LUNR vs SPCX: How Intuitive Machines and Space Exploration Technologies Compare (2026)

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. LUNR and SPCX share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined LUNR and SPCX exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is a space-exploration company focused on lunar access and infrastructure. It is best known for its Nova-C lunar lander, which made a notable soft landing on the Moon, the first by a commercial company. The business is built around NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services program and related government contracts, delivering payloads to the lunar surface and pursuing adjacent opportunities in lunar data relay and communications, orbital services, and space infrastructure. Revenue is largely contract-driven and lumpy, tied to specific missions and government funding, and the company is not consistently profitable. Intuitive Machines went public in 2023 via a SPAC merger and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. It is a small, speculative space stock whose value depends on winning and successfully executing missions, on the pace of NASA's Artemis and lunar programs, and on broader government and commercial demand for cislunar services. Mission risk is high, and outcomes can swing sharply on the success or failure of individual landings.

Full LUNR guide

SpaceX, formally Space Exploration Technologies Corp., is the largest launch provider in the world and the operator of the largest satellite-broadband constellation. It listed on Nasdaq under SPCX in June 2026 in the largest IPO on record by proceeds, after more than twenty years as a private company. It employs roughly 22,000 people and is classified in Aerospace and Defense.

Full SPCX guide

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

• LUNR drivers: Lunar lander franchise; Cislunar infrastructure ambitions.
• SPCX drivers: Satellite broadband is the revenue engine; Direct-to-device and carrier partnerships.

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Space missions carry high technical risk; a single failed landing or anomaly can damage the stock and future contract prospects, and not every mission succeeds fully. For SPCX, spaceX is not profitable: net margin ran around negative 45 percent on roughly $19.3 billion of trailing revenue, and the company reported a multi-billion-dollar net loss for 2025 even though EBITDA is positive.

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick LUNR if you believe its drivers more; SPCX if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the LUNR and SPCX guides.

LUNR. Intuitive Machines is difficult to value on earnings because results are lumpy and tied to specific missions and contract awards. The stock trades on the credibility of its lunar franchise, the pace of NASA's lunar programs, and the option value of cislunar infrastructure. Multiples swing sharply with mission news and funding. Treat any LUNR valuation as speculative and scenario-driven, and verify the latest revenue, backlog, and cash position.

SPCX. SpaceX is valued as a growth company rather than an aerospace contractor, and the gap is stark: the defense primes trade on single-digit to low-double-digit multiples of earnings, while SPCX trades at roughly 77 times sales and about 124 times forward earnings. Gross margin near 49 percent is software-like and reflects the subscription mix in Connectivity, but operating and net results are still negative because the constellation and next-generation vehicles absorb enormous capital. EBITDA is positive, which is the bull case in one number; the net loss and the debt load are the bear case in two. The shares have roughly halved from their post-listing high, so the market has already repriced some of the initial enthusiasm.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): LUNR shows revenue (ttm) ~$200 to 400 million, lumpy and contract-driven (verify), profitability Not consistently profitable; mission-dependent, free cash flow Variable; often negative around mission investment, backlog Driven by NASA CLPS and related contract awards (verify latest); SPCX shows revenue (ttm) ~$19.3 billion, revenue growth ~15% year over year, gross margin ~49%, net margin Negative (~-45%).

LUNR and SPCX are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined LUNR and SPCX exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.