HGTY vs MKL: How Hagerty and Markel Group Compare (2026)
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
MKL is the larger of the two ($23.32B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (16.40x forward earnings, beta 0.66). HGTY is the smaller challenger ($3.97B), actually pricier on forward earnings (20.20x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
HGTY vs MKL: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | HGTY | MKL | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $3.97B | $23.32B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 20.20 | 16.40 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 48.12 | 10.38 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.79 | 0.66 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 53% of range | 33% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 5.34 | 1.31 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: MKL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how HGTY and MKL affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HGTY and MKL share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HGTY and MKL exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Hagerty (HGTY) do?
Hagerty, Inc. is an automotive enthusiast brand and specialty insurance provider built around classic, collector, and enthusiast vehicles. Its Insurance segment (roughly 92% of revenue) writes agreed-value policies on vehicles that standard auto carriers price poorly, covering ~2.9 million vehicles in force across ~1.76 million policies. Around that sits a membership business (the Hagerty Drivers Club, with ~940,000 paid members) and a Marketplace segment that runs collector car auctions, classifieds, financing, and the widely cited Hagerty Valuation Tools price database.
What does Markel Group (MKL) do?
Markel Group Inc. is a Virginia-based holding company built on three engines: a specialty property and casualty insurance operation that underwrites hard-to-place and niche risks (from executive liability to equine coverage), an investment portfolio funded largely by insurance float, and Markel Ventures, a group of wholly owned operating businesses spanning industrial, consumer, and services companies. The insurance business generates premiums and, ideally, an underwriting profit, while the float is invested in equities and fixed income to compound over time. This design is why MKL is frequently described as a mini Berkshire Hathaway.
HGTY vs MKL: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HGTY drivers: The Markel transition and full premium retention; Policy growth and the State Farm channel.
- MKL drivers: Specialty underwriting discipline; Investment portfolio and float.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The 2026 reported numbers are hard to read: guidance calls for total revenue down ~11%-12% and a net loss of ~$41 million to $51 million on ~$190 million of transitional costs, so anyone underwriting the stock is relying on adjusted EBITDA and written premium rather than GAAP earnings. For MKL, reported earnings are volatile because unrealized investment gains and losses run through the income statement, so a down market can produce a headline net loss (as in Q1 2026) even with solid underwriting.
HGTY or MKL: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HGTY if you believe its drivers more; MKL if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HGTY and MKL guides.
HGTY vs MKL: the full fundamentals
HGTY. Hagerty trades around $11-$12 per Class A share for a market cap near $4.0 billion on ~$1.44 billion of trailing revenue. Trailing P/E of roughly 43x sits on a net income figure distorted by the Markel transition, and the forward multiple screens far higher because 2026 is guided to a loss, so most of the market's attention is on adjusted EBITDA and written premium growth instead. Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 5, 2026, which is the first clean look at whether the transition math is tracking guidance.
MKL. MKL trades around a low-to-mid teens price-to-earnings multiple and near a modest premium to its roughly $1,447 book value per share, valuation anchors that matter more than headline EPS given the volatility of investment marks. Consensus 2026 EPS estimates were trimmed (from about $159 toward the low $140s) after a soft first quarter, and the reported Q1 2026 net loss reflected investment swings rather than a collapse in underwriting. Figures are approximate and move with markets and reserve updates.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): HGTY shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.44B, q1 2026 written premium ~$289M (+18% YoY), q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$85M (+77% YoY), market cap ~$4.0B; MKL shows revenue (ttm) ~$15B, q1 2026 revenue ~$3.55B, market cap ~$23B, book value per share ~$1,447.
The bottom line: HGTY vs MKL
HGTY and MKL are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HGTY and MKL exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how HGTY or MKL fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Hagerty with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HGTY fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between HGTY and MKL?
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Hagerty, Inc. Markel Group Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HGTY or MKL the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. MKL is the larger incumbent; HGTY is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HGTY or MKL?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HGTY trades at 20.20x and MKL at 16.40x, so MKL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HGTY and MKL?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HGTY vs MKL?
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HGTY: The 2026 reported numbers are hard to read: guidance calls for total revenue down ~11%-12% and a net loss of ~$41 million to $51 million on ~$190 million of transitional costs, so anyone underwriting the stock is relying on adjusted EBITDA and written premium rather than GAAP earnings. Retaining 100% of premium also means retaining 100% of the underwriting risk, and a bad catastrophe year (collector cars concentrate in flood and hurricane-exposed regions) would now hit Hagerty directly rather than a reinsurer. The underlying collector car market is soft outside the top end, with the Hagerty Market Rating starting 2026 near a 15-year low and sub-$250,000 values broadly falling, which pressures both Marketplace take rates and insured values over time. The share structure is concentrated: State Farm holds a majority of Class A, Markel holds a large Class V and preferred position, and the founding family controls voting through Class V, leaving public holders with limited influence and a thin float. Finally, the forward earnings multiple is distorted by the transition year, so headline valuation ratios are unusually unreliable here. MKL: Reported earnings are volatile because unrealized investment gains and losses run through the income statement, so a down market can produce a headline net loss (as in Q1 2026) even with solid underwriting. Insurance results are exposed to catastrophe losses, reserve development, and reinsurance pricing, any of which can push the combined ratio above 100%. The conglomerate structure invites the JANA activist campaign, and the outcome is uncertain: a breakup could unlock value or could disrupt the long-term compounding model. The stock is thinly traded per share at a very high nominal price with only about 12.5 million shares outstanding, and premium and revenue growth has been muted recently.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HGTY or MKL; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.