ITW vs LECO: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

ITW is the larger of the two ($76.86B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (21.77x forward earnings, beta 1.00). LECO is the smaller challenger ($14.64B), priced similarly on forward earnings (21.47x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ITW vs LECO: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricITWLECOWhat it tells you
Market cap$76.86B$14.64BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E21.7721.47Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E24.4526.89Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.001.22Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range48% of range56% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book26.719.42How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how ITW and LECO affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ITW and LECO share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ITW and LECO exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Illinois Tool Works (ITW) do?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE: ITW) is a Glenview, Illinois-based diversified manufacturer founded in 1912 that makes engineered fasteners, components, equipment, and consumable systems for customers around the world. The company is organized into seven segments: Automotive OEM, Test & Measurement and Electronics, Food Equipment, Polymers & Fluids, Welding, Construction Products, and Specialty Products. Its defining feature is the 80/20 operating model, a discipline of focusing on the roughly 20% of products and customers that drive about 80% of value, which has produced some of the highest and most consistent operating margins in the industrial sector, near 26%. ITW competes largely on proprietary, patent-protected niche products embedded in customer processes, which gives it pricing power and sticky demand.

Full ITW guide

What does Lincoln Electric (LECO) do?

Lincoln Electric designs and manufactures arc-welding equipment, welding consumables (electrodes, wire, fluxes), cutting and automation systems, and brazing and soldering products through its Harris Products Group. The company sells into a broad set of end markets including general fabrication, heavy industries, automotive, energy, construction, and infrastructure, and it holds one of the largest global shares of the welding equipment and consumables market. Its strategy pairs organic growth from pricing and new products with a steady cadence of bolt-on acquisitions, particularly in automation, where it is building capabilities in robotic welding and factory systems.

Full LECO guide

ITW vs LECO: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ITW drivers: Margin expansion from the 80/20 model; Diversified, niche-leading segments.
  • LECO drivers: Automation and robotic welding expansion; Pricing power and consumables razor-and-blade model.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: ITW's end markets are mature and cyclical, so a downturn in global auto production, industrial capital spending, or construction activity would pressure organic sales, which already grow only in the low single digits. For LECO, lincoln Electric's revenue is cyclical and tied to global manufacturing activity, industrial capital spending, and construction, so a slowdown in factory output or a recession can pressure both equipment sales and consumables volumes.

ITW or LECO: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ITW if you believe its drivers more; LECO if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ITW and LECO guides.

ITW vs LECO: the full fundamentals

ITW. ITW is usually valued as a quality industrial compounder, so investors focus less on revenue growth and more on margins, free cash flow, return on invested capital, and per-share earnings growth. Its operating margin near 26% is among the highest in diversified industrials, and the forward price-to-earnings ratio in the low twenties reflects a premium the market assigns to that consistency and the long dividend record. Because organic growth is modest, the earnings-per-share story leans on margin expansion and buybacks, which is why guidance for about 7% EPS growth in 2026 comes alongside only 2 to 4% expected revenue growth.

LECO. Lincoln Electric posted record first-quarter 2026 sales of about $1.12 billion, up roughly 12 percent, with adjusted EPS near $2.50 beating estimates. Trailing revenue is around $4.35 billion with operating margins in the mid-teens. The premium P/E near 27 reflects the market's view of the franchise quality, margin durability, and capital-return record.

Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): ITW shows revenue (fy2025) ~$16 billion, up ~0.9% YoY, operating margin (fy2025) ~26.3%, gaap eps (fy2025) ~$10.49, 2026 eps guidance ~$11.00 to $11.40 (up ~7% at midpoint); LECO shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.35B, q1 2026 net sales ~$1.12B (up ~12% YoY), adjusted operating margin ~16.9%, market cap ~$14.6B.

The bottom line: ITW vs LECO

ITW and LECO are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ITW and LECO exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ITW or LECO fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Illinois Tool Works with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ITW fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ITW and LECO?

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Illinois Tool Works Inc. Lincoln Electric designs and manufactures arc-welding equipment, welding consumables (electrodes, wire, fluxes), cutting and automation systems, and brazing and soldering products through its Harris Products Group. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ITW or LECO the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ITW is the larger incumbent; LECO is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ITW or LECO?

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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), ITW trades at 21.77x and LECO at 21.47x, so LECO is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ITW and LECO?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ITW vs LECO?

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ITW: ITW's end markets are mature and cyclical, so a downturn in global auto production, industrial capital spending, or construction activity would pressure organic sales, which already grow only in the low single digits. Because so much of the earnings story depends on margin expansion, any stall in enterprise initiatives or an unfavorable price/cost swing from input inflation or tariffs would weigh on results. The stock typically trades at a premium multiple (a forward price-to-earnings ratio in the low twenties), which leaves limited room for error if growth disappoints. ITW also has meaningful international and currency exposure, and its acquisition-light, organic-growth strategy means it relies on internal execution rather than deals to drive expansion. LECO: Lincoln Electric's revenue is cyclical and tied to global manufacturing activity, industrial capital spending, and construction, so a slowdown in factory output or a recession can pressure both equipment sales and consumables volumes. Input costs, particularly steel and other metals, along with energy and freight, can compress margins if pricing does not keep pace. A meaningful share of sales is international, exposing results to currency swings and softer demand in Europe and Asia. The stock trades at a premium multiple relative to some industrial peers, which raises the risk of de-rating if growth or margins disappoint. Integration risk from acquisitions and competition from rivals such as ESAB, ITW, and Fronius add further uncertainty.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ITW or LECO; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.