached, and I-77 traffic fell about 5.2% in the first half. Reported earnings are volatile because asset sales dominate them, so a strong year followed by a weak one may say nothing about the underlying business. Finally, US investors carry currency exposure (the group reports in euros) and Dutch dividend withholding, both of which change the realised return without changing the operating result. FLR: Large EPC projects carry execution risk that has historically been disruptive to earnings. NuScale's commercial path is uncertain. Energy transition policy reversals or delays can affect project pipelines.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FER or FLR; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    FER vs FLR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App