GNW vs MTG: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
MTG is the larger of the two ($6.16B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (9.08x forward earnings, beta 0.66). GNW is the smaller challenger ($3.84B), priced similarly on forward earnings (9.24x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
GNW vs MTG: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | GNW | MTG | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $3.84B | $6.16B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 9.24 | 9.08 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 19.92 | 9.39 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.86 | 0.66 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 98% of range | 74% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 0.44 | 1.27 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how GNW and MTG affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. GNW and MTG share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined GNW and MTG exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Genworth Financial (GNW) do?
Genworth Financial, based in Richmond, Virginia, is what is left of a much larger insurer after two decades of restructuring. It reports three main pieces. Enact is a private mortgage insurance business that Genworth took public in 2021 and still owns roughly 81% of, and it produces essentially all of the group's operating earnings. The Long-Term Care Insurance segment is a closed block: policies written largely between the 1970s and the 2000s, no longer sold, whose claims and reserves Genworth manages down over decades. A smaller Life and Annuities segment is also in runoff. The newer effort is CareScout, which builds a quality-assured network of home care and senior living providers, earns fees on placements and preferred pricing, and through CareScout Insurance is writing fresh long-term care coverage on modern assumptions. Trailing twelve-month revenue is ~$7.4 billion against a market capitalisation of ~$3.84 billion at ~$10.16 per share.
What does MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) do?
MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE: MTG) is the holding company for Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, one of the largest private mortgage insurers in the United States. Private mortgage insurance protects lenders and investors against losses when borrowers with high loan-to-value mortgages (typically less than a 20% down payment) default, which lets more people buy homes with smaller down payments. MGIC earns recurring premium income from its large insurance-in-force portfolio (roughly $303 billion as of early 2026), and policies generally stay in force until borrowers refinance, sell, or build enough equity to cancel coverage. It remained the No. 1 private mortgage insurer by market share heading into 2026.
GNW vs MTG: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- GNW drivers: Enact cash flow and the holding company discount; The multi-year rate action plan on legacy long-term care.
- MTG drivers: Recurring premium from insurance-in-force; Aggressive capital return.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The core risk is that the long-term care closed block turns out to cost more than reserved: morbidity, mortality, policyholder lapse behaviour and long-run interest rates all feed the reserve, and a deterioration can require capital that the holding company would rather deploy elsewhere. For MTG, mGIC's core business is highly dependent on the housing market and employment, so its main structural risk is the credit cycle.
GNW or MTG: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick GNW if you believe its drivers more; MTG if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the GNW and MTG guides.
GNW vs MTG: the full fundamentals
GNW. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; check live numbers before acting. Standard earnings multiples do little work here, because GAAP results consolidate all of Enact while charging the full drag of the long-term care closed block, and reported equity of ~$8.7 billion at June 30, 2026 includes the minority interest in Enact and swings with accumulated other comprehensive income. Most analysis of GNW is sum-of-the-parts instead: the market value of the Enact stake, less holding company debt and corporate costs, less whatever haircut the long-term care block deserves.
MTG. MGIC trades at a low single-digit-to-high-single-digit earnings multiple and near book value (book value per share around $24), reflecting the market's discount for cyclical mortgage-insurance earnings. Q1 2026 delivered net income of about $165 million and an annualized return on equity near 13%, with revenue of about $297 million that slightly missed estimates as net premiums earned edged down year over year. Valuation figures are approximate and move with the stock price.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): GNW shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.4 billion, market cap ~$3.84 billion (~$10.16 per share), enact stake ~81% of Enact Holdings (ACT), worth ~$5.5 billion at Enact's ~$6.9 billion market value, adjusted operating income ex-closed block (q2 2026) ~$112 million, or ~$0.29 per diluted share; MTG shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.2B, net income (ttm) ~$738M, q1 2026 net income ~$165M ($0.76/sh), market cap ~$5.6B.
The bottom line: GNW vs MTG
GNW and MTG are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined GNW and MTG exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how GNW or MTG fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Genworth Financial with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how GNW fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between GNW and MTG?
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Genworth Financial, based in Richmond, Virginia, is what is left of a much larger insurer after two decades of restructuring. MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE: MTG) is the holding company for Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, one of the largest private mortgage insurers in the United States. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is GNW or MTG the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. MTG is the larger incumbent; GNW is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, GNW or MTG?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), GNW trades at 9.24x and MTG at 9.08x, so MTG is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both GNW and MTG?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of GNW vs MTG?
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GNW: The core risk is that the long-term care closed block turns out to cost more than reserved: morbidity, mortality, policyholder lapse behaviour and long-run interest rates all feed the reserve, and a deterioration can require capital that the holding company would rather deploy elsewhere. Rate increases are approved one state at a time, so the multi-year rate action plan can slow without warning. Because Enact supplies almost all earnings and cash, a US housing downturn would hit Genworth twice, through mortgage delinquencies and through the market value of the stake itself. There is no announced plan to divest or distribute Enact, so the holding company discount can persist for years regardless of what the parts are worth. Genworth also remains a defendant in policyholder class actions over long-term care rate increase disclosures, and while the long-running securities class action was dismissed on summary judgment in August 2026, litigation outcomes are outside the company's control. MTG: MGIC's core business is highly dependent on the housing market and employment, so its main structural risk is the credit cycle. If unemployment rises or home values fall, delinquencies and insurance claims can increase quickly, pressuring earnings and capital. As mortgage originations and refinancing activity stay subdued, growth in insurance in force and premiums earned can slow, and net premiums earned already declined year over year in Q1 2026. Housing affordability remains a persistent headwind to new business volume. Competition on pricing among the six major insurers, plus regulatory and capital-requirement changes, adds further uncertainty.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell GNW or MTG; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.