HAWK vs RF: How HawkEye 360 and Regions Financial Corporation Compare (2026)
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
HAWK and RF are similarly sized, but RF trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (10.88x vs 152.01x): the market is paying up for HAWK's profile and pricing RF more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
Before you buy: how HAWK and RF affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HAWK and RF share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HAWK and RF exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does HawkEye 360 (HAWK) do?
HawkEye 360 operates a commercial radio-frequency intelligence constellation. Its satellites fly in clusters of three, which lets the company triangulate the origin of a signal rather than just detect it, and the product line is built around that geolocation: RFGeo-style detections of maritime VHF and radar emitters, GNSS and GPS interference mapping, air defense radar monitoring, and communications mapping. Clusters 13 and 14 went up in the first quarter of 2026 and took the fleet to roughly 42 spacecraft. Customers are almost entirely governmental, including the National Reconnaissance Office, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, the U.S. Navy in the Indo-Pacific, NASA, and a growing set of allied ministries of defense. The December 2025 acquisition of Innovative Signal Analysis pushed the company further into the analytics and wide-area surveillance software layer that sits on top of the raw detections. Headcount is about 395.
What does Regions Financial Corporation (RF) do?
Regions Financial Corporation is one of the largest US regional banks, headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, with roughly 1,250 branches concentrated across the South, Midwest, and Texas. It operates three main segments: Consumer Banking (checking, savings, mortgages, and consumer lending), Corporate Banking (commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate, and treasury management), and Wealth Management. As of Q1 2026 it carried about ~$132 billion in deposits and ~$98 billion in loans (Q1 2026), and it earns most of its money the classic banking way: the spread between what it pays on deposits and what it earns on loans and securities, plus fee income from treasury management, capital markets, wealth, and card services.
HAWK vs RF: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HAWK drivers: Allied defense budgets outside the U.S. intelligence community; GPS interference and air defense monitoring as new service lines.
- RF drivers: Net interest margin and rate positioning; Loan growth in a growing footprint.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Customer concentration is severe: the National Reconnaissance Office, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, and a handful of allied ministries account for the bulk of revenue, and the NRO award signed in December 2025 runs only 23 months, so renewal risk is dated and specific. For RF, as a regional bank, Regions is cyclical and exposed to the interest-rate path: falling rates can compress its margin, while sharp rate moves can pressure deposit costs and securities values.
HAWK or RF: which should you pick?
HAWK vs RF: the full fundamentals
HAWK. HawkEye 360 completed its NYSE IPO on May 7, 2026, selling roughly 18.4 million shares at roughly $26 for roughly $435.9 million in proceeds, and it has roughly 98 million shares outstanding. Second-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for August 13, 2026, which makes the first-quarter figures above the most recent audited-cadence datapoints. The multiple is set on trailing revenue that is doubling, so the number people actually argue about is what 2027 revenue looks like if allied awards keep converting into backlog.
RF. As of April 2026, Regions traded at a market capitalization of roughly ~$24 billion, a typical valuation range for a profitable super-regional bank. Its ~$1.06 annual dividend (yield near ~3.8%) and 13-year streak of increases make income a meaningful part of the return. Bank valuations are usually framed on price-to-tangible-book and price-to-earnings, and Regions' record ~18.26% return on tangible common equity in Q1 2026 is what supports its multiple.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): HAWK shows revenue (ttm) ~$144.5 million, up ~74% year over year, revenue (q1 2026) ~$49.8 million, up ~117%; international ~$20.9 million, adjusted ebitda (q1 2026) ~$7.4 million, up ~92%, net income (ttm) ~negative $7.4 million; Q1 2026 net loss ~$9.0 million; RF shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.4 billion, q1 2026 total revenue ~$1.87 billion, q1 2026 net income ~$539 million, q1 2026 diluted eps ~$0.62.
The bottom line: HAWK vs RF
HAWK and RF are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HAWK and RF exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how HAWK or RF fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in HawkEye 360 with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HAWK fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between HAWK and RF?
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HawkEye 360 operates a commercial radio-frequency intelligence constellation. Regions Financial Corporation is one of the largest US regional banks, headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, with roughly 1,250 branches concentrated across the South, Midwest, and Texas. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HAWK or RF the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HAWK or RF?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HAWK trades at 152.01x and RF at 10.88x, so RF is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HAWK and RF?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HAWK vs RF?
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HAWK: Customer concentration is severe: the National Reconnaissance Office, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, and a handful of allied ministries account for the bulk of revenue, and the NRO award signed in December 2025 runs only 23 months, so renewal risk is dated and specific. Backlog fell to roughly $285 million from roughly $302.7 million at the end of 2025, meaning the company burned through more contract value than it booked in the quarter. GAAP net loss widened to roughly $9.0 million and free cash flow was roughly negative $7.3 million, and the launch cadence that drives the growth story is exactly what keeps cash flow negative. Cash of roughly $106.1 million as of March 31, 2026 preceded the roughly $435.9 million of IPO proceeds and a new roughly $125 million revolver maturing in 2031, so liquidity is comfortable for now but tied to continued capital-markets access. The stock listed on May 7, 2026 at roughly $26 and has traded between roughly $17.02 and roughly $35.73 since, and post-IPO lockup expirations plus a roughly 17x trailing revenue multiple mean a single missed quarter moves the price hard. RF: As a regional bank, Regions is cyclical and exposed to the interest-rate path: falling rates can compress its margin, while sharp rate moves can pressure deposit costs and securities values. Credit quality is a standing risk, with net charge-offs at ~0.54% and nonperforming loans at ~0.71% in Q1 2026, both of which could deteriorate in a recession, particularly in commercial real estate. The 2023 regional-bank stress episode showed how quickly deposit confidence and funding can become the market's focus. Geographic concentration in the Southeast is a growth tailwind but also a source of correlated exposure to that region's economy. Regulatory capital rules, competition from larger money-center banks, and fintech disruption of fee lines round out the risks.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HAWK or RF; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.