HCA vs UHS: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

HCA is the larger of the two ($87.16B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (12.51x forward earnings, beta 1.13). UHS is the smaller challenger ($10.20B), cheaper on forward earnings (6.93x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

HCA vs UHS: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricHCAUHSWhat it tells you
Market cap$87.16B$10.20BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E12.516.93Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E13.506.87Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.131.08Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range24% of range27% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.

Reading it: UHS is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how HCA and UHS affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HCA and UHS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HCA and UHS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does HCA Healthcare (HCA) do?

HCA Healthcare is the largest for-profit hospital system in the United States, operating a network of acute-care hospitals alongside surgery centers, urgent-care clinics, freestanding emergency rooms, and physician clinics. Its strategy centers on building dense local networks in growing Sun Belt and suburban markets, where controlling a large share of care lets it negotiate better rates with commercial insurers, recruit physicians, and spread fixed costs. In the first quarter of 2026 HCA reported revenue of about $19.1 billion, up roughly 4% year over year, with net income near $1.6 billion and diluted EPS of about $7.15. Equivalent admissions rose modestly and revenue per admission grew faster, and the company reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance of roughly $76.5 billion to $80.0 billion in revenue and $15.55 billion to $16.45 billion in adjusted EBITDA.

Full HCA guide

What does Universal Health Services (UHS) do?

Universal Health Services is a Pennsylvania-based healthcare company that owns and operates acute care hospitals, behavioral health facilities, outpatient centers, and ambulatory surgery locations across the United States and in the United Kingdom. Its two core segments are acute care, which covers general hospitals and emergency and surgical services, and behavioral health, which spans inpatient psychiatric and addiction treatment facilities where UHS is one of the largest operators in the country. The company also expanded its virtual behavioral health reach through the acquisition of Talkspace.

Full UHS guide

HCA vs UHS: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • HCA drivers: Scale and local-market density; Outpatient and ambulatory expansion.
  • UHS drivers: Behavioral health scale; Acute care volumes and pricing.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is reimbursement and health-care policy. For UHS, the largest risks are tied to government reimbursement.

HCA or UHS: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HCA if you believe its drivers more; UHS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HCA and UHS guides.

HCA vs UHS: the full fundamentals

HCA. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. HCA is generally valued as a steady, cash-generative operator rather than a high-growth stock, so its multiple reflects reimbursement stability and buyback-driven per-share growth more than rapid revenue expansion. The biggest variable is policy: the 2026 guidance already bakes in an ACA-subsidy and Medicaid hit that management is partly offsetting, so how those headwinds actually land matters more to the earnings picture than the headline multiple.

UHS. UHS trades at a notably low price-to-earnings multiple, in the high single digits, well below broader market averages and its own longer-run history. That reflects investor caution around reimbursement and policy exposure rather than weak results, since revenue grew about 9.7 percent in 2025 and momentum carried into 2026.

Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): HCA shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$19.1 billion, up ~4% year over year, full-year 2026 revenue guidance ~$76.5 billion to $80.0 billion (reaffirmed), adjusted ebitda guidance (2026) ~$15.55 billion to $16.45 billion, net income (q1 2026) ~$1.6 billion, or ~$7.15 per diluted share; UHS shows revenue (fy2025) ~$17.4B, net income attributable to uhs (fy2025) ~$1.49B, diluted eps (fy2025) ~$23.10, market cap ~$10B.

The bottom line: HCA vs UHS

HCA and UHS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HCA and UHS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how HCA or UHS fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in HCA Healthcare with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HCA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between HCA and UHS?

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HCA Healthcare is the largest for-profit hospital system in the United States, operating a network of acute-care hospitals alongside surgery centers, urgent-care clinics, freestanding emergency rooms, and physician clinics. Universal Health Services is a Pennsylvania-based healthcare company that owns and operates acute care hospitals, behavioral health facilities, outpatient centers, and ambulatory surgery locations across the United States and in the United Kingdom. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is HCA or UHS the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. HCA is the larger incumbent; UHS is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, HCA or UHS?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HCA trades at 12.51x and UHS at 6.93x, so UHS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both HCA and UHS?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of HCA vs UHS?

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HCA: The dominant risk is reimbursement and health-care policy. HCA depends on a mix of commercial, Medicare, and Medicaid payers, and the expiration of enhanced ACA marketplace subsidies plus Medicaid payment changes could pressure adjusted EBITDA by several hundred million dollars, with more uninsured and self-pay patients raising bad-debt and charity-care costs. Labor is a structural cost pressure: nursing and physician wages, contract-labor use, and staffing shortages can compress margins quickly. Supply, drug, and equipment costs, including exposure to tariffs and supply-chain disruption, add further cost volatility. HCA also carries substantial debt from years of buybacks, so higher interest rates raise financing costs. Litigation, regulatory scrutiny of billing and pricing practices, and local competition from nonprofit systems and physician-owned outpatient centers round out the risk set. UHS: The largest risks are tied to government reimbursement. A meaningful share of UHS revenue comes from Medicare and Medicaid, so changes to those programs, state Medicaid supplemental payment structures, or federal healthcare policy can move earnings materially. Labor costs, including nursing wages and contract labor, remain a swing factor for margins. The behavioral health segment carries regulatory, staffing, and reputational scrutiny given the nature of inpatient psychiatric care. Rising interest expense on debt and integration risk from acquisitions such as Talkspace add further uncertainty. The persistently low earnings multiple suggests the market is pricing these policy and reimbursement risks even as reported results grow.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HCA or UHS; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    HCA vs UHS: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App