KLAC vs NVMI: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated November 2026
Short answer
KLAC is the larger of the two ($203.39B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (22.01x forward earnings, beta 1.50). NVMI is the smaller challenger ($9.67B), priced similarly on forward earnings (22.25x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
KLAC vs NVMI: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of November 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | KLAC | NVMI | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $203.39B | $9.67B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 22.01 | 22.25 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 39.12 | 37.99 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.50 | 1.88 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 24% of range | 11% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 31.19 | 6.60 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how KLAC and NVMI affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KLAC and NVMI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KLAC and NVMI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does KLA Corporation (KLAC) do?
KLA Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets process control, process-enabling, and yield management solutions for the semiconductor and broader electronics industries worldwide. Its largest segment, Semiconductor Process Control, provides wafer and reticle inspection, metrology, and data analytics systems that chipmakers use to detect defects and measure critical dimensions during fabrication. A Specialty Semiconductor Process segment sells advanced vacuum deposition and etching tools, while a PCB and Component Inspection segment serves electronics manufacturers inspecting printed circuit boards and flat panel displays. KLA earns revenue through equipment sales and a growing base of high-margin service contracts that account for roughly a quarter of total revenue, providing resilience across equipment spending cycles.
What does Nova Ltd. (NVMI) do?
Nova Ltd. (NASDAQ and Tel Aviv: NVMI), headquartered in Rehovot, Israel, builds process-control metrology for semiconductor manufacturing. Metrology is measurement rather than inspection: instead of hunting for defects, Nova's systems characterize the dimensions, profiles, thin-film thickness, and material composition of structures on a wafer while it is still moving through the line. The portfolio splits into a Dimensional Metrology Division built on optical techniques (integrated and standalone optical critical dimension, or OCD, scatterometry) and a Materials Metrology Division built on x-ray methods, plus chemical metrology acquired with ancosys in 2022 and a modeling and analytics software layer that is arguably the real moat. A meaningful share of Nova's tools are integrated, meaning they are bolted directly onto another vendor's deposition or etch equipment, which makes Nova both a supplier to fabs and a partner to process-equipment makers. Customers are the logic foundries, memory makers, and packaging houses in Taiwan, Korea, Japan, China, and the United States, and manufacturing sits in Israel, Germany, and the United States, with a new Asian facility targeted to be operational by the end of 2026.
KLAC vs NVMI: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- KLAC drivers: AI Infrastructure Drives Record Wafer Fab Equipment Spending; Near-Monopoly Market Position with Deep Switching Costs.
- NVMI drivers: Gate-all-around and the rising metrology intensity of leading-edge logic; Advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most acute near-term risk is U.S.-China export controls: restrictions already introduced have disrupted KLA's backlog, forced the return of customer deposits, and may further limit sales to Chinese fabs, which represent a meaningful share of global semiconductor investment. For NVMI, nova sells capital equipment into an industry that has historically swung hard in both directions, so a pause in leading-edge capex at any of the handful of customers that matter would show up in orders within a quarter or two, and the current multiple leaves little room for that.
KLAC or NVMI: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick KLAC if you believe its drivers more; NVMI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KLAC and NVMI guides.
KLAC vs NVMI: the full fundamentals
KLAC. KLA's revenue grew about 24% in fiscal 2025 and about 12% in fiscal 2026, with net income rising faster than revenue in both years as operating leverage carried revenue gains into margin. At about $169 a share the stock trades near 46 times trailing earnings and about 25 times forward estimates, down from roughly 73 times trailing in June 2026 as earnings grew and the share price fell about 22% over three months, but still well above KLA's own five-year average of roughly 26 times trailing. The forward multiple leans on consensus for fiscal 2027 revenue of about $18.1 billion and EPS of $5.44, so the October 28, 2026 report and guidance matter. The company generates substantial cash and has raised its dividend for seventeen consecutive years, but the premium multiple leaves limited margin of safety if growth decelerates or export restrictions intensify.
NVMI. At about $324 a share, Nova is worth roughly $10.3B, down from about $12.5B in August 2026, and trades near 40x trailing and 24x forward earnings, so the trailing multiple is still a little above its own 15-year average of about 37x while the forward multiple is well below it. The premium is still being paid for a record set of results: fiscal 2025 revenue of ~$880.6M grew ~31% with GAAP net income of ~$259.2M, and both 2026 quarters so far set records, with Q2 non-GAAP EPS of $2.51 beating the $2.41 consensus. Analysts expect about $1.08B of revenue for 2026 and $1.36B for 2027, and consensus for the November 5 report is EPS of about $2.77 on about $282M of revenue.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): KLAC shows revenue (fy2026, ended june 30, 2026) ~$13.58 billion (up ~12%), net income (fy2026) ~$4.83 billion (up from ~$4.06 billion), june 2026 quarter Revenue ~$3.66 billion (up ~15% YoY); EPS ~$1.05 vs ~$1.00 consensus, gross / operating margin (ttm) ~61% / ~42%; NVMI shows revenue (ttm) ~$938M (+16% YoY in Q2 2026), q2 2026 revenue ~$255.0M (+16% YoY, +8% QoQ, a company record), gross / operating margin (ttm) ~57% / ~30%, net income (ttm) ~$270M (EPS ~$8.00).
The bottom line: KLAC vs NVMI
KLAC and NVMI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KLAC and NVMI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how KLAC or NVMI fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in KLA Corporation with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how KLAC fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between KLAC and NVMI?
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KLA Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets process control, process-enabling, and yield management solutions for the semiconductor and broader electronics industries worldwide. Nova Ltd. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is KLAC or NVMI the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. KLAC is the larger incumbent; NVMI is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, KLAC or NVMI?
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On forward P/E (as of November 2026), KLAC trades at 22.01x and NVMI at 22.25x, so KLAC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both KLAC and NVMI?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of KLAC vs NVMI?
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KLAC: The most acute near-term risk is U.S.-China export controls: restrictions already introduced have disrupted KLA's backlog, forced the return of customer deposits, and may further limit sales to Chinese fabs, which represent a meaningful share of global semiconductor investment. Semiconductor capital expenditure is cyclical, and a demand correction could sharply compress equipment revenue in a short time window. At a trailing P/E of approximately 46x and a forward P/E near 25x as of mid-October 2026, the stock embeds a high-growth assumption; any deceleration in AI-related capex or a broader macro slowdown could compress the multiple meaningfully. The roughly 22% decline over the three months to October 16, 2026, during a sector-wide round of profit-taking in chip equipment stocks, shows how quickly that can happen even without a company-specific setback. A longer-term structural risk is that well-capitalized peers such as ASML or Applied Materials could integrate metrology capabilities into their own platforms, gradually eroding KLA's standalone tool-of-record position. NVMI: Nova sells capital equipment into an industry that has historically swung hard in both directions, so a pause in leading-edge capex at any of the handful of customers that matter would show up in orders within a quarter or two, and the current multiple leaves little room for that. Concentration is real: four customers and three territories each represented at least 10% of product revenue, and China alone has been roughly 30% or more of the business even after declining from about 39%. That China exposure sits directly in the path of US, Dutch, and Japanese export controls plus tariff changes, none of which Nova controls. Operations, R&D, and a large share of manufacturing are concentrated in Israel, which carries geopolitical, mobilization, and logistics risk that the company itself flags at length in its 20-F. Competitively, KLA is far larger and holds the dominant share of metrology and inspection overall, while Onto Innovation and Camtek are pushing hard on the same advanced-packaging demand Nova is winning today, so share gains are not guaranteed to continue. Finally, the $750M convertible notes become dilutive to share count if the stock trades above the conversion price, and the shares have traveled between roughly $266 and $616 within 52 weeks and fell about 28% in the three months to October 16, 2026, which shows how quickly sentiment on this name reprices. Citigroup's October 8, 2026 downgrade to Neutral with a $415 target is one example of that sentiment turning.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KLAC or NVMI; figures are approximate and dated (as of November 2026). Verify current data before investing.