FICO vs VRSK: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated September 2026
Short answer
FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) and VRSK (Verisk Analytics) share investment themes but are different businesses. The right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme.
FICO vs VRSK: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | FICO | VRSK | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $23.84B | $25.30B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 20.76 | 22.35 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 31.94 | 29.85 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.32 | 0.66 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 21% of range | 33% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
Before you buy: how FICO and VRSK affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FICO and VRSK share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FICO and VRSK exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) do?
Fair Isaac Corporation, known by its ticker FICO, is best known for the FICO Score, the credit score most U.S. lenders use to gauge consumer credit risk. The business splits into two segments: Scores, which licenses the FICO Score to lenders and the three credit bureaus (Equifax, Experian, TransUnion) at extraordinarily high margins (the Scores segment operating margin has run around 91%), and Software, which sells the FICO Platform and analytic decisioning tools to banks, insurers, and other enterprises on a recurring-revenue model. Scores is the profit engine, while Software is the growth-and-stickiness story as customers migrate onto the platform.
What does Verisk Analytics (VRSK) do?
Verisk Analytics traces back to 1971 as the Insurance Services Office (ISO), a non-profit ratings and data cooperative for property and casualty insurers, and it has since become a for-profit data-and-analytics company that sells almost exclusively into insurance. It operates through two main lines, Underwriting solutions (the larger piece, around $552 million in Q1 2026) and Claims solutions (around $231 million), providing risk-scoring data, policy-language standards, catastrophe and property analytics, fraud detection, and claims-estimating tools. Roughly 83% of revenue is recurring subscription-style, client retention runs above 95%, and the company generates over $3.1 billion in annual revenue at very high margins.
FICO vs VRSK: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- FICO drivers: Scores pricing power; Software platform shift.
- VRSK drivers: Recurring, subscription-heavy revenue; Entrenched position in insurance data.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The biggest 2026 risk is competitive and regulatory: FHFA and the GSEs now allow VantageScore 4.0 (a joint venture of the three credit bureaus) alongside FICO for mortgages, threatening FICO's long-held mortgage-scoring monopoly and inviting pricing pressure. For VRSK, the most cited risk is valuation versus growth: the stock trades at a premium multiple while organic growth sits in the mid-single digits, so any deceleration can pressure the multiple.
FICO or VRSK: which should you pick?
FICO vs VRSK: the full fundamentals
FICO. FICO grew fiscal 2026 revenue and EPS more than 20% and 30% respectively, powered by Scores price increases and a mortgage-origination rebound. Despite that growth the shares fell sharply during 2026 (down roughly a third or more from their peak) as competition and pricing changes compressed the multiple from a trailing P/E near 40x toward a forward P/E around 24x, still a premium to the broader software group.
VRSK. Verisk reported Q1 2026 revenue of about $783 million (up roughly 4%) with diluted adjusted EPS of about $1.82, and reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance. The stock traded near $185 in early July 2026 with a market cap around $25 billion, an EV/EBITDA near 19, and a dividend around $2.00 per share. The premium multiple reflects the recurring-revenue quality, while the modest top-line growth is why some observers flag valuation risk.
Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): FICO shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.25B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$2.45B (up ~23% YoY), q2 fy2026 revenue ~$692M, q2 fy2026 gaap eps ~$11.14; VRSK shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.1B, 2026 revenue guidance ~$3.19B to $3.24B, 2026 adjusted eps guidance ~$7.45 to $7.75, market cap ~$25B.
The bottom line: FICO vs VRSK
FICO and VRSK are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FICO and VRSK exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how FICO or VRSK fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Fair Isaac Corporation with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FICO fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between FICO and VRSK?
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Fair Isaac Corporation, known by its ticker FICO, is best known for the FICO Score, the credit score most U.S. Verisk Analytics traces back to 1971 as the Insurance Services Office (ISO), a non-profit ratings and data cooperative for property and casualty insurers, and it has since become a for-profit data-and-analytics company that sells almost exclusively into insurance. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is FICO or VRSK the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, FICO or VRSK?
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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), FICO trades at 20.76x and VRSK at 22.35x, so FICO is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both FICO and VRSK?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of FICO vs VRSK?
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FICO: The biggest 2026 risk is competitive and regulatory: FHFA and the GSEs now allow VantageScore 4.0 (a joint venture of the three credit bureaus) alongside FICO for mortgages, threatening FICO's long-held mortgage-scoring monopoly and inviting pricing pressure. FICO's own move to a roughly $0.99-per-score-plus-fee mortgage model sharply cut average per-score fees, and investors are debating whether that defends share or signals eroding pricing power. The stock also remains richly valued relative to broad software peers, so any disappointment in Scores growth or platform adoption can drive large drawdowns (as seen in 2026). Concentration is a further concern: an outsized share of profit comes from one high-margin Scores franchise, and the three bureaus are simultaneously distribution partners and backers of the competing VantageScore. Political and public scrutiny of credit-score pricing adds ongoing headline risk. VRSK: The most cited risk is valuation versus growth: the stock trades at a premium multiple while organic growth sits in the mid-single digits, so any deceleration can pressure the multiple. Verisk's near-total concentration in insurance means an industry downturn, consolidation among carriers, or pricing pushback would hit it broadly. Free cash flow softened in Q1 2026 (down roughly 17% year over year), a metric worth watching. Competition from Fair Isaac, LexisNexis Risk Solutions, CoreLogic, and Moody's RMS in catastrophe modeling could erode share in specific niches. Finally, AI is a double-edged sword that could either widen or, over time, commoditize parts of its data moat.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FICO or VRSK; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.