GAP vs PAC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
PAC is the larger of the two ($12.93B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (20.07x forward earnings, beta 0.24). GAP is the smaller challenger ($7.07B), cheaper on forward earnings (7.66x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
GAP vs PAC: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | GAP | PAC | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $7.07B | $12.93B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 7.66 | 20.07 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 7.80 | 20.58 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 2.05 | 0.24 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 14% of range | 11% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.94 | 617.54 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: GAP is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how GAP and PAC affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. GAP and PAC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined GAP and PAC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Gap Inc. (GAP) do?
Gap Inc. sells clothing under four owned brands and reports each of them separately. Old Navy is the volume engine at roughly $2.0 billion of the $3.5 billion first quarter of fiscal 2026, with the Gap brand at ~$796 million, Banana Republic at ~$431 million and Athleta at ~$270 million. The company ended that quarter with nearly 3,500 store locations across about 35 countries, of which 2,477 were company-operated, and it employs about 79,000 people. Online is ~38% of net sales. Richard Dickson has run the company since 2023, and the turnaround he inherited has been mostly about product, marketing and inventory discipline rather than store expansion.
What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (PAC) do?
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (GAP) operates 12 airports across central and northwestern Mexico plus two in Jamaica, including major hubs like Guadalajara and Tijuana and tourist gateways such as Los Cabos and Puerto Vallarta. Its revenue comes from regulated aeronautical charges (per-passenger tariffs set in five-year cycles), non-aeronautical commercial income (retail, parking, advertising), and construction revenue tied to mandated capital investment. Margins are structurally high because an airport is a local monopoly with mostly fixed costs, which is why EBITDA margins sit near 68 percent.
GAP vs PAC: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- GAP drivers: The Gap brand is genuinely working; Tariff costs and the merchandise margin path.
- PAC drivers: Regulated tariff resets; Commercial revenue per passenger.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Guidance for fiscal 2026 was cut to net sales growth of 1% to 2% from 2% to 3%, and management signalled second-quarter sales roughly flat to down 1%, so the top line offers very little cushion. For PAC, passenger traffic is cyclical and exposed to shocks: Q1 2026 total traffic fell about 5.5 percent on Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica and security events in Jalisco.
GAP or PAC: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick GAP if you believe its drivers more; PAC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the GAP and PAC guides.
GAP vs PAC: the full fundamentals
GAP. Trailing figures cover the four quarters through May 2, 2026 and include the ~$313 million net interchange-litigation gain booked in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which is why reported EPS of ~$2.52 runs well ahead of the ~$2.30 to ~$2.40 adjusted range guided for the full year. Reported full-year EPS guidance of ~$2.83 to ~$2.93 also carries that gain. On the adjusted number the multiple is closer to ~8.5x, and adjusted operating margin is guided to ~7.3% to ~7.5%, essentially flat with fiscal 2025's 7.3%. Second quarter results are scheduled for August 27, 2026.
PAC. PAC trades like a regulated infrastructure operator: a low-20s trailing P/E and an EV/EBITDA near 12, richer than a pure cyclical because of monopoly economics and a high dividend. Q1 2026 showed revenue up about 2.8 percent and EBITDA up 6.4 percent even as passenger traffic fell 5.5 percent, illustrating how tariff resets and cost control can carry earnings through a soft traffic quarter.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): GAP shows revenue (ttm) ~$15.4B, net income (ttm) ~$962M, diluted eps (ttm, reported) ~$2.52, market cap ~$7.1B at ~$19.65 per share; PAC shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.4B (Ps. ~45B), q1 2026 revenue ~Ps. 11.4B (+2.8% YoY), q1 2026 ebitda margin ~68%, market cap ~$12-14B.
The bottom line: GAP vs PAC
GAP and PAC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined GAP and PAC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how GAP or PAC fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Gap Inc. with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how GAP fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between GAP and PAC?
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Gap Inc. Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (GAP) operates 12 airports across central and northwestern Mexico plus two in Jamaica, including major hubs like Guadalajara and Tijuana and tourist gateways such as Los Cabos and Puerto Vallarta. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is GAP or PAC the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. PAC is the larger incumbent; GAP is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, GAP or PAC?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), GAP trades at 7.66x and PAC at 20.07x, so GAP is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both GAP and PAC?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of GAP vs PAC?
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GAP: Guidance for fiscal 2026 was cut to net sales growth of 1% to 2% from 2% to 3%, and management signalled second-quarter sales roughly flat to down 1%, so the top line offers very little cushion. Trade policy is the single largest swing factor: the outlook rests on a specific tariff-rate assumption through late July 2026 and a reversion after it, and a different outcome moves gross margin directly. Old Navy carries most of the volume and comped up only ~1% against a ~3% consensus, which is what triggered the guidance reset and a wave of plaintiff-firm shareholder solicitations in June 2026 (as of August 2026 those releases carry no case number, court or filing date). Online sales declined ~2% year over year even as store sales grew ~3%, an unusual mix for a retailer of this size. Operating lease liabilities of ~$4.1 billion sit alongside the $1.5 billion of notes, so the fixed-cost base is heavier than the headline debt figure suggests, and specialty apparel remains exposed to discretionary spending and to price competition from Shein, Temu and the mass merchants. PAC: Passenger traffic is cyclical and exposed to shocks: Q1 2026 total traffic fell about 5.5 percent on Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica and security events in Jalisco. Mandated capital investment under the master development plan consumes cash and can pressure free cash flow. As a peso-earning business reported through a dollar ADR, currency swings directly affect returns for US holders. Regulatory risk is real because tariffs, concession terms, and required investment are set by the Mexican government. Concentration in a handful of large airports means any single-hub disruption matters.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell GAP or PAC; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.