HTGC vs OTF: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
OTF is the larger of the two ($5.10B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (8.29x forward earnings). HTGC is the smaller challenger ($3.07B), priced similarly on forward earnings (8.28x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
HTGC vs OTF: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | HTGC | OTF | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $3.07B | $5.10B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 8.28 | 8.29 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 8.13 | 13.56 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 46% of range | 23% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.36 | 0.67 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how HTGC and OTF affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HTGC and OTF share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HTGC and OTF exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Hercules Capital (HTGC) do?
Hercules Capital is a business development company (BDC) that provides senior secured, mostly first-lien loans to venture-capital-backed companies in technology and life sciences. It is recognized as the largest non-bank venture lender, having committed more than $27 billion to over 700 companies since inception, with over $6 billion in assets under management. Roughly 90% of its portfolio is senior secured and floating-rate, with portfolio yields averaging near 13.9%, and individual loans typically sized around $20 million to $40 million. As a BDC, Hercules must distribute most of its taxable income, which is why the stock is held primarily for income.
What does Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) do?
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company, which means it is a lender rather than an operating business. It originates and holds loans to private US technology companies, with software borrowers at the center of the book. At June 30, 2026 the portfolio was $14.7 billion at fair value across 205 companies, averaging $71.6 million per position, and 77.8% sat in first-lien senior secured debt (the company treats 56% of that first-lien exposure as unitranche). Roughly 96.7% of the debt investments carry floating rates at a weighted average spread of 5.3% over the base rate, producing a 9.6% weighted average yield on accruing debt and income-producing securities. OTF also owns equity, not just paper: preferred, common and specialty finance stakes together were about 15% of fair value. Blue Owl Technology Credit Advisors LLC runs the vehicle externally for a management fee plus incentive fees.
HTGC vs OTF: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HTGC drivers: Record originations and portfolio growth; Floating-rate, senior-secured income engine.
- OTF drivers: Floating-rate software lending at a wide spread; The discount to NAV and the buyback against it.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Hercules lends to high-growth, frequently unprofitable venture-backed companies, so a weak venture funding environment or recession could drive rising nonaccruals and net asset value markdowns. For OTF, net asset value fell from $17.33 at December 2025 to $16.48 at June 2026, almost all of it a $0.84 per share realized and unrealized loss in the first quarter, so the discount is being applied to a mark that has already moved down.
HTGC or OTF: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HTGC if you believe its drivers more; OTF if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HTGC and OTF guides.
HTGC vs OTF: the full fundamentals
HTGC. Hercules generated record total investment income of about $141.5 million in Q1 2026, up roughly 22.5% year over year, with net investment income near $0.48 per share. The stock recently traded around the mid-teens, down double digits year to date, at roughly a 30% premium to net asset value, which is well below the 70%-plus premium seen in 2024. Its high yield reflects both the floating-rate portfolio and the market's pricing of venture-credit risk.
OTF. For a BDC the useful yardsticks are price to NAV, net investment income per share against the dividend, portfolio yield, non-accruals and leverage, not a sales or earnings multiple, because reported net income swings on unrealized marks rather than operations. On those measures OTF earns 9.6% on its accruing debt with 0.6% of the portfolio on non-accrual at cost (0.1% at fair value), pays a $0.35 quarterly base dividend out of $0.30 of quarterly NII, and trades near two thirds of book. The headline ~13.8x P/E and ~3.9x sales figures that screeners publish are artifacts of that accounting and should not be compared with operating companies.
Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): HTGC shows total investment income (q1 2026) ~$141.5M, net investment income (q1 2026) ~$88.1M (~$0.48/share), net asset value per share ~$11.90 (Mar 31 2026), market cap ~$2.8B; OTF shows total investment income (ttm) ~$1.31B, including ~$338M in Q2 2026, net investment income per share (q2 2026) ~$0.30, GAAP and adjusted, net asset value per share (june 30, 2026) ~$16.48, versus ~$17.33 at year-end 2025, price to nav ~0.67x at a ~$11.12 share price.
The bottom line: HTGC vs OTF
HTGC and OTF are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HTGC and OTF exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how HTGC or OTF fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Hercules Capital with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HTGC fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between HTGC and OTF?
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Hercules Capital is a business development company (BDC) that provides senior secured, mostly first-lien loans to venture-capital-backed companies in technology and life sciences. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HTGC or OTF the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. OTF is the larger incumbent; HTGC is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HTGC or OTF?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HTGC trades at 8.28x and OTF at 8.29x, so HTGC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HTGC and OTF?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HTGC vs OTF?
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HTGC: Hercules lends to high-growth, frequently unprofitable venture-backed companies, so a weak venture funding environment or recession could drive rising nonaccruals and net asset value markdowns. Because roughly 90% of the book is floating-rate, falling benchmark interest rates would compress portfolio yields and pressure net investment income and the dividend. The shares have often traded at a large premium to net asset value (recently around 30%, down from over 70% in 2024), which adds valuation risk if the premium compresses. Operating expenses rose sharply year over year, and like all BDCs, Hercules relies on continued access to debt and equity markets to fund portfolio growth. Net asset value per share slipped to about $11.90 at March 31, 2026, from $12.13 at year-end 2025. OTF: Net asset value fell from $17.33 at December 2025 to $16.48 at June 2026, almost all of it a $0.84 per share realized and unrealized loss in the first quarter, so the discount is being applied to a mark that has already moved down. Second-quarter net investment income of $0.30 per share did not cover the $0.35 base dividend, and trailing twelve month NII of roughly $1.23 per share sits below the $1.40 annualized base rate, which is the arithmetic behind any question about the payout. Concentration is deliberate and one-directional: this is a software and technology loan book at a moment when AI is reshaping how software vendors price and retain customers, and portfolio values are adviser-determined Level 3 estimates rather than quoted prices. Leverage has risen quickly, from 0.58x net debt-to-equity in June 2025 to 0.93x, which magnifies both directions. OTF is externally managed on fees that stepped up at the listing (from 0.90% and 10% to 1.50% and 17.5%), and in June and July 2026 three shareholder derivative actions were filed in the Southern District of New York and the District of Maryland alleging the adviser collected excessive fees under Section 36(b) of the Investment Company Act, which the adviser says are without merit; the public trading history also runs only to June 2025.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HTGC or OTF; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.