KYIV vs TKC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

TKC is the larger of the two ($4.37B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (9.47x forward earnings, beta 0.67). KYIV is the smaller challenger ($3.02B), cheaper on forward earnings (0.21x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

KYIV vs TKC: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricKYIVTKCWhat it tells you
Market cap$3.02B$4.37BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E0.219.47Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E18.9611.67Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Price vs 52-week range52% of range5% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.180.04How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: KYIV is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how KYIV and TKC affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KYIV and TKC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KYIV and TKC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Kyivstar Group Ltd (KYIV) do?

Kyivstar Group Ltd. (Nasdaq: KYIV) is Ukraine's leading digital telecom operator, serving roughly 22 to 23 million mobile customers and over 1.2 million fixed broadband connections as of late 2025. It runs the country's largest mobile network and fiber footprint, and is expanding beyond connectivity into digital services (fintech, entertainment, health, and ads) that reached about 16% of revenue in 2025. The company listed on Nasdaq in August 2025 via a roughly $2.2B business combination with Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I, making it the first Ukrainian company to trade directly on a US market. Its former parent, Amsterdam-based VEON, retained roughly 89.6% of the combined entity.

Full KYIV guide

What does Turkcell (TKC) do?

Turkcell is Turkey's largest mobile operator, with roughly ~46.7 million registered Group subscribers as of March 31, 2026, and it runs well beyond SIM cards. The Turkcell Turkey segment covers mobile plus Superonline fiber broadband and TV+, the Techfin segment holds Paycell (mobile payments and wallet) and Financell (consumer finance for handsets and devices), and a growing Digital Business Services and data center and cloud unit sells connectivity, hosting and integration to corporates. Turkcell International is much smaller after the company exited Ukraine: lifecell LLC, Global Bilgi and Ukrtower were sold to DVL Telecom, part of Xavier Niel's NJJ Holding, for ~$538.7 million, with the share transfer completed on September 9, 2024 and ~$524.3 million received. The Turkey Wealth Fund holds the controlling stake, which makes state ownership a permanent feature of the story rather than an event risk.

Full TKC guide

KYIV vs TKC: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • KYIV drivers: Core connectivity leadership and pricing power; Digital services expansion.
  • TKC drivers: 5G monetization after a paid-for spectrum position; Techfin and digital services growing off a small base.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is the ongoing war: infrastructure can be damaged by strikes, power grids are unreliable, and a worsening of the conflict would hit both operations and sentiment directly. For TKC, currency is the dominant risk for a dollar holder: lira depreciation can convert lira-denominated growth into a flat or negative ADR return, and the last twelve months saw the ADR near ~$5.50 after a decline of roughly ~14%.

KYIV or TKC: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick KYIV if you believe its drivers more; TKC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KYIV and TKC guides.

KYIV vs TKC: the full fundamentals

KYIV. Kyivstar is a real, profitable operating telecom whose trailing revenue (roughly $1.2B) is substantial relative to its ~$2.8B market cap, so the valuation is grounded in genuine cash flows rather than speculation. The low mid-single-digit EV/EBITDA multiple reflects war risk, currency exposure, and a thin float rather than a lack of earnings. No dividend is paid at present.

TKC. Every operating figure is reported in Turkish lira and restated under IAS 29 inflation accounting, so the growth rates above are real rather than nominal and do not map cleanly onto a dollar-based valuation multiple. Guidance for 2026 is real revenue growth of ~5% to ~7%, an EBITDA margin of ~40% to ~42% and capex intensity near ~25% of revenue. Second quarter 2026 results are scheduled for release after the Borsa Istanbul close on August 13, 2026, which will be the first full quarter with commercial 5G in the numbers.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): KYIV shows revenue (fy2025) ~$1.16B, revenue growth (yoy, usd) ~26%, ebitda margin ~53%, operating cash flow (fy2025) ~$558M; TKC shows revenue (fy2025) ~TRY 241.5 billion, up ~10.7% in real terms, ebitda (fy2025) ~TRY 104.0 billion, margin ~43.1%, q1 2026 revenue and net income revenue ~TRY 68.4 billion (up ~8.9%), net income ~TRY 4.63 billion (up ~15%), q1 2026 adjusted ebitda margin ~41.4%, down ~2.3 percentage points year on year.

The bottom line: KYIV vs TKC

KYIV and TKC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KYIV and TKC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how KYIV or TKC fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Kyivstar Group Ltd with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how KYIV fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between KYIV and TKC?

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Kyivstar Group Ltd. Turkcell is Turkey's largest mobile operator, with roughly ~46.7 million registered Group subscribers as of March 31, 2026, and it runs well beyond SIM cards. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is KYIV or TKC the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. TKC is the larger incumbent; KYIV is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, KYIV or TKC?

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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), KYIV trades at 0.21x and TKC at 9.47x, so KYIV is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both KYIV and TKC?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of KYIV vs TKC?

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KYIV: The dominant risk is the ongoing war: infrastructure can be damaged by strikes, power grids are unreliable, and a worsening of the conflict would hit both operations and sentiment directly. The company is a single-country bet on Ukraine, with revenue earned in hryvnia and reported in US dollars, so currency devaluation can erode dollar results. VEON's ~90% ownership leaves a very small public float, which can make the shares volatile and illiquid and gives minority holders little control over governance or capital allocation. Kyivstar currently pays no dividend, and its SPAC origin plus short trading history mean limited independent research coverage. Any of these can move the stock sharply regardless of underlying operating performance. TKC: Currency is the dominant risk for a dollar holder: lira depreciation can convert lira-denominated growth into a flat or negative ADR return, and the last twelve months saw the ADR near ~$5.50 after a decline of roughly ~14%. Reporting under IAS 29 inflation accounting makes period-to-period comparison harder and means headline figures are restated rather than nominal, so screening tools often mis-state the multiple. The 5G build is a multi-year cash outflow: ~$1.224 billion of spectrum, capex intensity near ~25% of revenue and a ~$1 billion loan, all before subscribers demonstrate willingness to pay for the faster tiers. Turkish regulatory and political intervention in telecom pricing is a live factor, and the Turkey Wealth Fund's controlling stake means minority holders do not set strategy. Q1 2026 already showed margin compression of ~2.3 percentage points from handset cost of goods sold, and the next data point, second quarter 2026 results, is scheduled for August 13, 2026.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KYIV or TKC; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.