KRMN vs MRCY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

KRMN and MRCY are similarly sized, but KRMN trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (52.29x vs 62.81x): the market is paying up for MRCY's profile and pricing KRMN more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.

KRMN vs MRCY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricKRMNMRCYWhat it tells you
Market cap$6.38B$5.83BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E52.2962.81Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Price vs 52-week range6% of range59% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book15.733.91How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: KRMN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how KRMN and MRCY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KRMN and MRCY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KRMN and MRCY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Karman Holdings (KRMN) do?

Karman Holdings, which operates as Karman Space & Defense, is a Huntington Beach, California maker of highly engineered systems that go inside missiles, missile-defense interceptors, hypersonic vehicles, unmanned aircraft, and space launch vehicles. Its products fall into three families: payload protection and deployment systems (such as fairings and shrouds), propulsion systems, and aerodynamic interstage structures. It sells into three end markets, Hypersonics and Strategic Missile Defense, Missile and Integrated Defense Systems, and Space and Launch, and counts primes like Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin among its customers. The company says it runs more than 100 active programs with no single program above roughly 10% of sales, which spreads its revenue across many contracts.

Full KRMN guide

What does Mercury Systems (MRCY) do?

Mercury Systems, based in Andover, Massachusetts, designs and manufactures hardware, software, and integrated subsystems that sit inside US and allied defense platforms. Its portfolio spans radio-frequency and microwave components, digital signal processing boards, embedded and secure processing modules, and fully integrated sensor-processing subsystems used in radar, electronic warfare, signals intelligence, missiles, and unmanned systems. The company positions itself as a trusted, domestically sourced supplier of open-architecture processing, sitting one layer below the large prime contractors that build the finished aircraft, ships, and weapons.

Full MRCY guide

KRMN vs MRCY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • KRMN drivers: Defense budget and missile-defense tailwind; Record backlog and demand visibility.
  • MRCY drivers: Record bookings and backlog; Margin recovery and turnaround execution.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most immediate risk is valuation: with a trailing P/E reported above 200 and slim GAAP earnings, the stock prices in years of strong growth, so any disappointment can drive a sharp de-rating (the shares have already swung widely, trading between roughly $43 and $118 over the past year). For MRCY, mercury is still early in a turnaround and has reported GAAP net losses as recently as fiscal 2025, so profitability remains inconsistent.

KRMN or MRCY: which should you pick?

Pick KRMN if you believe its drivers more; MRCY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KRMN and MRCY guides.

KRMN vs MRCY: the full fundamentals

KRMN. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. KRMN's very high P/E reflects strong revenue growth and rising adjusted EBITDA against still-modest GAAP net income, so the multiple is best read as a gauge of how much future growth is already priced in rather than a normal earnings valuation. The 52-week range (roughly $43 to $118) shows how sensitive the shares are to sentiment on defense spending and growth.

MRCY. Mercury trades at a rich multiple of revenue for its size, reflecting investor expectations that the turnaround converts a large backlog into higher-margin, cash-generative earnings rather than trailing profits, which have been near breakeven. GAAP results still swing around losses, so traditional price-to-earnings is of limited use and much of the valuation debate centers on adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. The stock traded roughly in the low-100s per share in mid-July 2026, well above its levels of a year earlier, with a reported beta below the market average near 0.84.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): KRMN shows revenue (q1 2026 quarterly) ~$151.2 million, up 51% year over year, full-year 2026 revenue guidance ~$720 to $735 million, adjusted ebitda (q1 2026) ~$44.8 million, up ~48% year over year, backlog ~$1.03 billion (up ~61% year over year); MRCY shows revenue (ttm) ~$943M, fy2025 revenue ~$912M (vs ~$835M FY2024), q3 fy2026 revenue ~$236M (+11.5% organic YoY), backlog ~$1.6B (record, +18% YoY).

The bottom line: KRMN vs MRCY

KRMN and MRCY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KRMN and MRCY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how KRMN or MRCY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Karman Holdings with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how KRMN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between KRMN and MRCY?

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Karman Holdings, which operates as Karman Space & Defense, is a Huntington Beach, California maker of highly engineered systems that go inside missiles, missile-defense interceptors, hypersonic vehicles, unmanned aircraft, and space launch vehicles. Mercury Systems, based in Andover, Massachusetts, designs and manufactures hardware, software, and integrated subsystems that sit inside US and allied defense platforms. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is KRMN or MRCY the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, KRMN or MRCY?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), KRMN trades at 52.29x and MRCY at 62.81x, so KRMN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both KRMN and MRCY?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of KRMN vs MRCY?

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KRMN: The most immediate risk is valuation: with a trailing P/E reported above 200 and slim GAAP earnings, the stock prices in years of strong growth, so any disappointment can drive a sharp de-rating (the shares have already swung widely, trading between roughly $43 and $118 over the past year). Revenue is concentrated in US defense procurement, so budget shifts, continuing resolutions, program delays, or a change in national-security priorities would hit results directly. The heavy reliance on acquisitions adds integration risk and debt from deals like Seemann and MSC. As a private-equity-controlled company (Trive Capital), future share sales as lockups expire can add supply, and public float is still relatively limited. Finally, defense contracting carries fixed-price contract, cost-overrun, and supply-chain execution risks. MRCY: Mercury is still early in a turnaround and has reported GAAP net losses as recently as fiscal 2025, so profitability remains inconsistent. Management has flagged supply-chain unpredictability, with suppliers sometimes signaling delays only on the day material was due, which can disrupt program deliveries and margins. Gross margin has been pressured by the conversion of lower-margin legacy programs, and any slippage on that mix shift could delay the earnings recovery. The business depends heavily on US defense budgets, program timing, and government contracting cycles, all of which can shift with politics and appropriations. As a mid-cap supplier concentrated in defense electronics, results can be lumpy quarter to quarter, and the stock has been volatile around that variability.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KRMN or MRCY; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    KRMN vs MRCY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App